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PostJun 06, 2014#201

goat314 wrote:I think Downtown has the potential to build at least twice as many units as its currently building, I just think St. Louis lenders are extra conservative with lending on urban projects.

I do think we will eventually get there though. Just haven't hit that critical mass yet.
It's not St. Louis lenders. It's political. It's the lack of job growth. It's the perception of crime.

Funny thing is, the arch grounds renovation won't solve this, even though politicians will make it seem so. It's just timing. The arch grounds happen to be getting renovated when other projects (residential and/or commercial) are getting approved and starting construction. The hotels news would be happening with or without the Arch grounds renovation; hotels are on an upswing. It's all timing.

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PostJun 06, 2014#202

stlien wrote:
goat314 wrote:I think Downtown has the potential to build at least twice as many units as its currently building, I just think St. Louis lenders are extra conservative with lending on urban projects.

I do think we will eventually get there though. Just haven't hit that critical mass yet.
It's not St. Louis lenders. It's political. It's the lack of job growth. It's the perception of crime.

Funny thing is, the arch grounds renovation won't solve this, even though politicians will make it seem so. It's just timing. The arch grounds happen to be getting renovated when other projects (residential and/or commercial) are getting approved and starting construction. The hotels news would be happening with or without the Arch grounds renovation; hotels are on an upswing. It's all timing.

How could the city change the perception about crime downtown?
Also I think two issue we don't talk about are
1 If you are some one thats wants to live in the city and grew up in the region you are in the small minority. Maybe Pittsburgh and DC have more people in there region that wants to live in city and that gives there city and extra steam.

2 This relates to number 1 in a way Not much people in the region just go downtown for fun not counting sports and events. Downtown is not a local draw by its self.

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PostJun 06, 2014#203

I don't get the Pittsburgh hype, my fiance is from Pittsburgh, been there and the hype is not warranted. Its a cool city, but in all honesty I got no feeling that the city was leaps and bounds a head of St. Louis. They have a decent downtown, but overall it felt no more vibrant than ours.One thing they do have downtown is better infrastructure, sidewalks etc. and obviously them being apart of Allegheny County is also a huge benefit to the city. I feel the same way about Cincinnati, nothing spectacular there relative to St. Louis, but they also benefit greatly from being part of Hamilton County. Neither city has a Clayton.

Not to mention I think St. Louis has way better buildings downtown than either city and our older buildings are in way batter shape (thank you HTC).

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PostJun 06, 2014#204

^Agree, Pittsburgh's downtown, does not seem very lively, especially at night when nothing is going on, but their skyline is awesome, especially from Mt. Washington. Their Downtown has more tall and modern buildings. I don't know the elevation, but our skyline looks really small from some angles and great from others. It always looks great from the air, especially when looking into midtown and over to Clayton. It almost seems as if Downtown is in a hole or valley, when entering eastbound on 40. I know this is off subject.. does anyone know the elevation of Downtown, compared to other parts of the area?

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PostJun 06, 2014#205

DogtownBnR wrote:^Agree, Pittsburgh's downtown, does not seem very lively, especially at night when nothing is going on, but their skyline is awesome, especially from Mt. Washington. Their Downtown has more tall and modern buildings. I don't know the elevation, but our skyline looks really small from some angles and great from others. It always looks great from the air, especially when looking into midtown and over to Clayton. It almost seems as if Downtown is in a hole or valley, when entering eastbound on 40. I know this is off subject.. does anyone know the elevation of Downtown, compared to other parts of the area?
St. Louis City is in a valley, the elevation goes way down the closer to the river you go. That's why you can see downtown from way out in the County on a clear day.

Pittsburgh and Cincinnati have larger skylines with more modern buildings, but we definitely have better looking buildings than either city. Our skyline would be better with more hi rise too. I think we have a better chance of getting 400 ft tall residential towers than office though.

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PostJun 06, 2014#206

1. About Denver building 4000 units downtown, that's because they have very few living spaces as is in their proper downtown. We were just there recently and were like "where do people live downtown?"

2. Pittsburgh, I grew up in Buffalo, NY, and maybe a handful of people up there know that Pittsburgh's supposedly an "it" city. Everyone else still views it as an old rusted out city (possibly incorrectly). Pittsburgh definitely fell much harder than St. Louis so it may appear they are rising faster. They also don't have a metro or anything.

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PostJun 06, 2014#207

goat314 wrote:I don't get the Pittsburgh hype, my fiance is from Pittsburgh, been there and the hype is not warranted. Its a cool city, but in all honesty I got no feeling that the city was leaps and bounds a head of St. Louis. They have a decent downtown, but overall it felt no more vibrant than ours.One thing they do have downtown is better infrastructure, sidewalks etc. and obviously them being apart of Allegheny County is also a huge benefit to the city. I feel the same way about Cincinnati, nothing spectacular there relative to St. Louis, but they also benefit greatly from being part of Hamilton County. Neither city has a Clayton.

