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PostDec 20, 2013#126

Rising sea levels torment Norfolk, Va., and coastal U.S.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nati ... s/3893825/
Flooding has become so common in this city, where water is the lifeblood, that residents talk about it in the supermarket. Home to the world's largest naval base, Norfolk sits on flat land — much of it filled-in marsh that's now at sea level and sinking. Add to that the sea-level rise from global warming, and the city faces what it deems a $1 billion-plus problem. The seas have risen and fallen before. What's new is the enormity of coastal development that will need to be protected, moved or abandoned.

PostDec 20, 2013#127

roger wyoming II wrote:I've read recently that a population of around 50,000 is what is needed to make for a truly mature, solid downtown neighborhood that can support the broad range of services needed for long-term sustainability. True? If so, how long would it take for us to get to that point?
I'm not sure about that number. I've seen lively small towns (Charlottesville, VA) comes to mind where the entire region probably has less population than that but there is a lively town center. Of course, their entire town center is on a scale that is smaller than WashAve is here so there is a difference in scale.

To be honest, I'm not sure what the number is or there even is a number. But downtowns will never be quite the same again because they will never be total focus of retail and entertainment that they once were. Historically, few people have actually lived in downtowns but everybody went there from around the city. Now, we are in the era where neighborhoods are much more self sustaining so maybe downtowns will need a greater population than they did even at their height? Who knows?

Atlantic cities article on downtowns:
http://www.theatlanticcities.com/jobs-a ... dead/7913/

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PostDec 20, 2013#128

^ Thanks. I think the 50,000 number may have been a goal that a city was trying to reach for its downtown residential and I seem to recall that it may have been based on studies; anyway, I think we can get there in due time and certainly it will be exciting when that happens. We're at about 20K now for DT/DTW?

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PostDec 22, 2013#129

"Is Apple's new spaceship headquarters already behind the times?"
"Will the suburban location of Apple's futuristic-looking new headquarters hurt the company's talent recruitment efforts?"

http://wallstcheatsheet.com/stocks/is-a ... ml/?ref=YF

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PostDec 22, 2013#130


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PostDec 23, 2013#131

Just like trends in living preferences are affecting companies, here is an article on how it is affecting churches as well:

Where Are the People?
http://theamericanscholar.org/where-are-the-people/
Evangelical Christianity in America is losing its power—what happened to Orange County’s Crystal Cathedral shows why
Like the much beloved, much pilloried Disneyland three miles to the northwest, the Crystal Cathedral is a monument to Americans’ inveterate ability to transform dominant cultural impulses—in this case, Christianity itself—into moneymaking enterprises that conquer the world.

But 2013 marked the end of an era. In June, Schuller’s evangelical Christian ministry, founded almost 60 years ago amid the suburbs of postwar Southern California, conducted its last worship service and filmed its last Hour of Power in the Crystal Cathedral. Hounded by creditors, the ministry had declared bankruptcy three years earlier and last year sold the cathedral.

PostDec 24, 2013#132

As gentrification heats up, here are the signs that an area is primed to take off

http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB1 ... 3938184500
"It's all part of this cultural shift toward living in urbanity, getting things in an urban area you can't get in the suburbs," says Paris Rutherford, a Dallas-based developer who works on urban revitalization projects. "And that's obviously driving a lot of new investment all over the country."

Less obvious is just how, exactly, the aspiring urban homeowner or real-estate investor can find a neighborhood that is truly turning into a more livable place where housing values will rise over the long term—not just an overhyped area with no staying power.

PostDec 26, 2013#133

Washington: A world apart
http://www.washingtonpost.com/sf/local/ ... rld-apart/
A Washington Post analysis of the latest census data shows that more than a third of Zip codes in the D.C. metro area rank in the top 5 percent nationally for income and education. But what makes the region truly unusual is that so many of the high-end Zip codes are contiguous. They form a vast land mass that bounds across 717 square miles. It stretches 60 miles from its northern tip in Woodstock, Md., to the southern end in Fairfax Station, and runs 30 miles wide from Haymarket in Prince William County to the heart of the District up to Rock Creek Parkway.

One in four households in the region are in a Super Zip, according to the Post analysis. Since the 2000 Census on which Murray based his analysis, Washington’s Super Zips have grown to encompass 100,000 more residents. Only the New York City area has more Super Zips, but they are a much smaller share of the total of that region’s Zip codes and are more scattered.
The really interesting thing about this article is the map at the top. It has income and education level by Zip code that you can zoom around and scroll around in to see metro areas. Seems like there are small towns that are doing amazing like Madison and Austin in attracting high earning and well educated people. Some regions are doing way better than you would expect, especially Denver, which seems to be turning a huge portion of Colorado yellow. The suburbs of Cleveland and Detroit are doing surprisingly well. Likewise, some areas are doing worse than advertised. Notably, Miami, Houston, and Nashville seem to have far fewer well off and educated areas than you would think from their national reputations. The Northeast, especially Washington DC, as the article says, seems to be beating everybody at the education game.

