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PostFeb 03, 2011#301

Does high speed rail make fiscal sense? I'm not sure it does (even though I want it). Rail/transit can really only work by being subsidized with tax payer money which expands government in a way. It'll cost a lot to build, and we may not see the benefits of the business it stirs for years later. That doesn't seem to run in-line with a conservative mindset. So from that perspective, I wouldn't push for it.

However, if citizens want it and are willing to pay for it, I think HSR can add a lot. It would be a huge benefit. It makes regions smaller and more accessible. In a way its more environment friendly. Its faster.

I hope that politicians (mostly GOP) would not just refute HSR just based on a tenet of their political philosophy (which I think a lot of politicians tend to do) if people want it and it can benefit a region.

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PostFeb 03, 2011#302

^ Well I would think HS Rail can also be looked at as a Hedge against oil prices in relation to Air Travel. Rail should be a LONG TERM strategy. If we have an oil crises due to tension or all out war in the middle east, it might become cost prohibitive to fly anywhere.... or drive.

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PostFeb 03, 2011#303

pat wrote:Does high speed rail make fiscal sense? I'm not sure it does (even though I want it). Rail/transit can really only work by being subsidized with tax payer money which expands government in a way. It'll cost a lot to build, and we may not see the benefits of the business it stirs for years later. That doesn't seem to run in-line with a conservative mindset. So from that perspective, I wouldn't push for it.

However, if citizens want it and are willing to pay for it, I think HSR can add a lot. It would be a huge benefit. It makes regions smaller and more accessible. In a way its more environment friendly. Its faster.

I hope that politicians (mostly GOP) would not just refute HSR just based on a tenet of their political philosophy (which I think a lot of politicians tend to do) if people want it and it can benefit a region.
Good question with a good follow up. Put in Interstate Highway, turn the time dial back to the 1950's and now you have the same argument for supporters of Eisenhower's vision at that time. Of course he had the cold war.

Unfortunately, who knows where the Egypt crisis goes. If it expands you got some nasty oil prices and argument that HSR moves people generated by American power plants using American resources. You might get one of those odd pairings of the greens and coal industry supporting the same thing.

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PostFeb 03, 2011#304

pat wrote:Rail/transit can really only work by being subsidized with tax payer money which expands government in a way. It'll cost a lot to build, and we may not see the benefits of the business it stirs for years later. That doesn't seem to run in-line with a conservative mindset. So from that perspective, I wouldn't push for it.
Highways can really only work by being subsidized with tax payer money which expands government in a way. It'll cost a lot to build, and we may not see the benefits of the business it stirs for years later. That doesn't seem to run in-line with a conservative mindset. So from that perspective, I wouldn't push for it.

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PostFeb 03, 2011#305

Okay, I'm rambling—

Some will argue that the US Constitution mandates the government fund and support roads—

Under Section 8 "To establish Post Offices and post Roads;"

—but no constitutional authority to build HSR.

Not to go on a political maelstrom/tangent, but HSR could be a sticky wicket and Socialist-fearing conspiracy theorists can seize this as a government power play to nationalize our nation's railroads.

As for as I know, all railroad lines (except some owned by Amtrak in the NEC) are built and maintained by the railroads, that is, private corporations. To convert to HSR, will the government nationalize trackage? Or just some routes? Does the government want to take on the construction and maintenance of the nation's rail network like the DOT over highways and roads? Will the railroads be compensated or considered 'Paid in Full' since the government original gave them land to build and should be satisfied with their "early inheritance."
Or will the government build its own separate HSR lines?

If the government takes over trackage, this will be relief to railroads but in turn, a burden on taxpayers. And freight routes may become political (like Amtrak routes) and freight railroads may be forced to continue to run money-losing routes because of some Federal obligation. Just making up stuff right now. Who knows?

I think we'll see a lot of this type of debate as it gets closer to reality. Or not.

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PostFeb 03, 2011#306

pat wrote:Does high speed rail make fiscal sense? I'm not sure it does (even though I want it). Rail/transit can really only work by being subsidized with tax payer money which expands government in a way.
Highways are subsidized to the tune of 49%, up 10% over the last 10 years. (U.S. PIRG)

Almost all high-speed rail systems in existence today are operationally profitable, though they may lose money when capital costs are included (e.g. Taiwan). SNCF, the french national rail operator, earned a net €1.1 billion profit in 2007 largely on the back of its TGV services. (Guardian UK)

The question should not be "does high-speed rail make fiscal sense?" Rather, the question should be "does high-speed rail between [e.g. St. Louis] and [e.g. Chicago] make sense?"

