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PostSep 30, 2014#1676

bigmclargehuge wrote:Me when i realize BPV is slowly going to close almost everything on washington
Somehow I view the Venn diagram of "BPV customers" and "Washington Ave customers" not crossing over significantly. The only issue I could see for BPV stealing customers is from sports bars like Flannery's, Bobby's Place and Over/Under.

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PostSep 30, 2014#1677

^Yeah thats true. Places like Lucas park and Robust are safe for now.

However Dubliner already stated they have seen a 30% hit. Just from casual observation. . .Leaving the gym on a nice evening i would see the Flannerys patio half to reasonably full. THis summer it is almost always empty. I dont care if these places dont survive as long as they are replaced with something. Something that caters to residents. But look at all the empty spaces. . .Mosaic, Diner corner of tucker and wash, Bogen corner spot, Rue 13, the art gallery next to it, Lola, Tomorrow Gelateria. Probably not all BPV related but sure a bummer. But ive complained about this many times and maybe im biased because my frustration may be clouding things.

It sure would be nice to see Wash Ave become more high end and leave the sports bars to BPV. But i dont know if STL can support a High End stretch?

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PostSep 30, 2014#1678

^That same phenomenon has me scratching my head about Gelateria Tavolini closing up shop. Apparently they were doing alright, with no major drop-off in activity, but just couldn't come to terms with their landlord on a new lease. How are retail spaces getting more expensive when no one is renting them?

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PostSep 30, 2014#1679

bigmclargehuge wrote:^Yeah thats true. Places like Lucas park and Robust are safe for now.

However Dubliner already stated they have seen a 30% hit. Just from casual observation. . .Leaving the gym on a nice evening i would see the Flannerys patio half to reasonably full. THis summer it is almost always empty. I dont care if these places dont survive as long as they are replaced with something. Something that caters to residents. But look at all the empty spaces. . .Mosaic, Diner corner of tucker and wash, Bogen corner spot, Rue 13, the art gallery next to it, Lola, Tomorrow Gelateria. Probably not all BPV related but sure a bummer. But ive complained about this many times and maybe im biased because my frustration may be clouding things.

It sure would be nice to see Wash Ave become more high end and leave the sports bars to BPV. But i dont know if STL can support a High End stretch?
I'm sure nearby residents wouldn't mind Washington Ave quieting down even if it means plenty of empty slots.

Washington Ave won't become a high end stretch until new infill can be built on surrounding lots. And that won't happen as long as Larry Rice is poisoning the area.

Do all the 3am licenses need to be pulled from the residential areas and constrained to the BPV area and south of Market?

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PostSep 30, 2014#1680

dweebe wrote: I'm sure nearby residents wouldn't mind Washington Ave quieting down even if it means plenty of empty slots.
Thats an interesting point. I wonder if im in the minority. When i moved to Wash Ave i envisioned it becoming a bustling stretch like the loop. I would much rather have constant day and night activity. Of all types, retail, nice bars and destination and high end restaruants, etc. But your right some residents would rather it be quiet. I would imagine there is an age range where the line is split.

As for infill. Part of my frustration is all this talk of building up the area around BPV. But there as been very little talk of continuing the momentum around washington. Why build up that area around BPV? The people who frequent BPV will most likely not be able to afford to move into the BVP resdiential. THose will get bought up and be weekend homes or overnight places. And corporate use, etc

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PostSep 30, 2014#1681

dweebe wrote:
bigmclargehuge wrote:Me when i realize BPV is slowly going to close almost everything on washington
Somehow I view the Venn diagram of "BPV customers" and "Washington Ave customers" not crossing over significantly. The only issue I could see for BPV stealing customers is from sports bars like Flannery's, Bobby's Place and Over/Under.
You'd be surprised. I think there's a lot of crossover. There are bartenders who work on Wash ave and at BPV and they say they see a lot of their customers at BPV more so than Wash Ave now.

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PostSep 30, 2014#1682

Wonder what this will do to pre game business in Soulard for those that also run shuttles to Blues games from there.

