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PostDec 04, 2020#601

ldai_phs wrote:I am not sure where that company is getting their numbers from. Effective rents in CWE and Downtown are down about .5 to 1%.  No submarket in St. Louis has seen rent growth over 5% from what I am seeing. 

Over the past 12 months, St. Louis has added ~2600 units and absorbed about 2500. KC added about 5800 and absorbed 4000.  Indianapolis added 2,736 units and absorbed 4,050. Indianapolis is the clear leader when it comes to delta added vs absorbed and rent growth but St. Louis makes the list? I have a feeling that website just does not track nearly as many units as the actual real estate databases or name brand apartment finders.
^where are you pulling these numbers from? Keep in mind that KC and Indy are wildly bigger land size cities than STL (unless you’re looking at metro data)


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PostDec 04, 2020#602

For the record, here is Zumper’s methodology. Seems solid.

https://www.zumper.com/blog/our-methodo ... with-data/


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PostDec 04, 2020#603

SeattleNative wrote:
ldai_phs wrote:I am not sure where that company is getting their numbers from. Effective rents in CWE and Downtown are down about .5 to 1%.  No submarket in St. Louis has seen rent growth over 5% from what I am seeing. 

Over the past 12 months, St. Louis has added ~2600 units and absorbed about 2500. KC added about 5800 and absorbed 4000.  Indianapolis added 2,736 units and absorbed 4,050. Indianapolis is the clear leader when it comes to delta added vs absorbed and rent growth but St. Louis makes the list? I have a feeling that website just does not track nearly as many units as the actual real estate databases or name brand apartment finders.
^where are you pulling these numbers from? Keep in mind that KC and Indy are wildly bigger land size cities than STL (unless you’re looking at metro data)


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I’m looking at metro data from actual reliable sources. Groups like Loopnet, Zillow, and Apartments.com have analytical tools for professionals. These paint a very different and more accurate picture for cities. St. Louis is doing a lot better than many cities but not 25% rent growth better. Even a 12 month increase of 10% or 15% increase would be super noticeable.

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PostDec 04, 2020#604

ldai_phs wrote:
SeattleNative wrote:
ldai_phs wrote:I am not sure where that company is getting their numbers from. Effective rents in CWE and Downtown are down about .5 to 1%.  No submarket in St. Louis has seen rent growth over 5% from what I am seeing. 

Over the past 12 months, St. Louis has added ~2600 units and absorbed about 2500. KC added about 5800 and absorbed 4000.  Indianapolis added 2,736 units and absorbed 4,050. Indianapolis is the clear leader when it comes to delta added vs absorbed and rent growth but St. Louis makes the list? I have a feeling that website just does not track nearly as many units as the actual real estate databases or name brand apartment finders.
^where are you pulling these numbers from? Keep in mind that KC and Indy are wildly bigger land size cities than STL (unless you’re looking at metro data)


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I’m looking at metro data from actual reliable sources. Groups like Loopnet, Zillow, and Apartments.com have analytical tools for professionals. These paint a very different and more accurate picture for cities. St. Louis is doing a lot better than many cities but not 25% rent growth better. Even a 12 month increase of 10% or 15% increase would be super noticeable.
I don’t think Zumper is a non-reliable source. You can look at their methodology and tell me what you disagree with in it, though. No reason to get condescending, here.


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PostDec 04, 2020#605

SeattleNative wrote:
ldai_phs wrote:
SeattleNative wrote: ^where are you pulling these numbers from? Keep in mind that KC and Indy are wildly bigger land size cities than STL (unless you’re looking at metro data)


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I’m looking at metro data from actual reliable sources. Groups like Loopnet, Zillow, and Apartments.com have analytical tools for professionals. These paint a very different and more accurate picture for cities. St. Louis is doing a lot better than many cities but not 25% rent growth better. Even a 12 month increase of 10% or 15% increase would be super noticeable.
I don’t think Zumper is a non-reliable source. You can look at their methodology and tell me what you disagree with in it, though. No reason to get condescending, here.


