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PostSep 24, 2007#2301

dweebe wrote:
bonwich wrote:
stlmike wrote:

The question isn't whether the move is a good thing, it's whether the expansion of jobs is a good a thing. Of course it is. Doug wasn't questioning any of those things you are, he was questioning whether adding jobs is a good thing or not. Whether or not they moved to downtown or stayed in Clayton, adding 1200 jobs is going to be a good thing for the region, even if those jobs are filled from people within the region.


That's not how I read Doug, and that's certainly not how I read most of his detractors.



If there are, in fact, 600 existing Centene jobs in Clayton, Centene plans to create 600 more local jobs in the next three years. But they were going to do that anyway, whether they stayed in Clayton or moved downtown. That means, regionally, we just ponied up $130,000 per new job.



All that over and above the fact that we subsidized a new stadium to the tune of tens of millions only to be told that we needed to subsidize the now "prime" real estate adjacent to it by what, $100M, just to get it built. And now we have to pay a company to move into the space.



I'm sorry, the economics here are fuzzy at best. [/i]


Thanks Joe. I was pretty happy about this news but now see that we got screwed on the deal. $130,000 a person to keep the jobs here. Once again St. Louis does the wrong thing.



Like the Rams I'm betting Centene will be out of here in 10 years when someone else offers a better deal.


You need a good sarcasm emoticon, Pan Dweebski. I'm betting it was (sarcasm), but a casual reader won't be able to tell for sure.



We only got "screwed" by Clayton. It's positive that Centene is staying, and it's positive that it's a growing company. The negative is that once again the City had to throw around huge incentives (and that everyone in the region somehow still believes that only Fortune 1000 companies are growth engines, when in fact the vast majority of job growth in America comes from small business. But that's a debate for another thread).



And the Pollyanna crowd completely dismissed the USA Today article, but someday y'all are gonna have to come up with an answer to the questions: 1) How much subsidy is too much? 2) Is, as the article implies, all this subsidy merely a diversion from the lack of critical-infrastructure improvement?

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PostSep 24, 2007#2302

This is simply the same old fighting over corporations only this time they are not leaving but coming back. It is still bad for the region as we are not adding anything new to the region as in residents. We are still fighting amongst ourselves while we should be attracting people from other regions.



Another idea: we basically gave Centene a financial incentive to create new jobs which will probably take employees from other local companies. By paying Centene to locate Downtown, other companies will lose employees. So the government is picking and choosing which company will have an advantage depending on where they locate. We didn't pay them to create jobs that will bring in new residents from other cities. Most likely people will quit their existing St. Louis job and work Downtown for Centene. That isn't net growth. Other companies will lose out and that could affect the revenues of the municipalities which they reside. That isn't positive for the region. We need to attract new employees from outside the region.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2303

stlmike wrote:Doug has stated that it is bad for the region, but did not elaborate on any of the specific and precise points that you have made.


Did he? I can't scroll back far enough to find out. I do see him saying it wasn't a great regional gain, but I can't find him saying that it was bad for the region.



I'm saying pretty much the same thing. It's better than if Centene had left, but to all outward appearances, Centene was pretty happy here until the whole eminent domain debacle. And now it's costing us at least $78M to keep 'em.

PostSep 24, 2007#2304

Doug wrote:Another idea: we basically gave Centene a financial incentive to create new jobs which will probably take employees from other local companies. By paying Centene to locate Downtown, other companies will lose employees. So the government is picking and choosing which company will have an advantage depending on where they locate. We didn't pay them to create jobs that will bring in new residents from other cities. Most likely people will quit their existing St. Louis job and work Downtown for Centene. That isn't net growth. Other companies will lose out and that could affect the revenues of the municipalities which they reside. That isn't positive for the region. We need to attract new employees from outside the region.


With all due respect, Doug, you might want to quit while you're ahead. Centene's growth has largely been generated by acquisition, which by its very nature causes people to relocate.



Not to mention that even if people quit their jobs locally to work for Centene, they're probably doing so for higher disposable income, which in most economics textbooks is a Good Thing.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2305

1. Ideally, any subsidy is probably too much subsidy, but alas, that is not how you "win" at the economic development game. A professor and former boss once accurately defined economic development as " shoot anything that flies, catch anything that falls."