I always take the Hammerstones shuttle any time i go to blues/cards game, driven by Mr.Larry King. no kidding, his name is Larry King :D

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PostSep 30, 2014#1683

I just wish we had more people downtown to keep all districts on the rise. Arcade-Wright is a badly needed project to boost activity north of Market and it can't be completed soon enough. The Marriot Courtyard and Blues Museum should also help and hopefully we'll hear of another major mixed-use announcement like Jefferson Arms.

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PostSep 30, 2014#1684

^Agreed. It's easy to envision an additional 600+ units in/around OPO Plaza (Arcade, Chemical, Alverne, 720 Olive, 705 Olive) anchoring activity up there. It's just a matter of getting it all going.

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PostSep 30, 2014#1685

^ Between the Butler's Brother Building, the Railway Exchange, and the Jefferson Arms, we still have some massive buildings that could easily add 1000 apartments to the downtown area. I believe downtown will get to the critical mass , but it will likely be another 10-20 years before it feels like a big city downtown again. I still think we are a few thousand residents away from seeing retail for everyday use and we are likely 5-10 years away from a high rise boom, because I think that's how long it will take to feel up the remaining historic stock downtown.

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PostSep 30, 2014#1686

Sobering and realistic numbers. Sh!t maybe even optimistic numbers. I just wish downtown felt like it had momentum. Its just coasting. When the loft boom hit, early 2000s, you could just feel things progressing. It just doesnt feel like that. Crossing my fingers your wish list is reality but sadly i will be married, kids and moved on by then

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PostOct 01, 2014#1687

^ let me hop on the disappointment train as well... I think the Partnership's 2014 report really sealed it for me. Earlier they had been reporting about 500 new residents a year downtown in recent years, which would have been a bit of a bump of the annual average over last decade. But with their more honest reporting of about 350 a year there has been no gain in speed in D & DW. It isn't a bad number, and I believe convention & hotel bookings are up a bit a decent amount as well, but these gains are not enough to overcome losses on the office jobs front in the race to quicken the pace for reaching a truly vibrant downtown core.

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PostOct 01, 2014#1688

^ exactly, 350 is like one big project a year or maybe a few mid size projects, but in all honesty we may be seeing a slow down because of some post recession malaise (fingers crossed). With that said say we get anywhere from 300-500 people/year move downtown. That's like saying we will finish Jefferson Arms in 2016, Railroad Exchange in 2017, Butler's Brothers in 2018 etc.. With that kind of trickle growth, its easy to see how it will reasonably be 2020 before all of the major old buildings get filled. Unfortunately, it just doesn't seem like lenders are very bullish on downtown living even though there is obviously strong demand for 2 to 3x as much construction in my opinion. The problem is that St. Louis lenders are so suburban oriented, there really is a dearth of confidence in urban investment in this region. I also think our TOD projects will have trouble coming to reality without major subsidization and government intervention, despite regional and national trends that we are seeing a major surge in desire to live mixed use near transit. Its crazy to see Dallas, Denver, Minneapolis, even Charlotte see TOD proposals pop up every week and we have yet to see one major TOD proposal in the 20 years we have had Metrolink, but obviously that is linked to our slow economic and population growth. I wonder how many millennials we have lost, because local developers and governments dont "realize" young people want vibrant urban neighborhoods.

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PostOct 01, 2014#1689

Not necessarily the discussion for this thread... but I'm in Indianapolis right now where they're putting up 1000+ units/year downtown. The downtown area here is really the only bright spot for me and I can't figure out why it's booming so much when the city as a whole has much less going on than stl, is smaller, more conservative, and anyone I've talked to about it thinks stl is a much more happening/cooler place. The one difference I do see (or maybe I'm just closer to it) is that more companies are moving workers downtown.

Frustrates me to no end that most of my friends here would be happy being transplanted to st. louis instead as it is a "big/real city" with "things to do" but people pay just as much to live here in fiber cement siding boxes that are thrown up.

