9,549
Life MemberLife Member
9,549

PostJun 03, 2021#176

^ they’ve been inactive since early November 2020

sc4mayor
sc4mayor

PostJul 29, 2021#177

Some interesting numbers for the Missouri side:

2021 YTD:  2,190 SF permits issued (including City rehabs).


2021 YTD:  4,931 MF permits issued (including City rehabs).
Totals about 7,121 residential permits issued so far in 2021 on the Missouri side.  Pretty good pace, especially in the City, above their 2019 and 2020 pace across the board.  I'd be curious to know what the County's numbers look like with all those missing municipalities included.  Especially the big ones like University City and Creve Coeur.  But...#Fragmentation

Edit:  Tried to get the Illinois data, hasn't been updated since 2019 lol.

sc4mayor
sc4mayor

PostAug 06, 2021#178

June update.  Single Family:


Multi Family:


Also just finished reading this in the Business Journal:
Why the St. Louis multifamily market is 'on fire,' in or out of a pandemic
https://www.bizjournals.com/stlouis/new ... covid.html
Resiliency was one of the factors cited by commercial real estate firm Newmark Zimmer in ranking St. Louis No. 2 nationwide in the multifamily market coming out of the pandemic, suggesting that the region’s strong metrics would likely drive future investment.  Rents went up in St. Louis during the pandemic, reaching $997 per month even as the occupancy rate dipped slightly, according to a market analysis from Saint Louis Bank. St. Louis also ranked high nationwide for positive net absorption, or the ratio of new apartments filled to old space vacated. The region's multifamily capitalization rate — the projected rate of return on a building sale — also surpasses the national average, according to CBRE research.  For investors, those are all signs of a good place to park your money.
...........
Locally, brokers have long seen the region’s diversified employment base as a reason to invest in St. Louis. The economy is not reliant on a single sector, such as the way a city like Houston is inextricably connected to energy.  But during the pandemic, outside investors also began to recognize St. Louis’ strength.  Sales growth continued, with $637 million in apartment complexes sold last year, making it the third-highest year for apartment deals of the past 10 years, according to Yardi Matrix research.The price per unit rose 26.3% year over year through March to a record high of $148,386, according to Matrix.
...........
Nearly half those new units are located within 9 miles of downtown, with more than 500 units under construction in submarkets such as Forest Park, St. Peters, Lafayette Square and O’Fallon, Missouri, according to Matrix. Most projects are concentrated along the Interstate 64 corridor from Dogtown to St. Charles County.
...........
Many of the deals have come through what Stephens calls “coastal capital” — out-of-state investors turning to St. Louis for returns that avoid the rollercoaster markets seen elsewhere. In an example from June, Miami-based Monument Capital Management, which was co-founded by former baseball star Alex Rodriguez, paid $67.3 million for the 528-unit Haven on the Lake in Maryland Heights.  It’s now common for local clients of Saint Louis Bank to be approached by out-of-town firms with attractive offers, said Chief Credit Officer Rita Kuster.
In addition the Newmark report ranked St. Louis:
#5 in economic
#5 in office
#7 in retail
#8 in hospitality

2,626
Life MemberLife Member
2,626

PostAug 06, 2021#179

STL rents are finally breaking into the zone where mass new construction is possible throughout the city. It's pretty exciting to at last be at this inflection point that we have spoken about on this forum for years. Now is officially crunch time for city leadership, we need to build our city right and maintain affordability in this goldilocks zone of high enough rent to build and low enough rent to be affordable.

2,678
Life MemberLife Member
2,678

PostAug 06, 2021#180

Incredible numbers from the city.

- Near the same # of single family units brought online (359) as county (447).
- Many times more multi-family (5,323) than the region combined and already passing previous years just six months in.

All of this in just 63sq miles!

805
Super MemberSuper Member
805

PostAug 06, 2021#181

GoHarvOrGoHome wrote:STL rents are finally breaking into the zone where mass new construction is possible throughout the city. It's pretty exciting to at last be at this inflection point that we have spoken about on this forum for years. Now is officially crunch time for city leadership, we need to build our city right and maintain affordability in this goldilocks zone of high enough rent to build and low enough rent to be affordable.
With all the vacant land, we should be able to do it with a little pressure on developers and this mayoral admin seems eager to do that.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

sc4mayor
sc4mayor

PostAug 06, 2021#182

addxb2 wrote:
Aug 06, 2021
Incredible numbers from the city.

