Metro won't operate it? That sucks for this trolley. For this streetcar line to be a viable solution for transit, it needs to be consistent with the other transit in the region (with fares, transfers, passes, signage, etc.). I don't think it will attract much development if it can only be used as a tourist attraction. San Francisco's F-Market line is maintained by the nonprofit Market Street Railway and operated by SFMTA (MUNI). The fares/transfers/passes/signage are the same as the rest of the SFMTA system (except the cable cars).
This project shows the lack of any consistent public transportation policy. The Delmar Trolley project is using federal funds to study and design. They will likely seek federal funds to construct.
The region has studied and identified extensions along like Daniele Boone, Metro South, and is pushing hard on North-South. None of these have funding and E/W has not identified a priority for construction to present to the public for a referendum. (To my knowledge.)
The Delmar Trolley will absolutely not make money in my opinion. It will have to comply with FTA regulations for ADA, reduced fare, complementary paratransit, drug and alcohol, public hearings, rail safety and safety oversight, etc. All of these will increase the operating cost beyond the simplistic budget currently described.
By route it will overlap with the 97 Delmar and the 90 Hampton. If you attract riders to the new Trolley and reduce ridership on the bus lines, are you not increasing the net deficit for the system? If you offer lower fares on the bus network which overlaps, why would anyone other than a tourist ride this line if its more costly and slower?
As envisioned by Edwards, the line is pretty much a tourist route. If so, why not expand it into Forest Park serving essentially what the Forest Park Shuttle does. You could then eliminate the Forest Park shuttle and divert some of that money to the Trolley. (Not enough to operate it however.)
As a transportion element, I see so many problems with the Trolley as envisioned since its pretty much an overlay of very limited parts of the transit system, but doesn't permit any elimination or replacement of any of the system.
It you pushed it further east and west on Delmar so it replaced the 97, it might make some sense to me. You would have a trolley running through the loop, past Grand Center, and down Washington Avenue to downtown.
The 97 Delmar has approximately 4500 daily boardings. With the positive rail bias , this might push ridership up quite a bit. On the West End it might connect with the dreamed of Westport Metrolink. Of course this would increase costs geometrically and compete with all of the other dreamed of extensions.
On the practical side, where do you fix the cars? Who will do the rail system repairs (Catenary, rail, signals)? Who will do body work for the future collisions? Who will train their operators? Who will insure compliance with ADA? Will the system start at 4:00 am in the morning to serve workers now using the 97 Delmar? Will it operate seven days a week? What do you do when one of the cars is involved in an accident to maintain frequency? Will you have crossovers, or does the system just shut down?
If its just envisioned as a tourist stimulus for the loop, should we be using limited Federal Rail funds to build this rather than an element of the system that could play a more important transportation and economic development function?