2. I would say yes to the critical infrastructure comment as well. Consider the Twin Cities and this Dave Nicklaus blog about the RCGA's recent trip to learn from the Twin Cities. Link

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PostSep 24, 2007#2306

This is getting ridiculous. I simply can't see how this isn't a net positive for the city. Maybe they aren't collecting the tax money they would've sans incentives, but who cares? More jobs downtown, more buildings downtown and construction crews building them, more people inhabiting downtown at least part of their days, more credibility for other companies to move downtown, etc. There are many benefits, tangible and intangible to this deal. How about the moral victory the city has in gaining the biggest company to city limits since the 50's?



Also, am I misunderstanding something here or are we not paying Centene $130,000 per job but instead not charging them that in taxes? So we don't gain $78 million that we never had or would've had if they stayed in Clayton or moved to Colorado or wherever. If I'm correct about that, this whole argument about it is just stupid. We should be happy we have more jobs, buildings, and people downtown. All the benefits they bring along are icing on the cake.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2307

bonwich wrote:


We only got "screwed" by Clayton.


This I think we can agree on for sure.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2308

bonwich wrote:
dweebe wrote:
bonwich wrote:

That's not how I read Doug, and that's certainly not how I read most of his detractors.



If there are, in fact, 600 existing Centene jobs in Clayton, Centene plans to create 600 more local jobs in the next three years. But they were going to do that anyway, whether they stayed in Clayton or moved downtown. That means, regionally, we just ponied up $130,000 per new job.



All that over and above the fact that we subsidized a new stadium to the tune of tens of millions only to be told that we needed to subsidize the now "prime" real estate adjacent to it by what, $100M, just to get it built. And now we have to pay a company to move into the space.



I'm sorry, the economics here are fuzzy at best. [/i]


Thanks Joe. I was pretty happy about this news but now see that we got screwed on the deal. $130,000 a person to keep the jobs here. Once again St. Louis does the wrong thing.



Like the Rams I'm betting Centene will be out of here in 10 years when someone else offers a better deal.


You need a good sarcasm emoticon, Pan Dweebski. I'm betting it was (sarcasm), but a casual reader won't be able to tell for sure.



We only got "screwed" by Clayton. It's positive that Centene is staying, and it's positive that it's a growing company. The negative is that once again the City had to throw around huge incentives (and that everyone in the region somehow still believes that only Fortune 1000 companies are growth engines, when in fact the vast majority of job growth in America comes from small business. But that's a debate for another thread).



And the Pollyanna crowd completely dismissed the USA Today article, but someday y'all are gonna have to come up with an answer to the questions: 1) How much subsidy is too much? 2) Is, as the article implies, all this subsidy merely a diversion from the lack of critical-infrastructure improvement?


Sorry, I should have put a [for real, not sarcastic] text text text [/for real, not sarcastic] tag around my post.



[for real, not sarcastic]St. Louis City totally effed this deal up. Money that should be going to schools or roads will be ending up lining the pockets of the owners/upper management of Centene who I'm 99.9% sure live in Ladue or Frontenac. Can we ever do anything right in this town? This place sucks a**. :x [/for real, not sarcastic]

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PostSep 24, 2007#2309

SoulardD wrote:This is getting ridiculous. I simply can't see how this isn't a net positive for the city. Maybe they aren't collecting the tax money they would've sans incentives, but who cares? More jobs downtown, more buildings downtown and construction crews building them, more people inhabiting downtown at least part of their days, more credibility for other companies to move downtown, etc. There are many benefits, tangible and intangible to this deal. How about the moral victory the city has in gaining the biggest company to city limits since the 50's?



Also, am I misunderstanding something here or are we not paying Centene $130,000 per job but instead not charging them that in taxes? So we don't gain $78 million that we never had or would've had if they stayed in Clayton or moved to Colorado or wherever. If I'm correct about that, this whole argument about it is just stupid. We should be happy we have more jobs, buildings, and people downtown. All the benefits they bring along are icing on the cake.


Thank You.