Not to mention I think St. Louis has way better buildings downtown than either city and our older buildings are in way batter shape (thank you HTC).
I think the hype about Pittsburgh is very well-deserved. They've grown salaried jobs in the CBD and have an enviable office market where it is hard to get Class A office; a 30+ story tower is going up for PNC and the high demand is driving more office development in surrounding hot spots like the Strip District. It's simply got a healthier employment base downtown than ours reflected in employment numbers, office occupancy rates, rental rates and new construction. Very enviable.

On the residential side, downtown Pittsburgh has had a smaller baseline (I believe in part due to the strong office market) and the overall numbers are currently lower than ours I believe, but a lot of projects are underway that are making for a more diverse, vibrant center of activity.... their downtown partnership reports 2,700 units are under active development.

My point is that I envy downtown Pittsburgh because it is coming from a relative position of strength that features a solid business core while growing mixed-use and residential projects that are adding flavor and nightlife to the district. In Saint Louis, we are hoping that we can continue the momentum on mixed-use and residential projects in order to overcome a moribund office market that has no hopes for a strong recovery anytime soon.

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PostJun 06, 2014#208

cteclipse wrote:1. About Denver building 4000 units downtown, that's because they have very few living spaces as is in their proper downtown. We were just there recently and were like "where do people live downtown?"

2. Pittsburgh, I grew up in Buffalo, NY, and maybe a handful of people up there know that Pittsburgh's supposedly an "it" city. Everyone else still views it as an old rusted out city (possibly incorrectly). Pittsburgh definitely fell much harder than St. Louis so it may appear they are rising faster. They also don't have a metro or anything.
Pittsburgh's property taxes are killer. A coworker retired and moved back to be with kids/grandkids in the Pittsburgh area. After a number of drinks one time we started talking money. She claimed an average size $200,000ish house had taxes at almost $5,500/year. She sold her half million dollar McMansion on a golf course in Virginia and the property taxes were still $1500 more a year in Pittsburgh.

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PostJun 06, 2014#209

cteclipse wrote:2. Pittsburgh, I grew up in Buffalo, NY, and maybe a handful of people up there know that Pittsburgh's supposedly an "it" city. Everyone else still views it as an old rusted out city (possibly incorrectly). Pittsburgh definitely fell much harder than St. Louis so it may appear they are rising faster. They also don't have a metro or anything.
What do you mean by metro? light rail? they definitely have that. and a growing bus rapid transit system. As for a rusted out city, sure like Saint Louis it has lingering perception problems, but their work on robotics and tech is pretty impressive, There is a reason Google has a major presence in the city, I believe they just committed to a Phase Two. Cortex will kick their tech butt in time, but there really shouldn't be any doubt Pittsburgh has made a lot of progress from its trying times.

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PostJun 06, 2014#210

DogtownBnR wrote:^Agree, Pittsburgh's downtown, does not seem very lively, especially at night when nothing is going on, but their skyline is awesome, especially from Mt. Washington. Their Downtown has more tall and modern buildings. I don't know the elevation, but our skyline looks really small from some angles and great from others. It always looks great from the air, especially when looking into midtown and over to Clayton. It almost seems as if Downtown is in a hole or valley, when entering eastbound on 40. I know this is off subject.. does anyone know the elevation of Downtown, compared to other parts of the area?
Despite the obvious passion folks on this forum have for the city, I think some still lose perspective when comparing it to other places and take for granted many of the great things about St. Louis. To a certain extent, it's human nature to think the grass is sometimes greener elsewhere. However, I also think it's a reflection of our poor civic self-esteem that we're so often lamenting our supposed lack of progress as compared to other cities.

As someone who has moved away and would love to get back, here are some common complaints that I just don't agree with:

Skyline - We have one of the most iconic skylines in the country. It's featured regularly in national commercials and TV shows. It's probably in the top three most recognizable skylines in the country along with NYC and DC. For some reason, people like to discount it by saying "if you take away the arch it's not all that impressive." That's bullsh*t. Let's remove the five most impressive buildings in the Pittsburgh skyline and see how it looks. I say five because the arch has same impact as at least five skyscrapers. I take my kids (2 and 5) to Chicago all the time and they've never said anything about the skyline. Same thing with Indy, Louisville, and Nashville. But as soon as we hit the Poplar Street Bridge they start losing their sh*t over the big arch.