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Yes, I question their database and how they actually calculate their numbers. We would know if the average effective rent being paid grew by as much as they are claiming.


“ Zumper’s CEO also told us that the National Rent Report focuses on the median apartment available for rent, and doesn’t claim to take into account apartments that are currently occupied.”



Article on the huge disparities between Zumper and leading databases https://cityobservatory.org/caveat_rentor/

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PostDec 04, 2020#606

I don’t think they’ve tried to pass off their data as something different than what it is. They’re largely just aggregating the raw data they do have and tracking its changes over times which is meaningful. No surprise that they’re not capturing a bunch of rentals up in Hyde Park, but it helps to paint a picture comparing St. Louis compared to the national rental market and that’s really what I think is interesting here, not specific numbers. I think it’s more interesting that St. Louis is doing much better than the majority of the country in terms of price growth.

I know a bunch of people here who have seen their rents go way up and in Seattle who have been offered 3 months free in addition to lower payments.


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PostDec 04, 2020#607

BellaVilla wrote:
Dec 04, 2020
cteclipse wrote:
Dec 04, 2020
^Compared to SF NYC is dirt cheap.

I have always taken the contrary opinion and believe that St. Louis is NOT cheap.  When you compare any city to SF or NYC, or DC, they are all CHEAP.  My wife and I have lived in other places, nearly all of our social circle are transplants, and nearly everyone we know comments that it's "fairly expensive" out here to live, especially when you look to buy a modestly nice house to live in.  Sure, the stats show that it's "cheap", but in practice when you actually go to look to find a decent place to live (buy or rent) in a decent area you're quite above the statistical average.  I've got friends and family all around the country to compare with and transplant opinions on other forums such as Citydata would agree with this as well.

I've been meaning to write the development agencies (I am on the regional chamber) to rethink this strategy.  When I hear something is cheap, I ask why? Or in this case, may infer that's because no one wants to live there.  2 years ago they were running a 250 mile radius campaign trying to get people to relocate from smaller towns to STL. I guarantee people from rural IL, MO will get sticker shock if they are told STL is cheap. 
Well, this position is empirically and anecdotally incorrect. My colleagues in Chicago are paying 2-3X my rent for less square footage. 

The only thing that is expensive in St. Louis is groceries. I assume its because there isn't enough competition for Schnucks but idk.
We spent the better part of 2020 looking for a house to buy, and closed in August. I also travel for a living and for fun (52 countries, 48 states), and am pretty inquisitive to the places I visit so I feel like I have a pretty good baseline for comparisons.  It's nearly impossible to define parameters as there will always be anecdotal examples one way or another, however I'll try.   

Middle to Upper Middle class income.  1000-1400sqf apartments, 1600-2000sqf housing.  In the city would be nicer areas of south city, dog town, around TG, CWE, midtown, grove.   County would be U-City, DeMun, RH, MW, WG, Kirkwood, Sunset Hills, Crestwood, Creve Couer, fanning out that way. 

My good friend in Philly lives in a first ring suburb with good schools in a modern townhome for $300k.   We're originally from the Buffalo area and home prices are nearly double out here. We have friends here from Rochester and other parts of NY state who echo the same sentiment.  My wife has many friends in Columbus/Akron and they were always surprised by rent/prices out here.  We have multiple cousins and friends who live/lived in Brooklyn and their rents weren't far from what we were paying in CWE.  We have 2 groups of friends from PHX who say it's expensive to find a comparable house in STL.  My wife's cousin lives in a new build 2 bed aptmt with a pool in Charlotte for $1200/month.  My friend who is in real estate just moved to Atlanta and said it's cheaper to buy a nice home in ATL than STL. 

I can go on like this.  I wouldn't call STL expensive per se, however I feel cheap is not accurate. 

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PostDec 04, 2020#608

Honestly, no matter what source is wrong or not, I have never heard of Zumper until now.