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PostDec 26, 2013#134

The Northeast, especially Washington DC, as the article says, seems to be beating everybody at the education game.
The data may be misleading. It's not that all these people were raised in suburban Washington, received really great educations there, and then got jobs in the area. DC is a parasite that sucks the highly educated away from the rest of the nation, paying them nicely with money sucked away from the rest of the nation. I grew up there, and most folks seemed to be from somewhere else.

That said, these highly educated wealthy enclaves do have very good schools. A lot of us received great educations there. And then escaped.

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PostDec 26, 2013#135

^^ I grew up somewhat near DC too and basically 99% of my friends from back then are working there now. Basically nobody is left in my hometown. It is indeed a huge vacuum cleaner of talent and money.

In Blue-Collar Ohio, a Windfall of Chinese Investments
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/27/us/in ... ments.html
Over the past seven years, the ties between Toledo and China have grown numerous. Chinese companies have paid more than $10 million in cash for two local hotels, a restaurant complex and a 69-acre waterfront property. Mayor Michael P. Bell has taken four trips to China in four years in search of investors. His business cards are double-sided, in English and Chinese.

Huaqiao University, one of the largest higher-education institutions in China, recently signed an agreement to open a branch in Toledo. There have also been preliminary talks between local officials and a Chinese company about an arrangement in which industrial tools would be produced in China, shipped for assembly in Toledo and labeled “made in the U.S.A.,” which would allow them to be sold at a premium.
Makes me even more angry about the China shipping deals that fell through.

PostDec 27, 2013#136

Attached Homes Become Far More Common as Single-Family Houses Decline
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB1 ... 1276088210
For the first time in his four-decade career, Mr. Kretowicz doesn't have one detached, single-family home under development in metro San Diego. From the blueprints in his office to dusty construction sites across the county, his company's future in the region revolves around attached homes.

"In the next 10 years the typical single-family subdivision will be a dinosaur," he said.

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PostDec 27, 2013#137

...an arrangement in which industrial tools would be produced in China, shipped for assembly in Toledo and labeled “made in the U.S.A.,” which would allow them to be sold at a premium.
this makes me angry.

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PostDec 27, 2013#138

urban_dilettante wrote:
...an arrangement in which industrial tools would be produced in China, shipped for assembly in Toledo and labeled “made in the U.S.A.,” which would allow them to be sold at a premium.
this makes me angry.
Obviously not an ideal situation but those are jobs that otherwise wouldn't exist in the US. The Chinese have a lot of dollars that they don't know what to do with (they've already bought up huge swaths of farmland in africa to feed their billions) and many parts of the US are desperate for investment. If native US companies won't do it, then they have to turn to foreign investment.

They are already playing a major part in the purchasing of property in Detroit too (I think its in the top 5 US cities that China is investing in). Again, they take the long view of history. A 50 year decline in a city is a mere speedbump. Whether they turn out to be Detroit's saviors or their new slumlords, only time will tell.

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PostDec 28, 2013#139

^ i was referring more to the dishonest marketing than the Chinese involvement. i'm not opposed to buying goods made in China but i think we can kiss our middle class goodbye if we don't start manufacturing things again.

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PostDec 28, 2013#140

urban_dilettante wrote:^ i was referring more to the dishonest marketing than the Chinese involvement. i'm not opposed to buying goods made in China but i think we can kiss our middle class goodbye if we don't start manufacturing things again.
The US is still the world's leading manufacturer, it's just not as labor-intensive as the old days.

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PostDec 29, 2013#141

^ in that case i guess we need to figure out how to work humans back into the manufacturing process. we need more middle class jobs. what's the alternative?

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PostDec 29, 2013#142

^^ Thats a tough one. With automation, producing things is a lot easier than consuming them now. An american designer right now can literally call a buddy in China with a design for a consumer product and they have a factory ready to produce whatever they want within days to weeks. Its that easy. The hope is that as asian countries rapidly industrialize, the workers will demand more pay as well. We are still huge consumers of everything though and at some point it will become cheaper to produce and consume here than produce elsewhere and consume here. How long that will take, nobody knows. The other option is to switch to more high value things like software development or engineering but there will never be enough of those jobs to employ 100% of the population. Any long term solution will require both. A very tough problem that is obviously still being worked out.

