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PostFeb 28, 2008#51

maybe once the economy gets better we will do better

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PostMar 11, 2008#52

And we have our answer...




24,500 jobs become just 2,000

By David Nicklaus

03/11/2008 11:07 am



The Bureau of Labor Statistics is out with its revised state and local job numbers for 2007 and, as predicted, much of St. Louis’ employment boom has evaporated. The new tally: Metro St. Louis added 2,000 jobs in 2007, not the 24,500 jobs we had in a preliminary count.



As I mentioned in a recent column, St. Louis Fed economist Howard Wall was predicting a large downward revision. Wall actually underestimated the size of the revision — he estimated a gain of between 7,300 and 10,700 jobs — but he certainly had the direction right.



The revision means the St. Louis economy grew just 0.1 percent last year, badly lagging the nation’s employment growth rate of 0.9 percent.


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PostMar 11, 2008#53

Wow. That's a pretty big difference no matter what happened last year. Whoever did those statistics probably no longer has a job.

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PostMar 11, 2008#54

To quote Clay Davis from "The Wire": Sheeeee-iiiiiittttt.

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PostMar 11, 2008#55

Well, at least it grew. And that's about all I can say good about that.

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PostMar 11, 2008#56

I always wonder (once we settle on a number) what type of jobs are created? Or at least what are the average and median wages for these new jobs? If half of those jobs were high paying (i.e., scientific, engineering, etc.), then great. These are the type of jobs that will ultimately better develop the economy. But if they mostly represent minimum wage retail and fast food, then that is a much more bleak picture. In other words, perhaps too much emphasis is being placed on the numbers when the quality of the jobs should be the main focal point.

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PostMar 12, 2008#57

Yeah, I find it irritating that so much emphasis is put on the numbers of jobs without relating that to aggregate income and the size of the regional economy. It's easy for a politician or developer to say that a strip mall will create X number of jobs, but if we're just adding service jobs and not export jobs then we aren't really making any economic headway.

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PostMar 12, 2008#58

^ Good questions to ask, though we won't know the answer to those detailed question for a bit longer.



That said, the numbers are out for 2006 and prior, so we can get some idea of where the region has been growing in the recent past.







This link takes you to a google document that shows employment by occupation as provided by the BLS in 2006 and 2002. It also shows the percentage change in employment for each occupation over that time period along with the percentage each occupation comprised of total employment in a given year (either 2006 or 2002). The occupations are rank-ordered by the median hourly wage as reported by BLS in 2006. A simple chart, but it does show some interesting trends over the period.

PostMar 20, 2008#59

Local jobless rate jumps to 6.3%

By David Nicklaus

03/19/2008 11:39 am



The St. Louis unemployment rate jumped to 6.3 percent in January from 5.4 percent a year earlier, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced this morning. The area appears to be suffering both from shrinking employment and from discouraged-worker syndrome. The number of jobholders declined by 15,500 as the area’s work force shrank by 3,600 and the number of people identified as unemployed rose by 11,900.


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PostApr 02, 2008#60

St. Louis still adding jobs, slowly

By David Nicklaus

04/01/2008 2:12 pm



The Bureau of Labor Statistics says that St. Louis added 5,700 jobs between February 2007 and February 2008. That’s good news, considering that many areas are starting to show job losses, but it’s a meager year-over-year growth rate of just 0.4 percent.


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More bad news in local unemployment report

By David Nicklaus

04/02/2008 9:28 am



Metro St. Louis’ unemployment jumped to 6.2 percent in February from 5.6 percent a year earlier, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported this morning. This is consistent with the January rate, which was revised slightly upward to 6.4 percent, but it’s still inconsistent with the BLS’ separate payroll survey, which shows modest job growth in St. Louis.



The local jobless rates are not seasonally adjusted. On the same basis, the national unemployment rate was just 5.2 percent in January.






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PostApr 23, 2008#61

Local job numbers offer an ominous sign

By David Nicklaus

ST. LOUIS POST-DISPATCH

04/23/2008



When historians analyze just how bad the slowdown of 2008 really was, employment will be one of the first numbers they look at. Consumer spending is almost 70 percent of the economy, after all, and if folks can't find jobs they won't spend as freely.