To change the focus a little, this all but guarantees tower cranes in the skyline when the All-Star Game is here in 2009.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2310

Incentives are part and parcel of attracting business. If we hadn't provided them, the St. Louis MSA likely would have lost Centene and all of its employees. I'm sure you understand this, Bonwich.



The only question is, did we give up too much in the negotiation process? Who here has the knowledge to conduct and perform a return on investment for the city? Can't say that I do. What about you, Bonwich? Didn't think so.



So why not ask for ROI numbers instead of flatly decrying the deal? It's a waste of calories to type a diatribe with little basis. I'd like to see one, though and believe the city should provide it.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2311

bonwich wrote:
stlmike wrote:
would have created those same 1200 jobs within the same economic region if an overzealous municipal government didn't go heavy-handed with eminent domain.


The question isn't whether the move is a good thing, it's whether the expansion of jobs is a good a thing. Of course it is. Doug wasn't questioning any of those things you are, he was questioning whether adding jobs is a good thing or not. Whether or not they moved to downtown or stayed in Clayton, adding 1200 jobs is going to be a good thing for the region, even if those jobs are filled from people within the region.


That's not how I read Doug, and that's certainly not how I read most of his detractors.



If there are, in fact, 600 existing Centene jobs in Clayton, Centene plans to create 600 more local jobs in the next three years. But they were going to do that anyway, whether they stayed in Clayton or moved downtown. That means, regionally, we just ponied up $130,000 per new job. We certainly can't say for sure, but it's a plausible argument that if Clayton city government hadn't screwed up so badly, said job growth would have cost local taxpayers bupkiss.



All that over and above the fact that we subsidized a new stadium to the tune of tens of millions only to be told that we needed to subsidize the now "prime" real estate adjacent to it by what, $100M, just to get it built. And now we have to pay a company to move into the space.



I'm sorry, the economics here are fuzzy at best.


If the city wasn't going to make any money, they wouldn't have invested.



Economics are fuzzy, but they will probably make up that $130,000 per person over the next 10 years...unless the 1% earnings tax has been waved for the CEOs, presidents, vice presidents, employees, construction workers, cleaning crew, etc. Plus some of the new employees might actually live in the city which would be nice change of pace.



The fact is the Clayton Government DID screw up and subsidies were now on the table from a lot of different cities...but I assume subsidies were probably on the table before Clayton screwed up because that is how business seems to get done lately.



I'm not disagreeing with you, but I think it's a bit early for it to be called a bad deal for the city and metropolitan area.



Cheers,

TFG

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PostSep 24, 2007#2312

Did he? I can't scroll back far enough to find out. I do see him saying it wasn't a great regional gain, but I can't find him saying that it was bad for the region.



I'm saying pretty much the same thing. It's better than if Centene had left, but to all outward appearances, Centene was pretty happy here until the whole eminent domain debacle. And now it's costing us at least $78M to keep 'em.


I was wrong here, I meant that he stated that it wasn't positive for the region.



But you do have it wrong. We're not paying 78 million, we're just not charging them that much where we could have been. While Clayton is doing fine, this brings more balance to the region by having the first big positive gain in jobs for downtown St Louis in decades, it creates more incentives for people to live nearer to the city, and it is more people spending money in our central business district.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2313

SoulardD wrote:This is getting ridiculous. I simply can't see how this isn't a net positive for the city. Maybe they aren't collecting the tax money they would've sans incentives, but who cares? More jobs downtown, more buildings downtown and construction crews building them, more people inhabiting downtown at least part of their days, more credibility for other companies to move downtown, etc. There are many benefits, tangible and intangible to this deal. How about the moral victory the city has in gaining the biggest company to city limits since the 50's?



Also, am I misunderstanding something here or are we not paying Centene $130,000 per job but instead not charging them that in taxes? So we don't gain $78 million that we never had or would've had if they stayed in Clayton or moved to Colorado or wherever. If I'm correct about that, this whole argument about it is just stupid. We should be happy we have more jobs, buildings, and people downtown. All the benefits they bring along are icing on the cake.


As an answer to this 'did we give up to much' question: please reference my post above. You can't give up something you never had.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2314

How many of the following were "net positives" to the City?