Also, I don't deny that rental rates are climbing upward, but they are most certainly not climbing as fast as it is made out to be. It's more of a slow and gradual increase. It seems that with every new development opening, average rental rates increase slightly (which is to be expected). STL is still mostly affordable and if we were talking about rental increases going up over 20%, there would have to be far more to the picture that I am not seeing.

And if we have a crunch on luxury apartments, which some claims have been made by many that are in turn causing rental rates to go up, then 100 Above the Park should be mostly full and it is only at the 30% mark (sitting at 221 of 315 apartments available). 

So, I'm not denying the research, but the claims by Zumper are over optimistic. Whereas Apartments.com, Costar, and others put us at .5-1% is seemingly pessimistic but more in line with what makes sense. 

We are still an affordable Midwestern City to live in. There are plenty of apartments and homes outside of the Central Corridor in nicer neighborhoods that make up for the high-prices of the central corridor. We will remain affordable until we boom like Austin or Nashville.

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PostDec 06, 2020#609

cteclipse wrote:
Dec 04, 2020
BellaVilla wrote:
Dec 04, 2020
cteclipse wrote:
Dec 04, 2020
^Compared to SF NYC is dirt cheap.

I have always taken the contrary opinion and believe that St. Louis is NOT cheap.  When you compare any city to SF or NYC, or DC, they are all CHEAP.  My wife and I have lived in other places, nearly all of our social circle are transplants, and nearly everyone we know comments that it's "fairly expensive" out here to live, especially when you look to buy a modestly nice house to live in.  Sure, the stats show that it's "cheap", but in practice when you actually go to look to find a decent place to live (buy or rent) in a decent area you're quite above the statistical average.  I've got friends and family all around the country to compare with and transplant opinions on other forums such as Citydata would agree with this as well.

I've been meaning to write the development agencies (I am on the regional chamber) to rethink this strategy.  When I hear something is cheap, I ask why? Or in this case, may infer that's because no one wants to live there.  2 years ago they were running a 250 mile radius campaign trying to get people to relocate from smaller towns to STL. I guarantee people from rural IL, MO will get sticker shock if they are told STL is cheap. 
Well, this position is empirically and anecdotally incorrect. My colleagues in Chicago are paying 2-3X my rent for less square footage. 

The only thing that is expensive in St. Louis is groceries. I assume its because there isn't enough competition for Schnucks but idk.
We spent the better part of 2020 looking for a house to buy, and closed in August. I also travel for a living and for fun (52 countries, 48 states), and am pretty inquisitive to the places I visit so I feel like I have a pretty good baseline for comparisons.  It's nearly impossible to define parameters as there will always be anecdotal examples one way or another, however I'll try.   

Middle to Upper Middle class income.  1000-1400sqf apartments, 1600-2000sqf housing.  In the city would be nicer areas of south city, dog town, around TG, CWE, midtown, grove.   County would be U-City, DeMun, RH, MW, WG, Kirkwood, Sunset Hills, Crestwood, Creve Couer, fanning out that way. 

My good friend in Philly lives in a first ring suburb with good schools in a modern townhome for $300k.   We're originally from the Buffalo area and home prices are nearly double out here. We have friends here from Rochester and other parts of NY state who echo the same sentiment.  My wife has many friends in Columbus/Akron and they were always surprised by rent/prices out here.  We have multiple cousins and friends who live/lived in Brooklyn and their rents weren't far from what we were paying in CWE.  We have 2 groups of friends from PHX who say it's expensive to find a comparable house in STL.  My wife's cousin lives in a new build 2 bed aptmt with a pool in Charlotte for $1200/month.  My friend who is in real estate just moved to Atlanta and said it's cheaper to buy a nice home in ATL than STL. 

I can go on like this.  I wouldn't call STL expensive per se, however I feel cheap is not accurate. 
Yeah, StL probably is more expensive than Akron, Rochester and Buffalo.

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PostDec 12, 2020#610

STL Business Journal has picked up on the housing 'crunch' and increasing price in the area.