In St. Louis, ominously, the employment numbers are now negative for the first time in more than 3 1/2 years. The metro area had 5,400 fewer jobs last month than it had a year earlier.



That's not a huge drop — it's only 0.4 percent of local employment — and it is preliminary. But if it's accurate, it's not something to be dismissed lightly. It could be the beginning of a downturn like we saw from 2001 to 2004, when metro St. Louis lost about 20,000 jobs. Until March, every month since August 2004 had shown a year-over-year job gain.



Howard Wall, an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, studies the local numbers carefully. He also talks with business people regularly for the Fed's Beige Book survey, and he says hiring clearly has slowed.





"It's too early to say" whether we're entering a prolonged period of job losses, Wall said. "But employment clearly is growing more slowly than it was a year ago, or even a few months ago."


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PostJul 08, 2008#62



Local unemployment rate is highest since 1993

By Tim Logan

ST. LOUIS POST-DISPATCH

07/08/2008



The region's unemployment rate hit its highest level for May in 15 years, according to figures released today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.



In the latest sign of a slumping local economy, 6 percent of the labor force was looking for work, up from 4.7 percent in May, 2007. It was the highest level for the month since 1993, when the unemployment rate hit 6.1 percent. Unemployment has been higher in other months, including January and February of this year, but those are not typically compared because the numbers have seasonal variations.



The national unemployment rate was 5.2 percent, up from 4.3 percent in May 2007.



The BLS also reported that the region shed 9,000 jobs compared to the same month last year. St. Louis was the only metropolitan area in Missouri to post a net loss of jobs year over year.


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PostJul 08, 2008#63

/Naivitista



Same old negative crap from the Post-Disgrace. They fail to list all of the cities that have higher unemployment rates than St. Louis



/end

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PostJul 08, 2008#64

The Central Scrutinizer wrote:/Naivitista



Same old negative crap from the Post-Disgrace. They fail to list all of the cities that have higher unemployment rates than St. Louis



/end


There's a lot of them. This survey counts 369 metro areas. But St. Louis looks to be about in the top quarter. It's also well above the national average.



http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/metro.pdf



A smattering of unemployment rates for our "peer cities:"



Indy 4.5

Detroit 8.9

Baltimore 3.8

Minneapolis 5.8

KC 5.5

Omaha 3.4

Buffalo 5.8

Cincy 5.2

Cleveland 7.2

Pittsburgh 4.8



Hey, we've got Detroit and Cleveland beat.

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PostSep 22, 2008#65

No way to sugarcoat this one:


Job losses accelerated in August

By David Nicklaus

St. Louis Post-Dispatch



The latest Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show metro St. Louis losing 11,100 jobs between August 2007 and August 2008. That’s a drop of 0.8 percent, and it’s significantly higher than July’s year-over-year loss of 5,500 jobs. St. Louis has now seen six straight months of falling employment, and August’s year-over-year drop is the biggest since July 2002.


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PostSep 22, 2008#66

The losses in "business and professional services" are particularly troubling. You've got 800+ out of that 3,600 from May.

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PostSep 22, 2008#67

The economy is bad everywhere, but I think St. Louis has been especially hard hit. As David Nicklaus and others have pointed out, this notion that St. Louis is always in the middle and never feels the lows is complete nonsense.



Part of it is a business culture that is fixated on big bloated corporations and that is terrified of being different.



Part of it is our redundant, fragmented local government (how many mayors do we have in the Metro area?).



And part of it is a general attitude of St. Louis residents that views business and commerce with suspicion. Especially in the City, there’s a real “us and them” mentality.

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PostSep 26, 2008#68

St. Louis’ GDP shrank in 2006

By David Nicklaus

St. Louis Post-Dispatch



One glance at the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ regional GDP map is enough to see that St. Louis is not doing well. We’re shaded in gold, which means we’re in the worst-performing 20% of the nation’s 363 metropolitan areas.



Go to the detailed news release and things look even worse. The metro St. Louis economy actually shrank by 0.8 percent in 2006, according to updated figures that the BEA posted today. Gross domestic product is a measure of all the goods and services produced within an area; when adjusted for inflation, it’s the most complete gauge of the area’s economic health.


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PostOct 01, 2008#69

Jobless rate here is higher than in U.S.; hard-hit manufacturing sector is a key

By Tim Logan

ST. LOUIS POST-DISPATCH

10/01/2008



Yes, things are rough in the economy right now.