- Getting TWA to move here.

- Building St. Louis Centre

- Building the Gateway Mall

- Renovating Union Station

- Building the now-Scottrade Center

- Building the now-Jones Dome



Some might have been, but I think all of them had questionable total payoff.



Ironically to some of you, I was a regular on the news-talk shows in the early '80s arguing about the need for subsidies for things like the Southwestern Bell building. And the counterargument then, as it could be now, is that there must be an end to it all -- downtown has to get to the point where it's attractive without subsidy. I don't see that point anytime in the near future, especially given that the "absolute prime" real estate downtown -- already in a site big enough to build upon -- is requiring megasubsidy.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2315

bonwich wrote:How many of the following were "net positives" to the City?



- Getting TWA to move here.

- Building St. Louis Centre

- Building the Gateway Mall

- Renovating Union Station

- Building the now-Scottrade Center

- Building the now-Jones Dome



Some might have been, but I think all of them had questionable total payoff.



Ironically to some of you, I was a regular on the news-talk shows in the early '80s arguing about the need for subsidies for things like the Southwestern Bell building. And the counterargument then, as it could be now, is that there must be an end to it all -- downtown has to get to the point where it's attractive without subsidy. I don't see that point anytime in the near future, especially given that the "absolute prime" real estate downtown -- already in a site big enough to build upon -- is requiring megasubsidy.


Exactly: we can't do sh*t right around here.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2316

Getting TWA to move here.


This was good for a long time. Eventually, we lost it, which is normal for a downtown. The thing is you have to keep gaining jobs to make up for inevitable losses. You can't just plateau and say "we have enough."

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PostSep 24, 2007#2317

bonwich wrote:How many of the following were "net positives" to the City?



- Getting TWA to move here.

- Building St. Louis Centre

- Building the Gateway Mall

- Renovating Union Station

- Building the now-Scottrade Center

- Building the now-Jones Dome



Some might have been, but I think all of them had questionable total payoff.



Ironically to some of you, I was a regular on the news-talk shows in the early '80s arguing about the need for subsidies for things like the Southwestern Bell building. And the counterargument then, as it could be now, is that there must be an end to it all -- downtown has to get to the point where it's attractive without subsidy. I don't see that point anytime in the near future, especially given that the "absolute prime" real estate downtown -- already in a site big enough to build upon -- is requiring megasubsidy.


^Only 'getting TWA to move here' is comparable to what just happened, so how bout forgetting those other negative things?



Getting TWA to move here was a net positive. Just because they didn't stay doesn't mean they didn't help the area for years while they were here.



Post edited in an effort to keep things civil

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PostSep 24, 2007#2318

We assume they would have left. The problem with these negotiations is that government is at a huge disadvantage. They need revenue and can't really be sure if a corporation will actually move or simply wants more incentive to stay. So rather than having Slay's opponent with the slogan "He Lost Centene" or "He Lost the Cards," we pay.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2319

Well, subsidies don't seem to be going anywhere anytime soon. This is true of everywhere.



Regarding the developments above I think it could be argued that they were all positives. At least I think that without US or the stadiums or TWA ever having been here, St. Louis would be worse off. Unless the numbers have been crunched and the economic impact of these developments has been analyzed I don't think we can really reach a conclusion. Did the region give away more to TWA than it generated in revenue for the area? I don't know.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2320

dweebe wrote:[for real, not sarcastic]St. Louis City totally effed this deal up. Money that should be going to schools or roads will be ending up lining the pockets of the owners/upper management of Centene who I'm 99.9% sure live in Ladue or Frontenac. Can we ever do anything right in this town? This place sucks a**. :x [/for real, not sarcastic]


Don't be so certain. Several local CEOs and executives live in the Central West End (thus city taxes). Surprise surprise -- many of them like being close to the same cutural institutions we enjoy!

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PostSep 24, 2007#2321

Doug wrote:We assume they would have left. The problem with these negotiations is that government is at a huge disadvantage. They need revenue and can't really be sure if a corporation will actually move or simply wants more incentive to stay. So rather than having Slay's opponent with the slogan "He Lost Centene" or "He Lost the Cards," we pay.