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PostOct 01, 2014#1690

Kinda think the recent discussion above is fitting to have on this thread. Why?, the one project that will be new construction/infill going forward will be BPV. A project that can add some excitement to finish out the year and give momentum into next year for downtown is BPV announcing phase II. A project that can possible pull in tenants and pull more outside dollars into downtown, maybe even a corporate location, is BPV.

Just need DeWitt to pull the trigger even if his family has to put some dollars into the bet. I would certainly say that St. Louis has put their money into supporting the Cards Franchise. Time for DeWitt to deliver more then just a winning team.

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PostOct 01, 2014#1691

^ agreed... I'm hoping for some good news soon. And we can't count out hearing something from Drury at any time.

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PostOct 01, 2014#1692

deformative wrote:Not necessarily the discussion for this thread... but I'm in Indianapolis right now where they're putting up 1000+ units/year downtown. The downtown area here is really the only bright spot for me and I can't figure out why it's booming so much when the city as a whole has much less going on than stl, is smaller, more conservative, and anyone I've talked to about it thinks stl is a much more happening/cooler place. The one difference I do see (or maybe I'm just closer to it) is that more companies are moving workers downtown.

Frustrates me to no end that most of my friends here would be happy being transplanted to st. louis instead as it is a "big/real city" with "things to do" but people pay just as much to live here in fiber cement siding boxes that are thrown up.
When you compare the scoreboard St. Louis destroys Indianapolis. Outside of downtown and Broad Ripple, what interesting neighborhoods/areas do they have?

PostOct 01, 2014#1693

roger wyoming II wrote:^ agreed... I'm hoping for some good news soon. And we can't count out hearing something from Drury at any time.
One could only hope a decent playoff run or another WS appearance with Phase I of BPV open, will only accelerate future phases.

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PostOct 01, 2014#1694

goat314 wrote:^ exactly, 350 is like one big project a year or maybe a few mid size projects, but in all honesty we may be seeing a slow down because of some post recession malaise (fingers crossed). With that said say we get anywhere from 300-500 people/year move downtown. That's like saying we will finish Jefferson Arms in 2016, Railroad Exchange in 2017, Butler's Brothers in 2018 etc.. With that kind of trickle growth, its easy to see how it will reasonably be 2020 before all of the major old buildings get filled. Unfortunately, it just doesn't seem like lenders are very bullish on downtown living even though there is obviously strong demand for 2 to 3x as much construction in my opinion.
And the momentum seems to have almost entirely shifted to the CWE/Cortex. The Arcade is a promising sign, however, and downtown needs to follow it with more.

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PostOct 01, 2014#1695

^ Let's go Chemical! Hopefully 1800 Pine will begin soon but 1720 Market (with Laclede Gas still there) and The Alverne are the only other large projects with reasonably firm plans, and work on the latter one won't begin until 2016. At least occupancy rates should increase to even higher levels in the coming months as recently completed projects lease up... hopefully that will lead to a number of new announcements.

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PostOct 06, 2014#1696

Phase 2 in coming. Prepare yourselves.

ready?

A RESIDENTIAL TOWER- being designed now! and my source is solid

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PostOct 06, 2014#1697

dbInSouthCity wrote:Phase 2 in coming. Prepare yourselves.

ready?

A RESIDENTIAL TOWER- being designed now! and my source is solid

Any idea of the timeframe for an announcement? World Series?

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PostOct 06, 2014#1698

I. HAVE. BEEN. PREPARED. forsometimenow :wink:

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PostOct 06, 2014#1699

shimmy wrote:
dbInSouthCity wrote:Phase 2 in coming. Prepare yourselves.

ready?

A RESIDENTIAL TOWER- being designed now! and my source is solid

Any idea of the timeframe for an announcement? World Series?
He wasn't sure on the time frame but soon. He works for the firm in Baltimore that's designing it but residential design isn't his part of the shop...

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PostOct 06, 2014#1700

Vegas has 1 in 100 odds they'll break ground before Jan, 1 2020.

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