Housing is in the tank. Carmaking is in a crisis. And Wall Street lately has been a roller-coaster ride, with big banks toppling one after another.



But, aside perhaps from automaking, St. Louis isn't tied all that closely to any of those hard-hit industries. We're diverse, even-keeled, steady. Right?



So why is our job market faring worse than the country as a whole?





New unemployment figures released Tuesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics are the latest example of a troubling trend: The jobless rate in the 16-county St. Louis area is significantly above the rest of the country, and, for much of the current downturn, it has been growing faster.



About 7.2 percent of St. Louis-area workers — 103,700 people — wanted work but couldn't find it in August. That's the same rate as July but up from 5.6 percent in August 2007, and the highest clip since 1992. Nationwide, the jobless rate was 6.1 percent.



When seasonal variations are taken into account, the picture is grimmer. Local joblessness jumped from 6.8 percent in July to 7 percent in August, the highest rate since 1991, according to Howard Wall, director of the Center for Regional Economics at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Last August, it was 5.4 percent.



While almost every sector of the economy — all but education and health care — is suffering, the hardest hit is manufacturing. It provides about one in 10 local jobs, and its losses are dragging the rest of the region down, experts say.


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PostOct 27, 2008#70

More news...



St. Louis’ job-loss tally stands at 12,300

By David Nicklaus

St. Louis Post-Dispatch



Employment in metro St. Louis fell by 12,300 between September 2007 and September 2008, according to the latest figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That continues an eight-month-long trend of job losses here, and it follows a revised year-over-year decline of 12,900 jobs in August. (That month’s loss was originally reported as 11,100.)



Here are some employment numbers in key sectors (losses or gains are since September 2007):


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PostJan 27, 2009#71

Gulp.


Jobs in St. Louis: The bleakest year in a long time

By David Nicklaus

St. Louis Post-Dispatch



I’ve been perusing the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ year-end employment estimates for St. Louis, and 2008 was clearly the worst year we’ve seen in a long time. The overall loss of 23,000 jobs was the biggest since at least 1991. Looked at another way, this entire decade has been a no-growth period for the metro area: We had 5,300 fewer jobs at the end of 2008 than we had at the end of 1999.



Looking at industry-by industry data, I found only a handful of bright spots. Health care and social assistance added 2,600 jobs last year, education added 1,300 and scientific research and development added 500. So maybe our future is in the life sciences, but R&D employs a microscopic 0.7 percent of the local work force.



Among the sectors losing jobs were:


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PostJan 28, 2009#72

Yeah, but I'm sure 2008 was the worst year in a long time for a lot of cities.

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PostJan 28, 2009#73

It has been very depressing. I'm so glad I got in to the industry I got in to, but I refuse to call anything recession proof. For now I just feel blessed for what I have.

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PostOct 01, 2009#74

Jobless rate in St. Louis region up slightly

By Steve Giegerich

St. Louis Post-Dispatch



Unemployment in the St. Louis region increased to 9.4 percent in August, a one-tenth of a point increase over the numbers the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis adjusted to account for seasonal jobs in July.


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Auto employment in St. Louis shrinks to just 700

By David Nicklaus

St. Louis Post-Dispatch



After reading STL JobWatch’s update on the unemployment situation in St. Louis, I headed for the Bureau of Labor Statistics website to refresh my knowledge on where the jobs are being lost. There are no surprises in the big industry categories, which I’ll get to in a moment. One number did, however, leap out at me: In August, the metro area had just 700 auto manufacturing jobs. That was down from 3,000 in July, a drop that reflects the shutdown of Chrysler’s pickup plant in Fenton. And, as the chart below shows, we had 12,000 auto-plant jobs as recently as 2003.



...



Auto manufacturing isn’t the only industry where St. Louis is shedding jobs, however. Overall, the metro area has shed 52,400 jobs in the past 12 months. That includes 13,700 in manufacturing, 9,900 in mining and construction, 6,400 in leisure and hospitality and 2,900 in retailing. The lone bright spots remain health care (+1,400 jobs), education (+800) and government (+1,100).


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PostOct 01, 2009#75

Why does it seem that KC usually has much better numbers in terms of job growth? Less reliance on manufacturing?

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