Transit - Has anybody actually looked at a map of the legendary Denver light rail system? It's not really six lines. It's basically Y-shaped like metrolink with a few additional short branches. Probably 90% of the time the six lines are running on tracks that are shared by several other lines. It has less miles of track than metrolink. A big chunk of it is streetrunning, basically a big streetcar. It doesn't have all of the awesome underground sections that metrolink has downtown and at WashU. It doesn't even go to the airport. Minneapolis has one line. The transit meccas of KC and Cincinnati have nothing close to metrolink, even if you count their under-construction streetcar starter lines. And speaking of streetcars, we are actually very close to beginning construction on a streetcar line in St. Louis and U-city using Federal transit dollars that supposedly never come our way. Furthermore, planning is taking place have another streetcar running in downtown, midtown, the CWE, and the near north side by 2020. No we aren't New York or Boston when it comes to transit, but it's also a hell of a lot easier and cheaper to get around by car here than in those places (and that's OK.) Compared to peer cities, we look pretty damn good.

Development Progress - I really enjoyed the recent thread on what the city was like in the 70's, 80's, and 90's because it reminded me of my experience as a West County teenager discovering downtown at the tail end of that period in the late 90's. My dipshit friends and I had great times discovering places like The Side Door Club, The Creepy Crawl, Club Utopia, and Goodman's (if you were in need of a silk hanky.) Even 15-16 years ago, downtown was a much grittier, rougher place than it is today. I went on to undergrad at SLU and when I started midtown was a sea of abandonment and decay. The Continental Building, Coronado, Moolah Temple, Medinah Temple, Woolworth's building, Metropolitan building, the entire "Midtown Alley" Locust Corridor, the Sun Theatre were all empty. Since then, all of these buildings have been rehabbed and now house fairly high-end establishments. My freshman year (2001-2002), at least half of my friends were mugged. West of campus was sketchy, North of campus was sketchy, South and Southwest of campus was really sketchy. These areas are now booming with new housing and retail developments. The Grove (aka Forest Park Southeast) was a really bad neighborhood in 2001. It was still a pretty bad neighborhood in 2008 when I finished grad school at Wash U. The change in that area just in the last five years is really amazing. Shaw, Tower Grove South, Tower Grove East, Benton Park, even more established neighborhoods like the CWE, Soulard, and Lafayette Square have all become noticeably better in the last 5 to 10 years.

And downtown has made great strides, too. Dozens and dozens of empty buildings have been restored. Thousands of new residents have poured in. New business have opened up including a major grocery store. Speaking of which, does Walgreen's carry anything that you can't get at Culinaria? I don't fully understand the complaint that downtown doesn't have a chain pharmacy when there is a pharmacy within the downtown grocery. New construction, while much slower has also happened with Robert's Tower, Lumiere Place, a beautiful new bridge, Ballpark Village, and the Ballpark itself, which, nostalgia aside, was a huge upgrade over Busch II. There's also a growing student presence with SLU Law and Webster.

And steady residential growth continues to happen unabated. However, it still has a long way to go as a neighborhood and we shouldn't expect it to transform overnight. For comparison, Minneapolis (often cited as having the best downtown in the Midwest outside of Chicago) has three times the population density of downtown St. Louis. We shouldn't expect the same amenities, when we're not at the same stage of development. Let's continue to grow our core city and we'll eventually see those same types of developments that makes us jealous of other cities.

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PostJun 06, 2014#211

^ I agree we have made impressive strides downtown with residential growth, but you didn't address the jobs issue. Jobs! Jobs! Jobs!

If Railway Exchange, One ATT Center, One Metropolitan Square, Millennium Center, 600 Washington, Bank of America Plaza and the myriad other large office properties had 90% occupancy we'd be so much further along. Again, other downtowns simply have a better balance.

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PostJun 06, 2014#212

I stand corrected on Pittsburgh Metro system, apparently they do have a pretty nice setup. I was there on the outskirts for work a few years ago and inquired about one, and they lady just laughed and said not in Pittsburgh.

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PostJun 06, 2014#213

I for one think our downtown is quite impressive.. The height of buildings don't make a downtown its the vibrancy of the downtown that makes it. tall buildings do add to the hype. Right now we're doing good with residential however we need to regain that fire we had before the recession hit .. I would like to see downtown gain 10,000 or so jobs that will add to more vibrancy and balance and start to address retail.. I also don't think it would hurt for downtown to take a risk and build at least a speculative office building somewhere between 15-30 floors.. We'll definitely see new downtown high-rise residential with both Drury and BPV and possibly bottle district as well.. I think in all the future is pointing to a more progressive downtown but a more progressive city overall is on the verge of happening.. If the city can actually stabilize NSTL there could be drastic population gains in the city itself or am i over reaching that statement ... Denver Pittsburgh Minneapolis are all very nice cities.. All have different things to do and offer people and the same with Saint.Louis.. We have some of the best institutions here best amenities and we as Saint.Louisans take it all for granted. