urbanSTL

^ The Census is scheduled to release the 2014 County population estimates (July 1, 2014) sometime this month.... any predictions?

I'm going out on a limb and say the City (independent County) will see a .1% projected increase with a slightly higher increase in Saint Louis County. St. Chuck's will continue to lead the region.

I'm not sure which of these are original vs. revised numbers, but here's the previous four years:

2010   319,257
2011   319,147
2012   319,112
2013   318,416

The estimate was for a loss of 1,077 in the city, which is a drop of 0.3% over 2013. Total population estimate is 317,419. County was stagnant and St. Chuck's grew 1.5%

http://factfinder.census.gov/faces/tabl ... l?src=bkmk

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/metr ... 399cc.html

Metro area overall was quite slow, 44th out the top 50 metros with growth at .1%. Here is a pretty cool overview of metro growth with a breakdown of domestic migration, international immigration, and natural change (births versus deaths)

http://graphics.stltoday.com/population-estimates-14/

^ I don't think the numbers are doom and gloom for the city.... obviously we need to improve but overall population counts are just one factor in how a city or region is doing. For the city, if the estimates are correct we no longer are bleeding people out and if these estimates hold for the decade we'll be above 310,000 and have just a modest drop. It also looks like we continue to do a bit better with immigration; at the neighborhood level, we'll see a lot of changes good and bad, but overall I think with loss in North City, strong gains in the Central Corridor and modest loss in South City. Probably fewer people overall but more wealth and diversity.

Minneapolis is a good example... it lost a few people over the course of the 00's but nobody really thought of that as being brutal. And if you want to see a region that likely is doing pretty well despite an overall population loss, look at the Pittsburgh metro. It actually lost people last year according to the estimates, yet if you look at what is going on it is because they had a lot of native geezers die and/or young people are not having enough babies.

I think we have the sexytime part down. So if we can do a bit better on our immigration numbers (like Twin Cities) and build our knowledge economy a bit faster (like Pittsburgh) we should be okay.

Does the 2014 estimate delve into demographics?

Saint Louis County also is estimated to have had more births than deaths and more immigrants, but a net loss in domestic migration. Overall a small growth of 385 souls.

Many growing cities and metros have net domestic migration loss... people shouldn't get too hung up on that category. Also, a good percentage of those 14,000 that left the city were indeed non-working children. Cities are the bullpens of the suburbs.

^ how is that silly? you inferred 14,000 hard working non-immigrant adults have left the City since 2010. That just isn't the case. Many of those are children. Others are retirees. As with last decade, it is very likely we have more people in the 18-64 population category while we have fewer in the under 18 and 65+ category.

^ In fact, of the top 50 metros, 21 had a drop in net domestic migration. And that includes rapidly growing places like the Salt Lake City, Twin Cities, Boston and San Jose metros.