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PostAug 28, 2021#611

Not sure where to put this, but this unique converted firehouse at St. Charles and 20th is for sale (artwork not included). This had been the home of a prominent figure in the local arts scene.







https://www.zillow.com/homes/503-N-20th ... dHawZb6jsE

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PostAug 28, 2021#612

framer wrote:
Aug 28, 2021
Not sure where to put this, but this unique converted firehouse at St. Charles and 20th is for sale (artwork not included). This had been the home of a prominent figure in the local arts scene.







https://www.zillow.com/homes/503-N-20th ... dHawZb6jsE
That is not a $900,000 home even with extra space on first floor. $550-600 maybe

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PostAug 29, 2021#613

framer wrote:
Aug 28, 2021
Not sure where to put this, but this unique converted firehouse at St. Charles and 20th is for sale (artwork not included). This had been the home of a prominent figure in the local arts scene.
^That may be the understatement of the year there Framer. That's a whole lot of Trova in one shot and a lot of other art the museum would love to have. Which . . . *checks property listing* . . . I expect a fair bit of it ends up on loan there from time to time. The family name is plastered on their walls too. Yowza! Gorgeous collection.
dbInSouthCity wrote:That is not a $900,000 home even with extra space on first floor.   $550-600 maybe
They seem to be marketing it as mixed use. If it were merely a home . . . . maybe I'd agree with you. But as a solid, flexible, and well maintained commercial space with secure parking across the street from the new attraction I bet they get their asking price. It's zoned I. Central Business District, so maybe you could even convert it over without much hassle? Not quite sure how that works.

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PostAug 29, 2021#614

framer wrote:
Aug 28, 2021
Not sure where to put this, but this unique converted firehouse at St. Charles and 20th is for sale (artwork not included). This had been the home of a prominent figure in the local arts scene.







https://www.zillow.com/homes/503-N-20th ... dHawZb6jsE
I think the bottom floor of this building would make a nice little hq for a local company, hmmm maybe something paranormal even

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PostAug 30, 2021#615

^Heh! Is there something strange in your neighborhood? Harold Ramis went to Wash U and worked here for a while. If he were still living maybe you could have talked him into setting up shop there.

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PostAug 30, 2021#616

The fashion fund space on Wash Ave (that has an active $500k renovation permit) has 20 bathtubs sitting inside but it’s unclear if it’s for the future use of the space or storage by building owner for units above

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PostAug 30, 2021#617

symphonicpoet wrote:
Aug 30, 2021
^Heh! Is there something strange in your neighborhood? Harold Ramis went to Wash U and worked here for a while. If he were still living maybe you could have talked him into setting up shop there.
Well... if they're targeting something paranormal, the fact that he isn't still living may not be a deterrent.

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PostSep 10, 2021#618

The Firehouse is under contract. I don't know if they got their asking price, or what the buyer plans for the building, but it's a good sign for Downtown West that it sold so quickly. 

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PostSep 10, 2021#619

I bet it was because of the awesome realtor…

Just kidding, just found out today that this was one of my own realtor’s listings haha.

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PostNov 26, 2021#620

St Louis metro rental prices for new leases are down 4% year/year. Interesting.


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PostNov 26, 2021#621

^Any chance you can provide a source for this number? I'm interested in learning more.

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PostNov 26, 2021#622

OnTheEdge wrote:^Any chance you can provide a source for this number? I'm interested in learning more.
Here you go https://www.redfin.com/news/redfin-rent ... me-cities/


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PostNov 26, 2021#623

^Thank you

PostNov 26, 2021#624

"Only one metro area [in the US out of 50] saw a decrease in rent in October compared to a year earlier: Rents fell 4% in St. Louis, MO."
Ouch...  Or, I guess maybe joy if you're a renter in STL...¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Edit: Interesting the second to last was KC metro with 0.1%.  MoLeg for the win?

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PostNov 26, 2021#625

Front Page Lofts has started to lease (the Board of Elections building at Tucker and Olive). Wonder what project will Screaming Eagle take on next down here. They did the building on Locust and 19th which recently opened than starting this one shortly after starting the locust building

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