The broken windows theory doesn't hold true in the sense that "small crimes lead to bigger ones." But it certainly seems to hold true that, if X crimes are going to be committed, they're more likely going to be committed in a place that has a history of non-enforcement.MarkHaversham wrote:That's exactly the formulation of the theory I find least convincing: that misdemeanors are the gateway drug to mass murder.downtown2007 wrote:It's natural progression. I can get away with this, what can I get away with next. In addition, you combine multiple minor infractions that comes together simultaneously on the weekends and you get chaos.
Having said that, we should still police minor infractions for their own sake. But I don't think that 10 citations for broken taillights = 1 prevented shooting.
Simple example: Metrolink. I witness more petty (and real) crime on Metrolink than I do anywhere else, per given unit of time.
Now, a loaded Metro train has the 'advantage' to a criminal of holding a captive audience. But while enforcement across Metro is low in general, absolutely the most crime occurs between Civic Center and Forest Park, between which there is never - EVER - enforcement of petty violations (lack of ticket, eating, loud music, etc.).
So even if you assume that crime is only displaced, never eliminated, enforcement at least displaces it.






