newstl2020 wrote:^The real question is for how long. If the crowds only come for a year or two, it is a collosal disaster.
^^ Yes, Ballpark Village could be empty within 2 years. It is also possible that all the Post Dispatch's stock responders could have a change of heart and move into high rise residential properties would replace all surface parking downtown; this development could spark a renaissance that sees STL develop into one of the great cultural hubs of the western world and Lambert could have direct more direct flights to Asia than LAX. We know these aren't going to happen.
Realistically the city will grant the TIF and Ballpark Village will happen... the project will be finished in 2 or 3 phases and each one will be "downsized" for a total price tag of $400M - $500M... and no real residential will be built. It won't be a game changer, but it will be another piece in the puzzle. Folks (the kind of people who don't come to Washington Ave) will come down for special occasions, and they will consider having dinner there before going to a sporting event or a drink afterward. It won’t be exactly like KC P&L or Baltimore Power Plant live, but we all know their “successful formula” and that is what they will go for and get. Once this is built, people will be spending more time and more money at a venue that doesn't pretend to be anything it isn't. If it is anything like KC – suburbanite perception of the urban core will change – even if slightly – for the better. Kansas City stupidly backed the bonds - St. Louis shouldn't and from what I hear isn't planning on it.
KC P&L is next to an arena with no pro-team, otherwise downtown KC doesn't have, short of office buildings, any major existing OD generators nearby. It is cut off by highways and has no real transit to speak of. P&L is a “glorified ugly outdoor mall”.
KC P&L must be doing horrible; especially when you find out that there have been numerous high-profile blunders on the part of Cordish and the city dealing with the management of the district, including numerous claims of racism. Wow it must be a disaster! It has been open for more than a year or two so it must be empty....
YET KC P&L is busy 3 years later, and it adds something distinct to downtown KC. It isn't soaring to the lofty expectations painted 7 years ago, but it certainly busy every time I go down there. It brought retailers, restaurants and patrons whom probably wouldn't have considered downtown KC otherwise. Some other developments are being talked about nearby - noting the added traffic. As someone who works downtown, I enjoy the restaurants it brought in - some locally owned and some chain. It is far from perfect, and I am not claiming it is - more over I’m playing devil’s advocate. But if you were to ask most people in KC (vast majority of whom aren’t urban snobs), I think they would say KC P&L doesn't detract from KC. In fact, the "stage" and development has become an OD generator and catalyst in itself. Who knows what is will be like in 20 years, but at the moment it is doing what it proposed, bringing people downtown, nothing more and making money for its owner. If the other, as of yet proposed, developments around it are realized – I would say it wasn’t a failure but one of many varied evils that were necessary stepping stone on downtown’s long road back from the abyss.
Downtown St. Louis has more going for it, IMO than KC. There is a proven 3 Million person per year attendance generator within 2 blocks of the site. There is a (soon to be upgraded) national monument within a mile that draws millions from around the region? country? World?. There are 2 other sports venues (and soon add Peabody Opera House) within 9 or 10 blocks that bring people downtown year round... each with a transit stop that connects them to this development. I would expect Ballpark Village to be as or more successful than KC Power and Light District, and thus possibly nicer in the long run…
The renderings from 2006 that ya’ll salivated over will never happen. Financial, residential, and office markets will make sure of that. Also, downtown St. Louis already has organically filled some of the holes that Ballpark Village had talked about filling (like grocery store). When first proposed 10 years ago, the magic bullet was sought, now it is avoided. And lower expectations and less pressure = lower price tag = potentially less time until TIF is paid off. I think most people who frequent this forum will hate what is realized, but they aren’t the target audience. Downtown STL has already made great strides with home-grown urban infill. It is about to seeing new-build high-rise residential opening. This development proposes something we have been asking for – a new class A office tower, however uninspiring, with the promise of more in the future. “Suburban friendly” urban development (or Disney Urban) is just another piece of the puzzle. The only thing for sure is that, thus far, it has worked thus far in KC, and other cities, in at least getting downtown back on the map in the eyes of most metro residents. Hopefully downtown will have matured enough in 20 years that our discussion is about tearing this down for Transbay Center (SF) or Lakeshore East (Chicago) style infill.