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PostFeb 03, 2011#307

^ I agree. HSR should be used where it is most advantageous.

Highways can really only work by being subsidized with tax payer money which expands government in a way. It'll cost a lot to build, and we may not see the benefits of the business it stirs for years later. That doesn't seem to run in-line with a conservative mindset. So from that perspective, I wouldn't push for it.
Good point. But its an already established system. I think creating and entirely new HSR system is going to be hard for Republicans to swallow when they think our current highway network is perfectly fine. Hopefully inevitable increase in the price of oil and its environmental effects can sway their view.

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PostFeb 03, 2011#308

Mill204 wrote:The question should not be "does high-speed rail make fiscal sense?" Rather, the question should be "does high-speed rail between [e.g. St. Louis] and [e.g. Chicago] make sense?"
This is indeed the key question. To make HSR a successful (=break-even or better) proposition you typically need: A. distances under 300 miles to compete with air travel and B. enough density. The Chicago-St. Louis corridor is at the high-end for distance and at the low-end for density.

An estimated price tag of $13 billion (and this is a low estimate) for a dedicated high-speed track between the cities is a hefty price tag, especially since money is not really laying around. Public-Private Partnerships would almost certainly have to be established to be able to fund a project of this scale.

For the record: I am talking about 200 MPH not 110 MPH.

Just for fun: A cool YouTube video with Eurostar, TGV, Thalys and ICE trains.


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PostFeb 04, 2011#309

StL to Chi ~300 miles (I think). Top flight HSR can hit 300-330 mph (mag-lev). I know it's a dream, and has pros and cons, but I wonder what the interest would be from people that work in downtown Chi to live in downtown stl (still has an urban feel, but housing is about half the cost) and commute via a hypothetical HSR line.

There is already a large amount of commuters who live in Milwaukee and commute to Chicago to work via the metra, which I think is around an hour and a half (or under) trip. If StL to Chi got a dedicated line capable of getting people from StL to Chi and back in roughly the same amount of time, I would be curious to see if we would begin to see some of this.

Obviously, it would be preferable to have people live and work in downtown StL. Just an interesting thing to think about.

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PostFeb 04, 2011#310

the count wrote: Just for fun: A cool YouTube video with Eurostar, TGV, Thalys and ICE trains.
In the video, it looks like every train has an engine on each end facing opposite ways. Like metro-link, they appear to be designed to go either direction. If we did this with our trains, they could pull into Union Station, and then pull out lead by the other engine.

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PostFeb 04, 2011#311

Mentioning the necessity of a 300 mile window for viability of a HSR system...I wonder if the, frankly, spread out nature of America has been a key factor our lack of HSR capability? Japan, France, Korea, Taiwan are much smaller places where HSR can compete with air travel...The three major population rails of America, the coasts and Chicago-Houston-and-everything-in-betweeen-them will always be more quickly connected by a 500 or 550 mph plane versus what sounds like will be at best a 200 mph train...

...I can see HSR clearly making sense for certain corridors, but never as a national system given the cost...But IMO asking everyone to pay for a system that directly benefits only certain high density regions is going to be a lot harder to get taken seriously than auto or air systems that benefit nearly every American...Both from a public opinion perspective and a "what's in it for me" Congress...

...I again really feel that the biggest and most costly issues with transportation in America exist within metro areas and not getting from metro area to metro area...I think multiple billions of dollars spent decreasing transportaion inefficiencies within cities would provide a much better bang for our buck...A half empty Lambert and generally fast moving interstates in every direction beyond our MSA boudaries don't present problems requiring an additional transportation system costing billions of bucks and decades to complete to solve IMO...

Nearly every American has a car in the driveway, how many would live within usable range of even a fully built out HSR system?

Someone correct me if I'm wrong here!

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PostFeb 04, 2011#312

RobbyD wrote:
...I can see HSR clearly making sense for certain corridors, but never as a national system given the cost...But IMO asking everyone to pay for a system that directly benefits only certain high density regions is going to be a lot harder to get taken seriously than auto or air systems that benefit nearly every American...Both from a public opinion perspective and a "what's in it for me" Congress...

