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PostJul 29, 2016#6251

gary kreie wrote:
MarkHaversham wrote:I really like it. You do make me curious what the result would be if you actually calculated the referred-to correlations.
I did use the correlate function in XL, and if I did it correctly, the correlation numbers came out like this.

Metro Prop Values to Core minus Suburb Crime: .712
Metro Prop Values to Core Crime: .682
Metro Prop Values to Suburbs Crime: .348
Metro Prop Values to Total Metro Crime: .077
Looks legit!

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PostAug 01, 2016#6252

Here are a couple of more charts from St. Louis: Urban Crime Reduction--Suburban Windfall.

http://www.stlstrong1764.org/urbanreduc ... anwindfall

St. Louis Metro Zip Codes split into inner 20% urban core by population, and outer 80% suburbs.
STL_metro_and_urban_map by Gary Kreie, on Flickr

St. Louis compared to 3 other Midwest Cities. A Path Forward for St. Louis? (US Average Crime Risk=100)
Figure_5_Path_Forward_STL by Gary Kreie, on Flickr

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PostAug 05, 2016#6253

Murders are up in the County, and down in the City:

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/crim ... d3fc5.html

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PostAug 07, 2016#6254

god dammit.
I am Robert Fancher, owner of Fubar Concert Venue. Last night, Fubar fell victim to a drive-by shooting. It resulted in 5 innocent people getting hit by the spray. Fortunately none of the victims suffered life threatening wounds. In addition to the people being hit, three large windows, each 7'x9.5' (pictured in the photo) were completely shattered. I am attempting to raise money to cover the cost of these windows, which are temporarily boarded up. Insurance will not cover this, and I do not have the funds to fix it. I have poured my entire heart and soul into this place, and would like to continue to operate. We get bands from all over the world into St Louis, OUR city, and give the opportunity for local musicians to share the stage with their favorite artists. It is not a very lucrative business financially, but it is 100% in my heart, and I love what I do. I would be forever thankful for any help. Your support means the world to me, and I know some of these shows mean the world to you.

I will also be setting another fund up to help my friend Tim, who was shot in the leg while working at Fubar. I cannot say enough about my gratitude for the the people that keep Fubar up and running. Your hard work and dedication mean the world to me.
Help spread the word!


Here's the KMOV story:

http://www.kmov.com/story/32702239/5-sh ... and-center

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PostAug 07, 2016#6255

And people still wonder why our big corporates won't relocate from suburbs to downtown...

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PostAug 07, 2016#6256

whitherSTL wrote:And people still wonder why our big corporates won't relocate from suburbs to downtown...
it's easy to blame it on crime, but i really don't think there's any evidence that crime is the reason. i think it has a lot more to do with where the majority of St. Louisans and CEOs live, i.e. the suburbs.

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PostAug 08, 2016#6257

^ of course this particular incident didn't even happen in downtown. Downtown has very little crime impacting office workers and even when considering nightlife crimes, etc. it still isn't a very high rate considering the number of people who come into the area.

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PostAug 08, 2016#6258

^I agree with everything you said but unfortunately it's perception that matters....

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PostAug 08, 2016#6259

If our bar is set such that the city can't thrive unless there is zero crime anywhere, the city is in trouble.

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PostAug 08, 2016#6260

I'm just thinking about fat-cat CEO's who live between Clayton and Town & Country and belong to Bellerive...As for Haversham's comment, I would say that there is very little crime in Clayton CBD. Bar patrons aren't getting shot at in Clayton.

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PostAug 08, 2016#6261

I'm not sure to what extent fears of local companies of the big bad city are in play, but I guess this could be a factor again in my observation that it is outsiders that are clearly the main players in what we do have in terms of the "back-to-the city/downtown" movement.

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PostAug 08, 2016#6262

^agreed

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PostAug 08, 2016#6263

Post Dispatch headline claims this happened outside of a "downtown" nightclub. The reporter, Ashley Jost, appears young enough to know the difference. I just don't get it.

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/crim ... def37.html

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PostAug 09, 2016#6264

Yesterday's story about a shootout at a funeral home leaving one man dead shows just how ridiculous the whole crime situation is in St. Louis.

Inside, they're showing their "respects" to the deceased, saying may he "rest in peace". Outside, they're pulling guns on each other, opening fire, and killing people. Just asinine.

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PostAug 09, 2016#6265

whitherSTL wrote:And people still wonder why our big corporates won't relocate from suburbs to downtown...
Technically this wasn't even downtown.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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PostAug 09, 2016#6266

Doesn't matter...again, in talking perception of lazy thinking CEO's

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PostAug 10, 2016#6267

Nice job, Gary!

Messenger: Finding a regional solution to St. Louis crime problem

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/colu ... 45aed.html

I'm afraid to look at the comments, though.

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PostAug 10, 2016#6268

urban_dilettante wrote:Nice job, Gary!

Messenger: Finding a regional solution to St. Louis crime problem

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/colu ... 45aed.html

I'm afraid to look at the comments, though.
Yep, I know enough about Post comments to ignore them. I do wish the commenters would actually go to my study on STLStrong and tell me where my numbers are wrong. They aren't. Since all my sources are publicly available, they could do the same same study and get the same result.

Here is the link to the original STLStrong piece that the Post-Dispatch piece refers to:
http://www.stlstrong1764.org/urbanreduc ... anwindfall

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PostAug 10, 2016#6269

Great job Gary. I think the time is right for a county exec candidate to run on the platform of pro-unification.

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PostAug 11, 2016#6270

Let me join the chorus: Well done sir! It's been enlightening to see your graphs. I suspect many of us have intuited portions of what you've said, but you've laid it out in a way that makes everything very clear. And the correlation to property values is striking. Thank you. Let's hope we can all work together to find some kind of real and useful solution to make our city better for everyone.

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PostAug 12, 2016#6271

When was the last murder in Skinker D?

Fox2 - Man shoots, kills brother to stop hammer attack on girlfriend

http://fox2now.com/2016/08/12/man-shot- ... kingsbury/

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PostAug 12, 2016#6272

^A homicide yes, but that doesn't sound like murder.

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PostAug 13, 2016#6273

^ yeah, sounds like this may not be a criminal homicide.... and the answer to the question appears to be 2012.

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PostAug 13, 2016#6274

Fox2 - Employee shot during Chinese restaurant robbery near Forest Park
Shots were fired during a robbery at the Chinese Express restaurant on DeBaliviere Ave near Forest Park. An employee at the restaurant was injured during the robbery. The employee's condition is not known at this time.
http://fox2now.com/2016/08/12/employee- ... rest-park/

Fox2 - MetroLink riders robbed at gunpoint in the Delmar Loop and Forest Park

http://fox2now.com/2016/08/12/metrolink ... rest-park/

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PostAug 15, 2016#6275

I buy dinner at that Chinese Express every few weeks. The place has tons of cameras, so hopefully they're helpful in catching the folks who robbed it. And I hope the employee who was injured is alright.

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