- Near the same # of single family units brought online (359) as county (447).
- Many times more multi-family (5,323) than the region combined and already passing previous years just six months in.

All of this in just 63sq miles!
Love to see it.  Would not be surprised to see the City end up with 8 to 10,000 total multi-family permits this year.

1,877
Never Logs OffNever Logs Off
1,877

PostAug 06, 2021#183

EDIT: Duplicate post

PostAug 06, 2021#184

GoHarvOrGoHome wrote:
Aug 06, 2021
STL rents are finally breaking into the zone where mass new construction is possible throughout the city. It's pretty exciting to at last be at this inflection point that we have spoken about on this forum for years. Now is officially crunch time for city leadership, we need to build our city right and maintain affordability in this goldilocks zone of high enough rent to build and low enough rent to be affordable.
Sorry my last post was supposed to be in response to this post.  Relisting here:

Is it affordable for the majority though?

So let's make some assumptions: Say you make $15/hr, which runs out to about $31k a year.  That's actually a hair above the median household income for the city of St. Louis as of 2019.  Let's also follow the generally-accepted rule of thumb that you can/should spend about 30% of your annual income on housing.  30% of $31K comes out to about $780/mo.  

The P-D last week quoted realtor.com to state that The average rent in St. Louis is now $1156/mo.  That's realistic from my anecdotal experience - I've tried to help some friends find places with rents in the $1000-1100 range recently and it's not impossible, but really tough right now.  

$1156/mo represents roughly 43% of your income at $15/hr. That's a fairly significant chunk of your income, and may not be doable for the majority of St. Louisans.

-RBB

805
Super MemberSuper Member
805

PostAug 06, 2021#185

rbb wrote:
GoHarvOrGoHome wrote:
Aug 06, 2021
STL rents are finally breaking into the zone where mass new construction is possible throughout the city. It's pretty exciting to at last be at this inflection point that we have spoken about on this forum for years. Now is officially crunch time for city leadership, we need to build our city right and maintain affordability in this goldilocks zone of high enough rent to build and low enough rent to be affordable.
Sorry my last post was supposed to be in response to this post.  Relisting here:

Is it affordable for the majority though?

So let's make some assumptions: Say you make $15/hr, which runs out to about $31k a year.  That's actually a hair above the median household income for the city of St. Louis as of 2019.  Let's also follow the generally-accepted rule of thumb that you can/should spend about 30% of your annual income on housing.  30% of $31K comes out to about $780/mo.  

The P-D last week quoted realtor.com to state that The average rent in St. Louis is now $1156/mo.  That's realistic from my anecdotal experience - I've tried to help some friends find places with rents in the $1000-1100 range recently and it's not impossible, but really tough right now.  

$1156/mo represents roughly 43% of your income at $15/hr. That's a fairly significant chunk of your income, and may not be doable for the majority of St. Louisans.

-RBB
Median household income for STL City is $44k. Metro area median household income is $67k.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

PostAug 06, 2021#186

You were pulling median individual income, which is not median household income.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

13K
Life MemberLife Member
13K

PostAug 17, 2021#187

Building permits issued in the city topped $1B yesterday. With more than 4 months left we have a good chance to beat 2018's $1.21B. Great to see the investment.
Annual Building Permits 2016-2021 2021-08-17.png (36.11KiB)


SimCity Announcement 2021 1B.png (103.91KiB)

sc4mayor
sc4mayor

PostAug 31, 2021#188

July.  Single family:


Multi-family.
City has surpassed 2019 and 2020 for new builds and will likely pass 2019 and 2020 for rehabs next month.  Still lots of missing data from St. Louis County.

