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PostNov 06, 2021#3576

OnTheEdge wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
Downtown1999 wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
Downtown St. Louis condo sales by SQ FT & year:

2008 - $162
2009 - $137
2010 - $131
2011 - $110
2012 - $112
2013 - $117
2014 - $124
2015 - $124
2016 - $121
2017 - $125
2018 - $119
2019 - $117
2020 - $121
2021 - $124
I rest my case.
Is your case about Downtown or St. Louis City? 

DT was at its peak bubble of historic loft renovations in 2008, and progress certainly slowed significantly in the following 12 years. 

The East Loop, Debaliviere, Central West End, Grove, Botanical Heights, Shaw, Midtown (although more the south and western portions than Midtown Alley) all feel very different than they did in 2008, with investment and development seeming to continue to pour in. 

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PostNov 06, 2021#3577

JJ Taino wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
Most thriving neighborhoods in STL have a higher income and more professionals. I know ya’ll don’t like this but more productive residents with higher incomes brings crime down. The mayor of STL says it all the time and most politicians with a brain as well.  I do get your point don’t get me wrong but Downtown should be the core of urban living with professionals. There should be more than loft living. Other than One Cardinal Way there hasn’t been any new projects. Butler Brothers and 1801 hopefully helps brings more professionals but as of now its the same story for decades from what I’ve read online. My first point with the super low cost of living is that the cost of living proves that Downtown as of now is not a desire neighborhood like CWE, The Grove and Soulard (which they have new developments left to right). I wish it was and that’s my goal or hopes. But saying for decades that is going to change and  hide the fact that for a Downtown crime rates are super high does not help. Reality is that crime dictates the COL in the area. Bringing new blood and professionals is the answer. Either we like it or not to make STL a competitive city we need to make the central corridor more professional oriented. Don’t have anything against poor people like other have stated but DT and the central corridor can’t have it both ways. DT is already surrounded by land that can be developed for affordable housing and around downtown there’s plenty of affordable housing.
I don't think anyone here is saying that it wouldn't be nice if there was more demand for high end residences. But there just isn't at the moment. Your earlier posts were saying that the way to fix this was to artificially raise prices on residential, as if that would somehow make apartments or condos more appealing to working professionals.  If Chevy wanted to sell more cars to wealthier customers, they can't just increase the Malibu from $25k to $50k and think that would do anything.

If you want to make downtown more desirable for people, stop looking at cost of living as the single lever to fix things (again, just making something pricier does nothing) and instead focus on decreasing crime / increasing amenities.

As many others here have already pointed out, there's zero reason to try and remove anyone from downtown - especially focusing on things like income level (which is still very icky to even think as being a real solution to anything, but I digress). Focus on stimulating demand for more residential across all income levels.  That's what the city needs: just more people.

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PostNov 06, 2021#3578

wabash wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
OnTheEdge wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
Downtown1999 wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
Downtown St. Louis condo sales by SQ FT & year:

2008 - $162
2009 - $137
2010 - $131
2011 - $110
2012 - $112
2013 - $117
2014 - $124
2015 - $124
2016 - $121
2017 - $125
2018 - $119
2019 - $117
2020 - $121
2021 - $124
I rest my case.
Is your case about Downtown or St. Louis City? 

DT was at its peak bubble of historic loft renovations in 2008, and progress certainly slowed significantly in the following 12 years. 

The East Loop, Debaliviere, Central West End, Grove, Botanical Heights, Shaw, Midtown (although more the south and western portions than Midtown Alley) all feel very different than they did in 2008, with investment and development seeming to continue to pour in. 
2004-2008 downtown + west
2,010 permits and  $1,120,000,000
2017-2021 downtown + west
1,850 permits and $1,280,000,000 (probably 1.3 by end of year)

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PostNov 06, 2021#3579

dbInSouthCity wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
wabash wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
OnTheEdge wrote:
Nov 06, 2021

I rest my case.
Is your case about Downtown or St. Louis City? 

DT was at its peak bubble of historic loft renovations in 2008, and progress certainly slowed significantly in the following 12 years. 

