^Events happening too often is different from events happening more often. Nobody should have to deal with people breaking in to their house, so anytime it happens is too often. But it could still be happening less than in some previous era. Anybody have any actual statistics on this or are we just going to keep repeating anecdotes?
A quick look at the Post Dispatch Crime Tracker shows that crime in the city and county overall is down dramatically since 2006. 2021 property crime sat at just over 50% of 2006 levels, if their reporting is to be believed. The neighborhood level data is a bit more dated. You can look at 2020 vs. 2019, but they don't seem to have the detailed 2021 breakdowns in the system yet. (Incidentally, it was down over 13% in 2020 vs. 2019 both downtown and downtown west, though violent crime was up downtown in both neighborhoods in the same period.) I don't see 2021 numbers yet, but I find it a little hard to believe that it'd be up dramatically downtown when it's down so much overall area wide.
For what it's worth, violent crime numbers are also down from 2006 pretty dramatically. 2021 stood at just over 70% of 2020 levels. But if you read comment sections on NextDoor or elsewhere you'll get the idea the apocalypse is taking place. We may have a long way to go yet, but we seem to be moving the right direction. Consistently year over year. The trend is pretty obvious, even.
Anyway, I'm not seeing any reliable evidence crime is up downtown up at all and the opposite seems more likely. So . . . does someone have some hard numbers to the contrary?
A quick look at the Post Dispatch Crime Tracker shows that crime in the city and county overall is down dramatically since 2006. 2021 property crime sat at just over 50% of 2006 levels, if their reporting is to be believed. The neighborhood level data is a bit more dated. You can look at 2020 vs. 2019, but they don't seem to have the detailed 2021 breakdowns in the system yet. (Incidentally, it was down over 13% in 2020 vs. 2019 both downtown and downtown west, though violent crime was up downtown in both neighborhoods in the same period.) I don't see 2021 numbers yet, but I find it a little hard to believe that it'd be up dramatically downtown when it's down so much overall area wide.
For what it's worth, violent crime numbers are also down from 2006 pretty dramatically. 2021 stood at just over 70% of 2020 levels. But if you read comment sections on NextDoor or elsewhere you'll get the idea the apocalypse is taking place. We may have a long way to go yet, but we seem to be moving the right direction. Consistently year over year. The trend is pretty obvious, even.
Anyway, I'm not seeing any reliable evidence crime is up downtown up at all and the opposite seems more likely. So . . . does someone have some hard numbers to the contrary?





