urbanSTL

^Other than the actual decennial census the other main methods are American Community Survey and the annual 'vintage' method.  The census data is mostly collected by summer so is really for the half year, not the full year.  Same for the vintage method, it's up to about June/July of year stated.

The following come from the vintage method.  And will be adjusted when the Census comes out.  The Census traditionally shows lower than annual vintage/ACS.

Here is STL City for 2020, actually up to summer 2020, not full year 2020.
https://www.recenter.tamu.edu/data/popu ... Louis_city

STL County up to summer 2020..
https://www.recenter.tamu.edu/data/popu ... uis_County

STL Metro up to summer 2020...
https://www.recenter.tamu.edu/data/popu ... s%2C_MO-IL

The raw data is here...
https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys ... areas.html

Ah I follow you.  It was just an estimate based on existing pattern but yeah, odd source when there are better.

OOOOOOOOH BABY! Census data down to the block level is out. Read 'em and weep.

City of St. Louis: 301,578
St. Louis County: 1,004,125
St. Charles County: 405,262

Kansas City: 508,090

sc4mayor wrote: ↑

Aug 12, 2021

City and County numbers are significantly better than I expected.

Yup, this is pretty much standard across the country with cities/metro areas overperforming estimates and rural counties showing across the board worse declines. 

Here is the national county map they released:

What a gift for democrats.  Rural America is dying. Whites are now only 57.8% and in Georgia only 50.1%.


White: 57.8% (full two points lower than estimates)
Hispanic: 18.7%
Black: 12.1%
Asian/Other: 11.4%

Lincoln County: +13.3% | Population: 59,574
Warren County:  +9.3% | Population: 35,532
Franklin County: +3.1% | Population: 104,682
Jefferson County: +3.7% | Population: 226,739
St. Charles County: +12.4% | Population: 405,262
St. Louis County: +0.5% | Population: 1,004,125
St. Louis City: -5.5% | Population: 301,578
St. Claire County: -4.7% | Population: 257,400
Madison County: -1.3% | Population: 265,859
Monroe County: +6.1% | Population: 34,962

Ebsy wrote: ↑

Aug 12, 2021

OOOOOOOOH BABY! Census data down to the block level is out. Read 'em and weep.

City of St. Louis: 301,578
St. Louis County: 1,004,125
St. Charles County: 405,262

Kansas City: 508,090

How do you access the data?

chriss752 wrote: ↑

Aug 12, 2021

Ebsy wrote: ↑

Aug 12, 2021

OOOOOOOOH BABY! Census data down to the block level is out. Read 'em and weep.

City of St. Louis: 301,578
St. Louis County: 1,004,125
St. Charles County: 405,262

Kansas City: 508,090

How do you access the data?

https://mtgis-portal.geo.census.gov/arc ... 2fd7ff6eb7

Here you go! Unfortunately the Census Keystone Cops are not making the data available in easy to access spreadsheets for the time being.

When does Neighborhood level data come out?  I'm always curious about which neighborhoods in STL grew/declined and by how much. 

Ebsy wrote: St. Louis City: -5.5% | Population: 301,578

If the momentum continues, we’re near the bottom of our barrel! Come on Mayor Jones and Jason Hall! 310 by 2030!


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For those interested:

Boone County (Columbia): +12.9% | Population: 183,610
Greene County (Springfield):  +8.6% | Population: 298,915
Jackson County: +6.4% | Population: 717,204
Clay County (KC Suburbs): +14.1% | Population: 253,335
Platte County (KC Suburbs): +19.5% | Population: 106,718
Buchanan County (St. Joseph): -4.9% | Population: 84,793
Cape Girardeau County: +8.0% | Population: 81,710

How do you get city and county?


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mjbais1489 wrote: ↑

Aug 12, 2021

When does Neighborhood level data come out?  I'm always curious about which neighborhoods in STL grew/declined and by how much. 

The census block data and all higher levels have been released, it is just in a format that is not super accessible.

^Let's move the target up.  10 years.... 10%

330,000 by 30 has a ring to it.

It's hard to tell neighborhood level since the census blocks go beyond some neighborhood boundaries. But a quick figuring out by me puts the Central West End around 20,000 people, or 6,000 more than 2010. It's just hard at this point until the data can be sorted out.

I will let the experts handle the block level data.  

Appreciate all the good info, links and commentary!

New York City gained 600,000!

Ebsy wrote: ↑

Aug 12, 2021

For those interested:

Boone County (Columbia): +12.9% | Population: 183,610
Greene County (Springfield):  +8.6% | Population: 298,915
Jackson County: +6.4% | Population: 717,204
Clay County (KC Suburbs): +14.1% | Population: 253,335
Platte County (KC Suburbs): +19.5% | Population: 106,718
Buchanan County (St. Joseph): -4.9% | Population: 84,793
Cape Girardeau County: +8.0% | Population: 81,710

I'm happy to see Cape Girardeau county growing!

dbInSouthCity wrote: ↑

Aug 12, 2021

What a gift for democrats.  Rural America is dying. Whites are now only 57.8% and in Georgia only 50.1%.


White: 57.8% (full two points lower than estimates)
Hispanic: 18.7%
Black: 12.1%
Asian/Other: 11.4%

If only it were so simple. While the demographics are certainly on the Democrats side, the voting restriction legislation and redistricting schemes absolutely favor Republicans. They aren't concerned with winning over majorities of the population, they only care about being able to keep control as a minoritarian party. And in many ways, they are succeeding. It is entirely possible that the exact same groups vote in the exact same way and in the exact same numbers in 2022 as they did in 2020, with the Republicans winding up potentially gaining 13 House seats (and the Speakership) just from redistricting. Keep in mind, 2020 was generally a very good election for Democrats - they lost seats in the House, but they still kept the majority. They could have just as strong a turnout next November as they did last November (highly unlikely, given historic trends), and still wind up losing control of the House. I wish the electoral picture were rosier, but it isn't. We do ourselves no favors by pretending like everything will be just fine next November. We need federal voting rights legislation passed, because there is a lot of nasty stuff in the pipeline in many critical states. Manchin and Sinema need to wake the fork up.

I almost forgot about the race numbers. As anticipated, I can report that the City of St. Louis is now plurality white:

City of St. Louis
Percent Black/African American alone or in combination: 45.4
Percent White alone or in combination: 49.2
Percent Asian alone or in combination: 5.1

Changes to how the numbers are calculated means that we can't do apples to apples to the 2010 numbers, but even looking at White Alone vs. Black Alone, White alone has edged ahead.