The East Loop, Debaliviere, Central West End, Grove, Botanical Heights, Shaw, Midtown (although more the south and western portions than Midtown Alley) all feel very different than they did in 2008, with investment and development seeming to continue to pour in. 
2004-2008 downtown + west
2,010 permits and  $1,120,000,000  
2017-2021 downtown + west
1,850 permits and $1,280,000,000 (probably 1.3 by end of year)
DT could be turning a corner with some recent, larger scale projects - BPV 2, Arch Grounds, Union Station, MLS - driving additional investment. But there's no doubt that there was a decade long lull following the '08-'09 recession, despite some good projects occurring (e.e.g, OPOP completion, Arcade renovation, SLU Law) in the interim. 

Also, the '17-'21 period seems much more mega-project heavy, than the ubiquitous historic redevelopments of '04-'08 (although that period did include Busch III). 

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PostNov 06, 2021#3580

There is at least another $300-400m in soon to start apartmentint projects in downtown+west that will add 600-800 units between end of 2022 and 2023

Butler (Reno)
1801 Washington (new)
Building next to wheelhouse (new)
3 landing buildings
And I think screaming eagle will probably have another now that it’s done with Tire mart and soon to be done Board of elections building

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PostNov 07, 2021#3581

^ And I believe at least 300 or so market rate units are currently underway (at Front Page Lofts, Crowne Plaza conversion & 300 S Broadway) if not more.  As for Screaming Eagle, maybe the Dragon Trading Building (1701-09 Locust) would be a good for their next project... I believe it's owned by that Sovereign Partners group which had some ambitious but unfulfilled plans and seems to be willing to sell their holdings.  

And just on a larger point, I think its somewhat bizarre that a neighborhood that's population grew so much -- 46% for Downtown and 30% for Downtown West, the 2nd and 3rd highest % growers in the city -- gets dragged so much. More people were added there than in CWE and FPSE combined... people do want to live there and they are moving there!  Having a desire to increase the top of the market population is totally fine, but shitting on the impressive growth that's occurring is pretty low class.

Edit: Downtown West grew by 30% from 2010-2020 and not 27% as I first posted. 

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PostNov 07, 2021#3582

wabash wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
OnTheEdge wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
Downtown1999 wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
Downtown St. Louis condo sales by SQ FT & year:

2008 - $162
2009 - $137
2010 - $131
2011 - $110
2012 - $112
2013 - $117
2014 - $124
2015 - $124
2016 - $121
2017 - $125
2018 - $119
2019 - $117
2020 - $121
2021 - $124
I rest my case.
Is your case about Downtown or St. Louis City? 
Downtown and my comments here.  Prices remaining flat from 2014 to 2021 while the real-estate market in more desirable areas has gone nuts.

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PostNov 07, 2021#3583

OnTheEdge wrote:
Nov 07, 2021
wabash wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
OnTheEdge wrote:
Nov 06, 2021

I rest my case.
Is your case about Downtown or St. Louis City? 
Downtown and my comments here.  Prices remaining flat from 2014 to 2021 while the real-estate market in more desirable areas has gone nuts.
Just eye balling it here but the prices are also up 13% since post recession early in the decade. Downtown has also shifted from ownership to renting and that’s mostly before people younger 30 stopped buying houses the last decade at the same place, everywhere

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PostNov 07, 2021#3584

dbInSouthCity wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
wabash wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
OnTheEdge wrote:
Nov 06, 2021

I rest my case.
Is your case about Downtown or St. Louis City? 

DT was at its peak bubble of historic loft renovations in 2008, and progress certainly slowed significantly in the following 12 years. 

The East Loop, Debaliviere, Central West End, Grove, Botanical Heights, Shaw, Midtown (although more the south and western portions than Midtown Alley) all feel very different than they did in 2008, with investment and development seeming to continue to pour in. 
2004-2008 downtown + west
2,010 permits and  $1,120,000,000  
2017-2021 downtown + west
1,850 permits and $1,280,000,000 (probably 1.3 by end of year)
Yes. When you compare private dollars invested in Downtown & Downtown West with both condo values (posted previously) and rent rates (specifically office, restaurant & retail) it becomes blatantly obvious that the ROI for developers is paltry at best. Can you build a new apartment building and sell it for an ok ROI? Probably with incentives (contrary to what many anti-incentive people believe). But, even with incentives, are Downtown & Downtown West investments high priority for developers versus sites outside of Downtown? Probably not.

