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PostMar 05, 2025#1051

I think Jones can still do this. She needs better turn out and to get Michael Butler on the campaign trail to consolidate as much of his support as possible.

Odds are still on Spencer but it’s not over.

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PostMar 05, 2025#1052

She needs to make up with the 6th Ward progressives to have any chance.  In 2021 she won the 15th/8th wards(current 6th basically) by 8 points in primary and by 15 in general vs Spencer.  This time lost by 35 in primary.  



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PostMar 05, 2025#1053

Turnout was so bad in wards 11, 12, 13, 14.

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PostMar 06, 2025#1054

Spencer's performance in the northside wards indicates she received a higher share of the black vote (35-40%) than any white candidate for mayor has in St. Louis' modern political history. Conversely, it seems as if Jones only got slightly over 50% of the black vote.

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PostMar 06, 2025#1055

MattnSTL wrote:
Mar 05, 2025
quincunx wrote:
Mar 05, 2025
I thought contractor trash pickup was problematic due to the dumpster pickup method.

I guess a contractor could do the rollouts.
Yes, I believe any contracting of trash pickup would require switching to all roll-carts, or just contracting out the current roll-cart portion and switching those drivers to the dumpster routes. Irony on that would be those are the routes that are covered on the scheduled day consistently since the carts need to be emptied when they are out.

The truck and alley dumpster style that the City uses is primarily a municipal type. It is not at all unique to the City of St. Louis like some people acting in bad faith tried to claim a couple years ago, but it's not as common. Private companies, at least around here, don't have the trucks with the emptying system to match. I like having dumpsters in the alleys. No carts to deal with bringing in and out and storing, and when needed, I have the room to dispose of big things. I try to keep my trash production to a minimum as we all should, but sometimes you need some volume. I can deal with the alley dumpsters not being emptied on a consistent day, but it sure would be nice to not have them overflowing for the first time in years. My alley is usually fine, but the dumpsters in the alleys across the street from me are always quickly filled. Again, people need to produce less trash, but short of that. we still need more reliable service.

I would strongly prefer this and other work to be done by City employees. Which as we all know is going to require more improvements to compensation to attract more applicants. But I have been watching Megan Green acting as a surrogate for Jones tell us all for weeks that there is just absolutely nothing that the Mayor nor BOA can do to fix this problem, so the current people in charge should get no blame for poor service delivery (I simplified that just barely). Which is just a bizarre argument to offer.
An idea I have heard that I really like is that we no longer provide alley recycling and we transition to transfer stations. Most recycling in alley bins are contaminated and can't be recycled but almost 80% of recycling at the transfer stations can be recycled. The city is still able to provide recycling services to those that take the time to properly sort and it frees up drivers since they no longer need to run the same routes twice (1 for the trash and 1 for the recycling).

PostMar 06, 2025#1056

Turnout wasn't great but it at least improved on the March 2023 turnout (except in W14).
Post Ward Reduction Turnout Percentage.png (267.66KiB)

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PostMar 06, 2025#1057

Sarah K wrote:
Mar 06, 2025
An idea I have heard that I really like is that we no longer provide alley recycling and we transition to transfer stations. Most recycling in alley bins are contaminated and can't be recycled but almost 80% of recycling at the transfer stations can be recycled. The city is still able to provide recycling services to those that take the time to properly sort and it frees up drivers since they no longer need to run the same routes twice (1 for the trash and 1 for the recycling).
I am good with that in general. I already take my recycling to whatever drop off site is closest to where I am working when I need to dump my bin since all the alley recycling around me just gets dumped in with the regular trash whether it is contaminated or not.

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PostMar 06, 2025#1058

Sarah K wrote:
Mar 06, 2025
MattnSTL wrote:
Mar 05, 2025
quincunx wrote:
Mar 05, 2025
I thought contractor trash pickup was problematic due to the dumpster pickup method.

I guess a contractor could do the rollouts.
Yes, I believe any contracting of trash pickup would require switching to all roll-carts, or just contracting out the current roll-cart portion and switching those drivers to the dumpster routes. Irony on that would be those are the routes that are covered on the scheduled day consistently since the carts need to be emptied when they are out.