Looks like Next City did an article on Toledo and China back in 2012. An interesting read:
http://nextcity.org/forefront/view/An-A ... e-in-china

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PostDec 29, 2013#143

http://news.thomasnet.com/IMT/2013/03/1 ... ufacturer/
http://www.deloitte.com/view/en_US/us/I ... 0aRCRD.htm

Just a quick fact check: China is not only the world's largest manufacturer (overtook the U.S. in 2010), but also it maintains an edge competitively going forward.

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PostDec 29, 2013#144

Does anyone have examples of successful urbanist redevelopment of intersections like the one at Manchester and Lindburgh in Kirkwood? The recent kerfuffle over it has aroused my curiosity.

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PostDec 31, 2013#146

Corporate Entrepreneurs Are at the Heart of Downtown Revitalizations
Private-sector actors are reshaping the center of some cities in ways local governments no longer have the ability to do themselves.
http://www.governing.com/topics/urban/g ... enter.html
These days, many cities are getting a lot of help from companies that see great potential in downtowns. In some cases, private-sector actors are reshaping central cities in ways local governments no longer have the ability to do themselves. ... The reality is that they are creating the urban infrastructure that they want around them—parks, transit, better sidewalks—in ways that builders of one-off projects rarely have to worry about. “Most real estate developers are about ‘give me a permit,’”. “These guys are about building a community where there hasn’t been one.”

Other companies are pursuing similar visions, from Amazon building itself a whole new neighborhood in downtown Seattle to Facebook’s blueprints for a $120 million housing complex for its workers in Menlo Park, Calif. “Every city that’s struggling, that’s trying to get back on its feet, that’s trying to make its downtown matter again ... needs a private benefactor,”

PostJan 01, 2014#147

Urbanist Buzzwords to Rethink in 2014
http://www.theatlanticcities.com/neighb ... 2014/7959/

Good article on terms we should think about changing our use of terms going forward. In particular I like their discussion about using rust belt:
Rust Belt: Historically a disparaging term to describe old industrial cities in the Northeast and Midwest, post-recession changes around the country have now made the term 'Rust Belt' pretty useless. Which is why I've personally finally stopped using the term. Las Vegas still struggles with housing foreclosures and private companies are demanding ridiculous public subsidies in Atlanta. Up north, where similar problems persist, Google now employs hundreds in inner city Pittsburgh and insufferable newcomers are as easy to find in a Detroit coffeeshop as anywhere in San Francisco. ‘Rust Belt’s’ connotations have become as far-ranging and meaningless as calling someone a 'Hipster' (are you trying to say Toledo is really cool or terrible? I have no idea anymore). No one region in the U.S. has a monopoly on urban decay, inequality, or economic failure. North, south, east, west, we all live in moderately struggling places.
Indeed, no one region in the US has a monopoly on urban decay... In fact, folks are already talking about the formation of a "rust belt" in silicon valley as legacy tech companies struggle while newer ones pack up for San Francisco:

Rust Belt of Silicon Valley: San Jose Is Dying
As Silicon Valley's focus shifts from hardware to software, its center is moving north, leaving behind a trail of decay.
http://www.psmag.com/business-economics ... ing-66044/

That will be the last time I use Rust Belt in my volcabulary and I encourage everybody to do the same. It attracts negative connotations that are outdated in this day and age.

PostJan 02, 2014#148

Arise, Tenderloin
It is San Francisco’s most glaring contradiction, an island of need in a sea of prosperity. Can it be helped? Does it even want to be?
http://www.modernluxury.com/san-francis ... tenderloin

A very interesting article on San Francisco's poorest neighborhood. The other thing that is very interesting is that crime and poverty need not be so closely connected. People know the tenderloin is poor but they are not afraid to walk it's streets like the way people are afraid of North St. Louis even though the homeless are everywhere and people are shooting up drugs and passing out on the street over there. What the poor in the tenderloin are not doing are drive-by shootings. What gives? Whats the difference between there and here?

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PostJan 02, 2014#149

The Tenderloin is WAY smaller than North St. Louis, for starters. The Tenderloin is 6x5 blocks, which makes it smaller than the Ville. You could fit six Tenderloins in Forest Park.

That being said, the Tenderloin isn't a magical wonderland with low crime:
http://www.trulia.com/crime/San_Francis ... enderloin/

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PostJan 02, 2014#150

^^ Not saying that its all rainbows and unicorns in the tenderloin but I've never seen anybody passed out and drugged up outside in STL and I've even had the honor to be invited to bbq and dinners with people who live up in North City. This was up near bellefontaine and the fairgrounds. The people I met were mostly just normal people just trying to get by who may not have had as many opportunities as the rest of us. Some of them were even doing cool things like having a business selling stuff on ebay when they couldn't find any buyers in the area. Really down to earth people. I don't know where all the gang violence is coming from and hopefully the police departments and feds are working on it.

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