The comparison between private dollars invested (building permits) and rent rates also highlights some things are very wrong with Downtown & Downtown West. It’s not the private development projects: eg., 21c Museum Hotel, STL CITY, Union Station, BPV, The Last Hotel, Monogram, … the problems are related to what goes on in the public domain (infrastructure, crime, …) … stuff controlled by City gov & the CID.

If there were a focus on infrastructure (road diets, bike/ped connections), form-based code, crime (parking lots, quality of life issues, problem properties …), marketing (the CID did a crap job), and some other stuff, Downtown & Downtown West would be strong investments.

Problem properties is a big crime category: Reign; lots of illegal bars/event venues; gas stations (particularly Shell); homeless encampments that are volunteer-oriented (which is basically every tent encampment); 7-Eleven & other joints that sell single serve alcohol; bad service providers themselves; parking lots … Problem properties could be tackled pretty easily but the City gov & CID seem to not want to do it.

Downtown & Downtown West should be great investments. To date the data shows otherwise. There needs to be change outside the four corners of a private development project. Change needs to happen in the public realm (government & quasi-government entities).

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PostNov 07, 2021#3585

dbInSouthCity wrote:
OnTheEdge wrote:
Nov 07, 2021
wabash wrote:
Nov 06, 2021
Is your case about Downtown or St. Louis City? 
Downtown and my comments here.  Prices remaining flat from 2014 to 2021 while the real-estate market in more desirable areas has gone nuts.
Just eye balling it here but the prices are also up 13% since post recession early in the decade. Downtown has also shifted from ownership to renting and that’s mostly before people younger 30 stopped buying houses the last decade at the same place, everywhere
That sounds good and all but my concern is that the Chemical Building, Railway Exchange, ATT Tower, Millennium Hotel, and Jefferson Arms are long term developments (maybe 10+ years maybe 20+ years) and until those buildings don’t get rehabbed I can’t see no real large residential projects been viable.

Yes Butlers, 1801, 1014 Spruce (dormant) are great and I love those projects a lot but the buildings I mentioned make DT look depressive.

I guess if 2 Cardinal Way is presented soon and 300 Broadway gets filled quick it can bring more people DT and hopefully empty store fronts on Wash and other street can start opening. I also like local stores but Downtown needs name brands to make it more tourist oriented and make a balance.

As mentioned by Downtown1999 some of the fixes are so simple. Road diets, Real bike lanes, and extension of the public transport (We’re getting lots of money from the infrastructure bill and I’ll bet once again STL won’t use the money wisely). Now is the time to do the NS train or build light rails to connect all downtown with key neighborhoods and the NGA.


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PostNov 07, 2021#3586

I don’t think AT&T Tower ever gets developed. It’s massive w/ basically no parking. Whether you like it or not, St. Louis drives. I think AT&T Tower will end up in the City’s hands and eventually gets demolished.

There’s far more to worry about than the ill-conceived AT&T Tower (ill-conceived meaning Inland (REIT) let AT&T keep the parking component when they purchased it — dumbest deal ever). See earlier post regarding fixing problems in the public realm (City gov decisions and CID decisions).

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PostNov 07, 2021#3587

Downtown1999 wrote:I don’t think AT&T Tower ever gets developed. It’s massive w/ basically no parking. Whether you like it or not, St. Louis drives. I think AT&T Tower will end up in the City’s hands and eventually gets demolished.

There’s far more to worry about than the ill-conceived AT&T Tower (ill-conceived meaning Inland (REIT) let AT&T keep the parking component when they purchased it — dumbest deal ever). See earlier post regarding fixing problems in the public realm (City gov decisions and CID decisions).
Let me check it out!


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PostNov 07, 2021#3588

I think its to soon to say the AT&T building should be demolished. If I was the city / state I would call spectrum every day see if they want it.( I herd rumors that they were looking in to it before).  Also the building would make great place for call centers. 
 Build a parking structure over Serra Sculpture Park. With it must be built to able to build residential floors on top.  

Can we stop calling people raciest  if they have a different vision for downtown. I do think we need more high end residentials units downtown.  would love to see the warehouses on north Broadway turn in to affordable apts.   Sorry about my grammar I just hate typing this on my phone.

