Alex Ihnen wrote:^ I'd like to see the $ comparison in development, Hadley Heights residential vs. two big box stores. What's also amazing is how the new I-64 has helped enable this development which will lead to more traffic, a congested I-64 and inevitably calls to widen it (or at least accusations that the $500M project didn't "fix" anything).
Here's some back of the napkin math:
IKEA:
$125 million project, assuming it gets appraised at 25% of cost ($31,250,000), times commercial assessment rate (32%), equals an equalized assessed value of $10,000,000.
$100 million annual sales, 2.5% in city sales taxes, equals $2.5 million, half goes to the TIF, half to the City.
Residential Hadley:
20 acres x 7 houses/acre equals 140 houses (assumes all vacant lots are filled in). Even if I assumed they could be appraised for an average of $200k (which is probably double actual appraisals - I think the existing houses are only like 1000 - 1200 sq ft each), we are only looking at an assessed value of $5,320,000 at the residential assessment rate (19%) or about half of IKEA.
Assuming each household has $50k in income to spend each year within the city, that's $7 million in sales or roughly $175k in sales taxes to the city (or approximately 14% of what they would get post-TIF from IKEA).
City officials know how to count tax dollars and they know which side wins this battle. The real question is that if individual cities did not have such a high motivation to maximize their own sales taxes, would RH be so welcoming to IKEA?