I wonder if Galloway will go for it, as the dem with the most recent/significant election infrastructure to ramp back up.chriss752 wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021I feel Greitens will run.
Kander and McCaskill have declined. Sifton is in and has been for a little while now.
She didn’t do too well this past election. I think she’ll be more focused on trying to retain her Auditor seat.wabash wrote:I wonder if Galloway will go for it, as the dem with the most recent/significant election infrastructure to ramp back up.chriss752 wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021I feel Greitens will run.
Kander and McCaskill have declined. Sifton is in and has been for a little while now.
More accurate title would be "Missouri Senate Seat Primed to Get Trumpier", but obviously they want to go with something that sounds more alarmist and national in scope.chris fuller wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021The GOP Senate is primed to get even Trumpier, political analysts say According to political analysts cited by The Week's Tim O'Donnell, former president Donald Trump's popularity in Blunt's state will give a Trump-endorsed candidate the "inside track" to replace Blunt. https://theweek.com/speedreads/970866/gop-senate-primed-even-trumpier-political-analysts-say
Well, no, they also mentioned the retiring senators in PA, OH, NC and AL in addition to the open MO seat.wabash wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021More accurate title would be "Missouri Senate Seat Primed to Get Trumpier", but obviously they want to go with something that sounds more alarmist and national in scope.chris fuller wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021The GOP Senate is primed to get even Trumpier, political analysts say According to political analysts cited by The Week's Tim O'Donnell, former president Donald Trump's popularity in Blunt's state will give a Trump-endorsed candidate the "inside track" to replace Blunt. https://theweek.com/speedreads/970866/gop-senate-primed-even-trumpier-political-analysts-say
Yep, the article mentions those offhandedly with no analysis of the likelihood of them going to a republican, let alone to a Trump endorsed/selected candidate. Here's the entirety of what they had to say: Democrats aren't hopeless in some of those states, but it seems likely Blunt's seat will stay within the GOP.Bart Harley Jarvis wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021Well, no, they also mentioned the retiring senators in PA, OH, NC and AL in addition to the open MO seat.wabash wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021More accurate title would be "Missouri Senate Seat Primed to Get Trumpier", but obviously they want to go with something that sounds more alarmist and national in scope.chris fuller wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021The GOP Senate is primed to get even Trumpier, political analysts say According to political analysts cited by The Week's Tim O'Donnell, former president Donald Trump's popularity in Blunt's state will give a Trump-endorsed candidate the "inside track" to replace Blunt. https://theweek.com/speedreads/970866/gop-senate-primed-even-trumpier-political-analysts-say
Along those lines, not having Trump at the top of the ballot is an interesting variable. He inspired a lot of people to go to the polls, garnering almost 250,000 more votes than any other presidential candidate in Missouri ever (other than himself). How much of that engagement is going to stick? And, to db's point above, even with MO's pronounced shift to the right, the fact that it already has one hardcore stop-at-nothing Trump crusader senator could limit the appetite for a second.framer wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021Why does everyone assume a Republican will win Blunt's seat? Missouri has had lots of Democrats win state-wide races. The voters are a fickle lot, and a-year-from-now is forever in politics.
Well we aren’t exactly Arizona or GA when it comes to demographic shifts.framer wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021Why does everyone assume a Republican will win Blunt's seat? Missouri has had lots of Democrats win state-wide races. The voters are a fickle lot, and a-year-from-now is forever in politics.
As you said, the article is about one senate seat in MO, so it makes sense that it wouldn't offer analysis on other sates. Further, if one non-Trumpy GOP senator (Blunt) retires in a state that's pro-Trump, their take that the entire senate could get 2% more Trumpy is accurate.wabash wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021Yep, the article mentions those offhandedly with no analysis of the likelihood of them going to a republican, let alone to a Trump endorsed/selected candidate. Here's the entirety of what they had to say: Democrats aren't hopeless in some of those states, but it seems likely Blunt's seat will stay within the GOP.Bart Harley Jarvis wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021Well, no, they also mentioned the retiring senators in PA, OH, NC and AL in addition to the open MO seat.wabash wrote: ↑Mar 08, 2021More accurate title would be "Missouri Senate Seat Primed to Get Trumpier", but obviously they want to go with something that sounds more alarmist and national in scope.
The article is about a single senate seat, not which way any other seats or the Senate as a whole might be going. They went with "GOP Senate is primed to get even Trumpier" for its clickbait value.
Agree with this.urban_dilettante wrote: ↑Mar 09, 2021please. if a democrat wins i'll eat my cardinals cap. look at the level of insanity coming out of MOLeg regarding, for example, abortion and guns. never gonna happen. MO is an insane asylum.
But of that 55%, it's maybe a 60-40 split of Dem v Rep? (completely guessing) I'd guess the other 45 is probably closer to a 70/30 split the other way?kipfilet wrote: ↑Mar 09, 2021Agree with this.urban_dilettante wrote: ↑Mar 09, 2021please. if a democrat wins i'll eat my cardinals cap. look at the level of insanity coming out of MOLeg regarding, for example, abortion and guns. never gonna happen. MO is an insane asylum.
Still, I wouldn't completely exclude the power of urban area organizing. Inspired by Chris' post, I went to check how much of the population in the STL and KC metro are actually on the MO side. That's 2.1 million for STL and 1.2 million for KC. Together, that's more than half of the state's population (55% to be exact).
I want a Kunce vs. Greitens election fight. Both served in the military in some form. And both seem to want to be a "populist" in their respective parties. If that match up happens, crack out the popcorn.dbInSouthCity wrote: ↑Mar 22, 2021Democrats in Missouri catch the first break in the #MOSen race, a rapist enters the race on the gop side.