The truck and alley dumpster style that the City uses is primarily a municipal type. It is not at all unique to the City of St. Louis like some people acting in bad faith tried to claim a couple years ago, but it's not as common. Private companies, at least around here, don't have the trucks with the emptying system to match. I like having dumpsters in the alleys. No carts to deal with bringing in and out and storing, and when needed, I have the room to dispose of big things. I try to keep my trash production to a minimum as we all should, but sometimes you need some volume. I can deal with the alley dumpsters not being emptied on a consistent day, but it sure would be nice to not have them overflowing for the first time in years. My alley is usually fine, but the dumpsters in the alleys across the street from me are always quickly filled. Again, people need to produce less trash, but short of that. we still need more reliable service.

I would strongly prefer this and other work to be done by City employees. Which as we all know is going to require more improvements to compensation to attract more applicants. But I have been watching Megan Green acting as a surrogate for Jones tell us all for weeks that there is just absolutely nothing that the Mayor nor BOA can do to fix this problem, so the current people in charge should get no blame for poor service delivery (I simplified that just barely). Which is just a bizarre argument to offer.
An idea I have heard that I really like is that we no longer provide alley recycling and we transition to transfer stations. Most recycling in alley bins are contaminated and can't be recycled but almost 80% of recycling at the transfer stations can be recycled. The city is still able to provide recycling services to those that take the time to properly sort and it frees up drivers since they no longer need to run the same routes twice (1 for the trash and 1 for the recycling).
I think Spencer's recycling plan us actually pretty decent. Not perfect but pretty decent. If she implements it, I think it'll be good. I just don't really like the opt-in plan as I think that'll get complicated and cause issues.

My idea would be to switch to only doing the drop off points, expand the number of them, and contract out the recycling to a private company. This would allow the city to focus on trash collection while providing a recycling as well if people want.

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PostMar 06, 2025#1059

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/o ... 0696663158

Meant to post this ahead of primary but people should listen to “Overarching”. Tishaura Jones went on the show.

I enjoy the show, and there’s a lot of urbanism discourse on their episodes.

As far as the race goes, I am most worried about Spencer’s stance on metrolink expansion. We cannot afford a mayor not behind it. We voted for the funds. We deserve expansion.

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PostMar 06, 2025#1060

This says a lot of interesting things.


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PostMar 06, 2025#1061

addxb2 wrote:
Mar 06, 2025
This says a lot of interesting things.

My sign breakdown was unironically pretty accurate for SW city 😂

PostMar 06, 2025#1062

https://www.bizjournals.com/stlouis/new ... jones.html

Bank of Washington, creditor for Northside Regeneration, donates $10k to Spencer PAC.

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PostMar 06, 2025#1063

I’m worried she’ll hit the brakes on railway too

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PostMar 06, 2025#1064

Whoa! The same person who filed the bills needed to eminent domain the building, is going to hit the brakes on it? Oh no! Where do I sign up for Tishaura's campaign? This evil must be stopped.

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PostMar 07, 2025#1065

Spencer flipped arguably the most progressive part of STL city--Tower Grove South and TGE and grew her support in North City.

That turnout in those south city wards that flipped was nearly twice as in the north city ones that still went for Jones padded Spencer's lead.

Turnout was as low as 11% in some north city precincts.

https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/gov ... bc38f.html

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PostMar 08, 2025#1066


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PostMar 09, 2025#1067

The neoliberal party supporting the neoliberal candidate is obligatory.

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PostMar 09, 2025#1068

^as if Jones isn't entrenched in the local Democratic party?Please.

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PostMar 10, 2025#1069

If Cara follows through with this in April, she will find herself in a very difficult position for several reasons.

First, she will be starting just a week after the election, which means it will take months before she can appoint “her people” to key positions. Additionally, the budget for the next fiscal year is already being finalized, limiting her ability to make immediate financial decisions or implement her priorities.

Second, many of her major donors—particularly West County CEOs—see her as a savior and a direct contrast to Mayor Jones. Consciously or subconsciously, they believe she will be more effective at handling basic governance simply because she is a white moderate in their eyes. This perception creates significant pressure for her to deliver on these so-called “simple” tasks. However, she is unlikely to succeed for several reasons: she lacks experience in handling such responsibilities, the mayor’s office has limited power due to decades of convoluted policies, bureaucratic procedures, union contracts, and an outdated city charter.