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PostNov 07, 2021#3589

On the residential side Downtown is constantly changing and yet to find its identity. early on it was mostly older white condo owners and In the last 2 years (since start of 2020) if I had to guess I’d say 70-80% of street level businesses that have opened in downtown are black owned. Same for new residents in downtown.
I think this recent trend will stick around for a while.

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PostNov 07, 2021#3590

dbInSouthCity wrote:On the residential side Downtown is constantly changing and yet to find its identity. early on it was mostly older white condo owners and In the last 2 years (since start of 2020) if I had to guess I’d say 70-80% of street level businesses that have opened in downtown are black owned. Same for new residents in downtown.
I think this recent trend will stick around for a while.
That’s not a problem! Entrepreneurs and investors regardless of color are always welcome. Atlanta is 58% black and is a mega city with a lot things to do! Problem in DT STL is who we cater for meaning if all we open is a KFC (which we are and is not a problem we need those too) most likely people who frequent Michelin restaurants won’t come DT and spend money in it meaning a less attractive DT. We need real restaurants Downtown. I’ll say we have around 2 and been generous that are worthy for outsider to visit downtown. BPV is an entertainment venue not a place to have a nice dinner. There’s quick grabs and burgers and a pizza place (one) but not seating fancy restaurants. I guess Prime 55 will be another once it opens.

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PostNov 07, 2021#3591

JJ Taino wrote:
dbInSouthCity wrote:On the residential side Downtown is constantly changing and yet to find its identity. early on it was mostly older white condo owners and In the last 2 years (since start of 2020) if I had to guess I’d say 70-80% of street level businesses that have opened in downtown are black owned. Same for new residents in downtown.
I think this recent trend will stick around for a while.
That’s not a problem! Entrepreneurs and investors regardless of color are always welcome. Atlanta is 58% black and is a mega city with a lot things to do! Problem in DT STL is who we cater for meaning if all we open is a KFC (which we are and is not a problem we need those too) most likely people who frequent Michelin restaurants won’t come DT and spend money in it meaning a less attractive DT. We need real restaurants Downtown. I’ll say we have around 2 and been generous that are worthy for outsider to visit downtown. BPV is an entertainment venue not a place to have a nice dinner. There’s quick grabs and burgers and a pizza place (one) but not seating fancy restaurants. I guess Prime 55 will be another once it opens.
we have Gerard Craft restaurants downtown too.


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PostNov 07, 2021#3592

SeattleNative wrote:
JJ Taino wrote:
dbInSouthCity wrote:On the residential side Downtown is constantly changing and yet to find its identity. early on it was mostly older white condo owners and In the last 2 years (since start of 2020) if I had to guess I’d say 70-80% of street level businesses that have opened in downtown are black owned. Same for new residents in downtown.
I think this recent trend will stick around for a while.
That’s not a problem! Entrepreneurs and investors regardless of color are always welcome. Atlanta is 58% black and is a mega city with a lot things to do! Problem in DT STL is who we cater for meaning if all we open is a KFC (which we are and is not a problem we need those too) most likely people who frequent Michelin restaurants won’t come DT and spend money in it meaning a less attractive DT. We need real restaurants Downtown. I’ll say we have around 2 and been generous that are worthy for outsider to visit downtown. BPV is an entertainment venue not a place to have a nice dinner. There’s quick grabs and burgers and a pizza place (one) but not seating fancy restaurants. I guess Prime 55 will be another once it opens.
we have Gerard Craft restaurants downtown too.


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Yes we do! So Sen, Cinder House, what else are worth visiting? That are not burger, pizza, or quick grab.


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PostNov 07, 2021#3593

Thatguy644 wrote:
Nov 07, 2021
If I was the city / state I would call spectrum every day see if they want it.( I herd rumors that they were looking in to it before).
Those rumors were the speculation we had here on UrbanSTL 😂. Let’s not source ourselves to amplify the reality of rumors after the fact.

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PostNov 07, 2021#3594

Downtown1999 wrote:
Nov 07, 2021
Whether you like it or not, St. Louis drives.
Much of St. Louis drives, not all of St. Louis demands in-building parking for their apartment, especially Downtown (OPOP Tower, Arcade-Wright, Paul Brown, Laclede Tower). 