245
Junior MemberJunior Member
245

PostAug 31, 2021#189

sc4mayor wrote:July.  Single family:


Multi-family.
City has surpassed 2019 and 2020 for new builds and will likely pass 2019 and 2020 for rehabs next month.  Still lots of missing data from St. Louis County.
This is awesome!!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

4,553
Life MemberLife Member
4,553

PostAug 31, 2021#190

sc4mayor wrote:
Aug 31, 2021
July.  Single family:


Multi-family.
City has surpassed 2019 and 2020 for new builds and will likely pass 2019 and 2020 for rehabs next month.  Still lots of missing data from St. Louis County.
Wait a second. Considering One Hundred, Chroma, The Chelsea, Hue, OCW, etc... can Jan.-July of 2021 really be 3X all of 2019 and '20 combined? Were permits for most of those pulled in 2018?I know things a really rolling in a number of St. Louis neighborhoods, but that's not exactly brand new. Also, odd that the city would leap to 994 while the County sits at 3 so far in 2021. 

sc4mayor
sc4mayor

PostAug 31, 2021#191

^ Many County municipalities, including some large ones like Creve Coeur and U City, are not reported here. #Fragmentation

13K
Life MemberLife Member
13K

PostAug 31, 2021#192

The top number is Jan-Jul of each year. The bottom number is the total. 2019 - 488, 2020 - 894

1,518
Totally AddictedTotally Addicted
1,518

PostAug 31, 2021#193

wabash wrote:
Aug 31, 2021
sc4mayor wrote:
Aug 31, 2021
July.  Single family:


Multi-family.
City has surpassed 2019 and 2020 for new builds and will likely pass 2019 and 2020 for rehabs next month.  Still lots of missing data from St. Louis County.
Wait a second. Considering One Hundred, Chroma, The Chelsea, Hue, OCW, etc... can Jan.-July of 2021 really be 3X all of 2019 and '20 combined? Were permits for most of those pulled in 2018?I know things a really rolling in a number of St. Louis neighborhoods, but that's not exactly brand new. Also, odd that the city would leap to 994 while the County sits at 3 so far in 2021. 
One Hundred and OCW were both issued in 2018, not reflected on here - time flies 

Edit - Looks like OCW was in 2019 

9,549
Life MemberLife Member
9,549

PostAug 31, 2021#194

The multi family rehab number for the city doesn’t mean much. A landlord of a 12 unit building can pull a permit to replace plumbing in one unit and it’s counted 12 times.

sc4mayor
sc4mayor

PostAug 31, 2021#195

^ Is a plumbing permit considered a gut rehab? According to the site I got these from they only count full gut rehabs here.

13K
Life MemberLife Member
13K

PostAug 31, 2021#196

When I looked into it in 2015, if the permit was >$30k, all the units in a building were counted. Idk if the bar been raised since then.

443
Full MemberFull Member
443

PostSep 07, 2021#197

framer wrote:
May 10, 2021
I really don't see how the current pace of apartment construction can continue in such a slow-growth area. Surely we're reaching saturation? 
Chicago is slow growth and no one is really questioning its apartment boom. Truth is when tastes change among 10 million people its a hell of a thing to behold. Same is true when tastes change among 3 million people.

991
Super MemberSuper Member
991

PostSep 07, 2021#198

That’s way over simplifying Chicago’s population growth / trends. While overall population growth in the city of Chicago itself may be slow or actually negative, a lot of people leaving are those who live in the poorest neighborhoods. And demand for higher prices condos and apartments downtown remains strong. Two different housing markets.

9,549
Life MemberLife Member
9,549

PostSep 07, 2021#199

Laife Fulk wrote:
Sep 07, 2021
That’s way over simplifying Chicago’s population growth / trends. While overall population growth in the city of Chicago itself may be slow or actually negative, a lot of people leaving are those who live in the poorest neighborhoods. And demand for higher prices condos and apartments downtown remains strong. Two different housing markets.
Sounds familiar

5,705
Life MemberLife Member
5,705

PostSep 07, 2021#200

Probably not the best thread to pick but looks like St. Louis  region picked up a nice round of Federal Tax Credits at $275 million to dole out.  Don't have details of article behind paywall but assume a mix of institutions.    In terms of building permits, I can see Ponce Health Center getting a tax credit boost and move it along to the permit process.

https://www.bizjournals.com/stlouis/new ... 5#cxrecs_s

“I fell in love with the program because it’s really about job creation in low and moderate-income communities," said Neal Richardson, executive director of the St. Louis Development Corp.

Read more posts (197 remaining)