I could give a rats ass what the "average" St. Louisan thinks. The "average" American voted for a fascist. The "average" person looks pretty delusional right now. If anything, the fact the "average" person thinks she's done a bad job is probably the best indicator that she's done a good job.
As if what the "average" person thinks has any impact on real life at all. Good lord.
Auggie wrote:"I'm just saying, the massive not seen in decades turnaround for development in North City has nothing to do with the mayor who ran on spurring more development in North City."
2021: 755 permits
2024: 688 permits
2021: $154.8 M
2024: $163 M
Let’s be careful of overemphasizing fairly mundane increases. I’d never describe that as massive.
Auggie wrote:"I'm just saying, the massive not seen in decades turnaround for development in North City has nothing to do with the mayor who ran on spurring more development in North City."
2021: 755 permits
2024: 688 permits
2021: $154.8 M
2024: $163 M
Let’s be careful of overemphasizing fairly mundane increases. I’d never describe that as massive.
You can cut the data however you like it. Doesn’t change the fact that you have no evidence to suggest it was Jones admin and not large projects already in pipeline and/or ARPA.
The fact that value increased 80% with most of it coming in 2023, tells me a few big (long planned) projects finally hit the books. The drop off in 2024 tells me that there is little evidence of reversing the longstanding market dynamics of north St. Louis.
Auggie wrote:No, you can show all the data the correct way or pick out data to support your position, like you did.
It's like arguing with a brick wall. Zero logic, reasoning, or common sense going on here. It's all just a big coincidence.
Here is what I’ll do. Tonight, I will pull the building permit data myself. You tell me the date range you think I should review. I’ll look at a sample of each year and let you know if it convinces me that Jones unlocked private investment in North St. Louis.
It’s funny because we’re saying the same thing. I’m just going a step further than you’re willing to go. You do the same thing when bringing up the GDP. It looks great for Jones. Until you go deeper and see all the unique, one-time circumstances that differentiate “good news” from “good strategy”.
I am not convinced that Jones has implemented a good strategy.
What I wish you'd do is explain a comprehensive, empirical, reasoned argument as to why Spencer will be better than Jones has been. Which is something that is yet to be done. You could be the first!
Auggie wrote:What I wish you'd do is explain a comprehensive, empirical, reasoned argument as to why Spencer will be better than Jones has been. Which is something that is yet to be done. You could be the first!
I think you just don’t like that elections don’t have to be empirical. I think if I provided you data, you’d just move the goal line. Another difference, I don’t hate Jones like you seem to hate Spencer.
I’d vote for Spencer because I think she brings a more collaborative and moderate take on city services. I think she’d bring more energy to the office. She understands how the City government works and has been responsive to residents in my experience.
I think Jones has a poor track record at choosing leaders. I think she takes way too long to ask questions of her leaders and she has been weak on Downtown. Downtown doesn’t need all the money, it needs a champion. It feels like her (and Green) take enjoyment out of depriving downtown of that champion. This constant implication that Downtown residents and businesses are less City of St. Louis than JVL or Tower Grove. Downtown is just an annoyance to them.
Auggie wrote:What I wish you'd do is explain a comprehensive, empirical, reasoned argument as to why Spencer will be better than Jones has been. Which is something that is yet to be done. You could be the first!
I think you just don’t like that elections don’t have to be empirical. I think if I provided you data, you’d just move the goal line. Another difference, I don’t hate Jones like you seem to hate Spencer.
I’d vote for Spencer because I think she brings a more collaborative and moderate take on city services. I think she’d bring more energy to the office. She understands how the City government works and has been responsive to residents in my experience.
I think Jones has a poor track record at choosing leaders. I think she takes way too long to ask questions of her leaders and she has been weak on Downtown. Downtown doesn’t need all the money, it needs a champion. It feels like her (and Green) take enjoyment out of depriving downtown of that champion. This constant implication that Downtown residents and businesses are less City of St. Louis than JVL or Tower Grove. Downtown is just an annoyance to them.
So in other words, "I don't have an argument, i have my feelings." Thank you for proving my point.
My entire argument is based on facts and data. If the facts and data were favorable to Spencer, then I'd support her. But they don't. I don't make decisions based on how I "feel" like you do. I have no care in the world positively or negatively towards Jones or Spencer as people, like you clearly do.
Rather, it appears that you and many people on here just don't like Jones personally. Since you can't form an actual argument beyond "well I feel like X" even if reality is the exact opposite.
Such as downtown- AT&T building has a legitimate looking plan inching forward and there was actual movement on both RWX and Mellinium, of which neither of them had any significant movement in years. Union Station is thriving, infrastructure improvements being made with more to come, and there's been plenty of job/business wins to go along with the losses. So your feelings say she's "been weak" on downtown when in reality she has done more for downtown than anyone in decades.
Auggie wrote:My entire argument is based on facts and data. If the facts and data were favorable to Spencer, then I'd support her.
You don’t because you don’t have any. Spencer isn’t Mayor. You refuse to attribute any of the good news/data you’ve shared to the legislative body. You’re looking at four turbulent years, refusing to accept that there could be anomalies in play, and demand “The Mayor did it. There can’t be anything better than this.”
For example, 2024 had the fewest number of building permits of any year since 2000. Using your approach, I could surmise that Mayor Jones has been a disaster and should bully anyone who suggests we go deeper. Fortunately, I have critical thinking skills and understand that a vast number of variables outside of Jones control influence this number. So I don’t consider that.
You’re not allowing anyone to question variables that may contribute to positive data.
Urbanstl There’s been a marked coarsening, unsubstantiated personal opinion, too-evident need to win arguments, bad faith, sophistry, and other abuses becoming common.
^ these crowds are nothing compared to 2017 mayoral, anyone remember the massive debate at SLU. That year was in part also driven by 14 competitive alder races. Turn out was 27%
This year we have 1 competitive alder race and this year first round doesn’t mean much.
Edit; from RFT 1/30/2017
“Some candidate forums are lucky to draw a handful of undecided voters. But yesterday's #WokeVoterSTL debate garnered an estimated 1,500 interested citizens — a capacity-busting crowd that filled a student center room on the Saint Louis University campus.”
I feel like at this point I'd support whatever mayoral candidate supports a charter amendment to create a City Manager position. I know that talk regarding a City Manager was recently tabled at City Hall, but I feel like it honestly would make a lot of sense to create that role and let the role of mayor be more of a political figurehead instead of having to get as involved in the day-to-day running of the city.
The ICL move was because they determined the South site wouldn’t work. Not any grand thing the administration did.
And immaterial side streets in St. Louis hills being icy 10 days after a historic snowfall is not any grand failure of the administration. But these things don’t get judged in their proper context.
Soulard and Benton Park are covered in signs for Spencer. I've seen none for Tishaura in Soulard and one in BP.
Butler: 7
Spencer: 5
A. Jones: 3
T. Jones: 1
SW City, where Spencer got 80-90% of the vote in 2021. Looks like she's gonna lose at least a decent amount of support to Butler, at least in the primary.
I'm curious as to what it looks like in North City. Spencer received the endorsement of the 13th Ward on the north side. Is that indicative of rank and file voters there?