... ...

Nearly every American has a car in the driveway, how many would live within usable range of even a fully built out HSR system?

Someone correct me if I'm wrong here!
So let's do a STL-CHI line, a MKE-CHI line, DTW-CHI line, etc. and then get rid of flights from STL-CHI, MKE-CHI, DTW-CHI, etc. (Maybe keep a few flights) We could then eliminate flights from the smaller stops along the way (Springfield, Peoria, Champaign-Urbana, Bloomington-Normal, wherever the train would stop that regularly has air service to CHI). This would clear up 10-20 gates at ORD? 4-5 at MDW? May not sound like a lot, but with the capped flight limits that ORD is already under, every flight counts. This would have a national effect, as there would be less puddle jumpers clogging up the runways at ORD, leaving spots for larger jets.

The main issues with this would be the legality of decreeing some flight routes un-flyable (not sure how the routes are regulated, if at all) and getting people to the actual airports in Chicago. Someone who jumps on the HSR in Springfield trying to get to ORD to catch a flight to Seattle needs to get from Union Station in (just outside of, actually) the Loop to ORD/MDW. Taking the Blue Line to ORD or the Orange to MDW tacks on an hour of EL riding, which is not the answer. Is there a way to bring the rail in from the Southwest Suburbs making a stop at MDW, continue on to the Loop/Union Station & then head out to ORD in the Northwest Suburbs? Or just tack on another billion to the project total & build 2 express lines from downtown to ORD & MDW? I think the CTA is already "studying" an express line out to ORD from downtown.


Somewhat/mostly off topic, but this just came to me. Does anyone know of an instance where rails are double stacked a la I-64 downtown? Would it be cheaper/feasible to build a new set of HSR-only tracks ABOVE existing ROW? Not sure how much of the 3 billion cost of the STL-CHI line is spent on land acquisition, or how much more per mile it would be to build elevated tracks. Where the existing rails twist an turn too much, the HSR could split off & follow a more linear path & meet up with the existing ROW wherever possible. I'm sure thats a much more expensive/prohibitive idea, but it just came to me.

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PostFeb 04, 2011#313

Adding structure, elevated line, or tunnels is expensive endeavor and a big reason why California wants to start in the Central Valley with at grade ROW. Preliminary/budget estimates for San Fran costs in trying to accomondate space concerns either by elevated structrures or tunnels was through the roof. The other problem with structures or tunnel is more maintenance, more operational costs and eventually a replacement cost gets in the life cycle. It doesn't help on the cost end that tolerances and other technical/structural issues will increase versus your run of the mill highway bridge.

The best example/analogy I can provide locally is the cross county extension. The original estimate $500-510 mil was for at grade line along FP. The overrun that always comes up was the increased cost to use tunnels and elevated structures that was approved after the original estimate was floated. I believe the costs jumped by 25 to 35%.

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PostFeb 04, 2011#314

What would the possible issues be of running the track down the median of I-55, where available? The land is already relatively flat, straight & owned. When stops need to be made (Springfield, Bloomington-Normal & Joliet only), the existing tracks could be used at a lower speed. Is the median wide enough to allow for trains? At what speed does turbulence/air wash create issues for vehicles on the adjacent highway? Don't know where state troopers would hang out to catch speeders or what would be done when construction pushes all traffic to one side of the interstate. The issues brought up against a track down I-64 for Metro would not be valid for intercity travel.

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PostFeb 04, 2011#315

^ Think about how many bridges and crossings there are over and under 55 from to Chicago. They would be a lot of construction cost for 200mph trains

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PostFeb 04, 2011#316

pat wrote:^ Think about how many bridges and crossings there are over and under 55 from to Chicago. They would be a lot of construction cost for 200mph trains
The tracks would still have to cross other roads/creeks/lakes elsewhere. What's the difference?

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PostFeb 04, 2011#317

Beyond Bridges: Interstate highways have mandatory turns built into them, forcing the driver to pay attention to what he's doing / how he's driving. This was a conscious decision in highway design, done to prevent excessively straight drives leading to "road hypnosis".

With the need of rail systems, especially HSR, to have straight lines for many miles, paring a HSR line with, or onto, I-55 or any other interstate highway would not work.