On that note, I strongly believe the city should simply take action regardless of charter constraints and let legal challenges arise if necessary. That said, I expect reality will set in quickly for Cara, and we will see her start backpedaling on many of her initial promises.

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PostMar 10, 2025#1070

When did Spencer become a moderate?

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PostMar 10, 2025#1071

She didn’t. . I said how the west Co CEOs see her compared to Jones but I’ll edit to make that clear

Although her campaign has been pretty typical white moderate campaign you see from the last few challengers to citywide office like Coatar, Baringer etc

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PostMar 10, 2025#1072

Does anyone know the last time StL had a white plurality BOA, white president of the BoA, and a white mayor at the same time?

Maybe it’s technically not a plurality. I don’t know how everyone racially identifies but Narayan and Velazquez rep white districts.

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PostMar 10, 2025#1073

I’d be interested to know how Cara feels about the personnel director drama. I wonder if Jones can appoint someone new before her potential departure? A lot of power in that decision alone.

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PostMar 11, 2025#1074

dbInSouthCity wrote:
Mar 10, 2025
If Cara follows through with this in April, she will find herself in a very difficult position for several reasons.

First, she will be starting just a week after the election, which means it will take months before she can appoint “her people” to key positions. Additionally, the budget for the next fiscal year is already being finalized, limiting her ability to make immediate financial decisions or implement her priorities.

Second, many of her major donors—particularly West County CEOs—see her as a savior and a direct contrast to Mayor Jones. Consciously or subconsciously, they believe she will be more effective at handling basic governance simply because she is a white moderate in their eyes. This perception creates significant pressure for her to deliver on these so-called “simple” tasks. However, she is unlikely to succeed for several reasons: she lacks experience in handling such responsibilities, the mayor’s office has limited power due to decades of convoluted policies, bureaucratic procedures, union contracts, and an outdated city charter.

On that note, I strongly believe the city should simply take action regardless of charter constraints and let legal challenges arise if necessary. That said, I expect reality will set in quickly for Cara, and we will see her start backpedaling on many of her initial promises.
Cara does have that support, and her going in very well may be a positive if she brought those hqs and jobs back to downtown and the city, But i’m not confident it is anything more for those county CEOs and Bob Clark than “I don’t like Tishaura Jones” and we won’t actually see the corps and companies buy in. Let’s hope they do though

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PostMar 11, 2025#1075

delmar2debaliviere2downtown wrote:
Mar 11, 2025
dbInSouthCity wrote:
Mar 10, 2025
If Cara follows through with this in April, she will find herself in a very difficult position for several reasons.

First, she will be starting just a week after the election, which means it will take months before she can appoint “her people” to key positions. Additionally, the budget for the next fiscal year is already being finalized, limiting her ability to make immediate financial decisions or implement her priorities.

Second, many of her major donors—particularly West County CEOs—see her as a savior and a direct contrast to Mayor Jones. Consciously or subconsciously, they believe she will be more effective at handling basic governance simply because she is a white moderate in their eyes. This perception creates significant pressure for her to deliver on these so-called “simple” tasks. However, she is unlikely to succeed for several reasons: she lacks experience in handling such responsibilities, the mayor’s office has limited power due to decades of convoluted policies, bureaucratic procedures, union contracts, and an outdated city charter.

On that note, I strongly believe the city should simply take action regardless of charter constraints and let legal challenges arise if necessary. That said, I expect reality will set in quickly for Cara, and we will see her start backpedaling on many of her initial promises.
Cara does have that support, and her going in very well may be a positive if she brought those hqs and jobs back to downtown and the city, But i’m not confident it is anything more for those county CEOs and Bob Clark than “I don’t like Tishaura Jones” and we won’t actually see the corps and companies buy in. Let’s hope they do though
Here is the consensus position of those CEOs on downtown: they think it’s very important to the region, they want to see it vibrant and be the feature of the region but they want someone else to do whatever it takes to do that.

That mind set with not change on April 8th

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