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PostNov 07, 2021#3595

Relevant….I don’t see this kind of return in downtown yet for the 2 office related groups. Maybe 50% but not around 80% as this chart suggests
6D679F7F-939E-47D3-8161-03F8F1FFABA4.jpeg (106.23KiB)

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PostNov 07, 2021#3596

^ I wonder if the data on the chart relates to offices being open but people still have the flexibility of comingin or not, part time or not.  I think that would make a huge difference in data as you note the boots on the ground reality for a lot of downtowns seems a lot different  

I think the advantage of downtown Stl that might seem more like hindrance but is more of a opportunity is simply the size of its footprint.  Yes you got the manmade barrier of I64 and of course natural barrier in Big Muddy but I think opportunity and what needs to be embraced is the big tent mentality.  The days of downtowns being mostly a core for office jobs except for a few exception of are long gone.  

Still need to keep tackling social issues, public safety & quality life as well infrastructure. (the next big change to me would be raised section between Wash A & Cass Ave for near northside & Lacledes Landing)   However, I can easily see pricey 2CW second home cardinal fans to a lot more town/row houses bleeding from downtown into nearby neighborhoods and a vibrant affordable rental market all intertwined with the strong sports & entertainment scene, to expanded brickline and getting Chouteau parkway/greenway going (can envision the pond(s) or even ballfields instead of a publicaly owned parking lot) to a more vibrant mall connecting Arch to MLS/West Downtown and so on..  

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PostNov 08, 2021#3597

dbInSouthCity wrote:
Nov 07, 2021
On the residential side Downtown is constantly changing and yet to find its identity.  early on it was mostly older white condo owners and In the last 2 years (since start of 2020) if I had to guess I’d say 70-80% of street level businesses that have opened in downtown are black owned.  Same for new residents in downtown.
I think this recent trend will stick around for a while.
It’s no coincidence, or mere correlation, that peoples’ souring on DT and DT West follows those neighborhoods moving towards a black majority.

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PostNov 08, 2021#3598

^ "Saint Louis City needs to grow!" 
Downtown/DTW leads the city in neighborhood population growth. 
"No! Not like that!"

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PostNov 08, 2021#3599

I think it's awesome that downtown's growth is reflective of the city as a whole. That makes St. Louis unique amongst major city downtowns. I think where downtown and St. Louis as a whole is lacking is planning, infrastructure and public safety. I think if we could get those issues addressed with a better CID or possibly another mechanism, downtown would really take off. It was defintely more vibrant than I remembered on my recent visit, but it just came off as underdeveloped in the public realm. Maybe with the new stimulus being passed we could get some serious reinvestment in the streets down there and actually implement the downtown streetscape plan. The amount of private investment doesn't seem to match the public investment in the basics.

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PostNov 08, 2021#3600

JJ Taino wrote:
Nov 07, 2021
SeattleNative wrote:
JJ Taino wrote: That’s not a problem! Entrepreneurs and investors regardless of color are always welcome. Atlanta is 58% black and is a mega city with a lot things to do! Problem in DT STL is who we cater for meaning if all we open is a KFC (which we are and is not a problem we need those too) most likely people who frequent Michelin restaurants won’t come DT and spend money in it meaning a less attractive DT. We need real restaurants Downtown. I’ll say we have around 2 and been generous that are worthy for outsider to visit downtown. BPV is an entertainment venue not a place to have a nice dinner. There’s quick grabs and burgers and a pizza place (one) but not seating fancy restaurants. I guess Prime 55 will be another once it opens.
we have Gerard Craft restaurants downtown too.


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Yes we do! So Sen, Cinder House, what else are worth visiting? That are not burger, pizza, or quick grab.


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Carmine's Steakhouse is another great option.
Ruth Chris's
Rosalita's on Wash Ave
Salt + Smoke outside BPV.
El Burro Loco

Absolutely agree we could use more dining options downtown though, I think that'll increase as we see more apartments opening.

The options around Enterprise Center are abysmal, Union Station excluded.  I cannot believe there isn't a good bar or restaurant anywhere on the surrounding block, considering all crowd it draws from Blues home games, concerts, NCAA events, all the events at Stifel Theater, and more.  It's a wonderful facility that is sandwiched between a Post Office and Metrolink/Amtrak hub. 

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