Not to start a fight here, but you just don't seem to be getting it. Everyone else has come to the same conclusion by using reasoning, which you can't seem to do.



Centene was never in the city. It would've been impossible to lose them. The slogan would be "He never had Centene". And rather than pay, we don't collect.



How is that hard to understand?

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PostSep 24, 2007#2322

Doug wrote:We assume they would have left. The problem with these negotiations is that government is at a huge disadvantage. They need revenue and can't really be sure if a corporation will actually move or simply wants more incentive to stay. So rather than having Slay's opponent with the slogan "He Lost Centene" or "He Lost the Cards," we pay.


Doug, if Centene had left you would have been the first to blame that on Slay...

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PostSep 24, 2007#2323

stlmike wrote:But you do have it wrong. We're not paying 78 million, we're just not charging them that much where we could have been. While Clayton is doing fine, this brings more balance to the region by having the first big positive gain in jobs for downtown St Louis in decades, it creates more incentives for people to live nearer to the city, and it is more people spending money in our central business district.


This is the standing TIF/etc. argument: It's not really a subsidy, because it wasn't there to begin with. It was the same argument made with property tax abatement in the '80s. Nonetheless, I bet Centene thinks it's getting a real $78M, and that money wasn't just "created." It's more of a bet-on-the-come thing, for which I'd offer the St. Louis Marketplace and the Robert E. Lee as examples of real-life instances where TIFs actually cost the City money.



And you're getting all caught up in that Civic Progress/Big Business mythology again. I bet there were lots more jobs created downtown roughly 1995-2002 than this will create, with new biz like Asychrony and expansion in the creative sector (Zipatoni, Phoenix) and two or three whole floors by the big toy/incentive company on Tenth Street at Wash Ave.



Again -- not saying it's a "bad thing." Just that it's not as "historic" as it's being hyped.

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PostSep 24, 2007#2324

bonwich wrote:
stlmike wrote:But you do have it wrong. We're not paying 78 million, we're just not charging them that much where we could have been. While Clayton is doing fine, this brings more balance to the region by having the first big positive gain in jobs for downtown St Louis in decades, it creates more incentives for people to live nearer to the city, and it is more people spending money in our central business district.


This is the standing TIF/etc. argument: It's not really a subsidy, because it wasn't there to begin with. It was the same argument made with property tax abatement in the '80s. Nonetheless, I bet Centene thinks it's getting a real $78M, and that money wasn't just "created." It's more of a bet-on-the-come thing, for which I'd offer the St. Louis Marketplace and the Robert E. Lee as examples of real-life instances where TIFs actually cost the City money.



And you're getting all caught up in that Civic Progress/Big Business mythology again. I bet there were lots more jobs created downtown roughly 1995-2002 than this will create, with new biz like Asychrony and expansion in the creative sector (Zipatoni, Phoenix) and two or three whole floors by the big toy/incentive company on Tenth Street at Wash Ave.



Again -- not saying it's a "bad thing." Just that it's not as "historic" as it's being hyped.


^Can people see what I've been posting? Is it invisible?

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PostSep 24, 2007#2325

bonwich wrote:Ironically to some of you, I was a regular on the news-talk shows in the early '80s arguing about the need for subsidies for things like the Southwestern Bell building. And the counterargument then, as it could be now, is that there must be an end to it all -- downtown has to get to the point where it's attractive without subsidy. I don't see that point anytime in the near future, especially given that the "absolute prime" real estate downtown -- already in a site big enough to build upon -- is requiring megasubsidy.
It's great that you understand the value of incentives. Sure, there should be a solid business case. It's also true that nothing occurs in a vacuum There is inherent risk with any project and with that comes a combination of successes and failures. This is reality.



Downtown has to get to the point where it's attractive without subsidy? All cities offer subsidies to garner business, to include Chicago, LA, New York. As long as we are competitive and it makes business sense, bully for us. Investment is better than divestment.


bonwich wrote:Again -- not saying it's a "bad thing." Just that it's not as "historic" as it's being hyped.
I think the "historic" bit (hosting the announcement at the History Museum) was marketing hype by the City and Centene. No more no less.

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