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PostFeb 04, 2011#318

gone corporate wrote:Beyond Bridges: Interstate highways have mandatory turns built into them, forcing the driver to pay attention to what he's doing / how he's driving. This was a conscious decision in highway design, done to prevent excessively straight drives leading to "road hypnosis".

With the need of rail systems, especially HSR, to have straight lines for many miles, paring a HSR line with, or onto, I-55 or any other interstate highway would not work.
It's my understanding that gradual curves are acceptable up to XXX mph. I have no clue what speed that is, but its gotta be faster than 110 mph. And on parts where the highway gets too "turny," the tracks could take a more necessary linear path & meet up with 55 on the other side of the curve.

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PostFeb 04, 2011#319

For a tilting high-speed train:

Code: Select all

Radius(m)  Speed(km/h)
.400       100
1000       160
1550       200
2420       250
3480       300
4730       350
For non-tilting trains, if I recall correctly, the French have been building their newest TGV lines with 7km curve radii.

Needless to say, I-55 is almost completely unsuitable for aligning a high-speed rail line. The UP corridor that I-55 follows, however, is a perfect straight shot from Springfield to Dwight with a curve in Normal. Getting UP to cooperate, on the other hand, is the real Herculean task.

Acceleration rates for a Siemens Velaro high-speed train:

Code: Select all

0-100 km/h in  44 sec over    626 m
0-200 km/h in 120 sec over  3,920 m
0-300 km/h in 318 sec over 17,900 m
Now as far as Missouri is concerned, one of the concepts for reconstructing I-70 was to build a third set of lanes to one side of the highway, rebuild the opposite side, then tear out the middle leaving a huge median. This median could theoretically have HSR run right down the middle, though in my mind, it would only be practical from KC to Boone. East of Boone, I don't see how HSR could follow any route other than the UP river route as St. Louis doesn't have any high-speed corridors that I can see north of I-44.

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PostFeb 05, 2011#320

I will likely be seeing a presentation by Robert D. Yaro on Monday. Yaro is Co-Chair of America 2050 and the President of Regional Plan Association. His lecture is called “Making High Speed Rail Work for the United States”. With any luck, I will be able to provide a summary of his presentation.

Take a look at their interactive HSR map... http://www.america2050.org/maps/hsr-phasing/ Hover over the map for more info.

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PostFeb 05, 2011#321

^just want to repeat that the Chicago-Memphis line should be rerouted through St. Louis to Carbondale and on to Memphis. Why fund an extra long trip through the cornfields when you could double your investment in the Chi-Stl line?

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PostFeb 05, 2011#322

DaronDierkes wrote:^just want to repeat that the Chicago-Memphis line should be rerouted through St. Louis to Carbondale and on to Memphis. Why fund an extra long trip through the cornfields when you could double your investment in the Chi-Stl line?
As per the America 2050 map, there is no HSR line going from Chicago to Memphis. That line is a traditional rail/Amtrak like line. I am guessing that the thought behind this not being a HSR line is that it would not makes sense to develop being as flying is the better option form a time efficiency standpoint.

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PostFeb 05, 2011#323

mill204 wrote:For a tilting high-speed train:

Code: Select all

Radius(m)  Speed(km/h)
.400       100
1000       160
1550       200
2420       250
3480       300
4730       350
Acceleration rates for a Siemens Velaro high-speed train:

Code: Select all

0-100 km/h in  44 sec over    626 m
0-200 km/h in 120 sec over  3,920 m
0-300 km/h in 318 sec over 17,900 m
This what I LOVE about UrbanSTL, pardon me, NextSTL. Radii and acceleration rates for high-speed trains. You won't see that in STLToday, let alone in their comments section.
(Not meant sarcastically, I think it's great.)

Daron is right. A Chicago-St.Louis-Memphis-New Orleans route would make much more sense. It's probably due to the limited track capacity they don't operate this route currently. It would be virtually the same distance. Maybe we should talk to Amtrak.

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PostFeb 05, 2011#324

^Common sense dictates this line would work IMO...I've often wondered why that line doesn't exist...

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PostFeb 05, 2011#325

Isn't flying more time efficient for most routes anyway? I just figured they didn't see enough potential ridership from Memphis. Long term, I envision Memphis and STL serving as three spoke mini-hubs:
STL to Chi, STL to KC (and OK line), STL to Mem
Memphis to STL, Mem to New Orleans, Mem to Little Rock (and Texas)

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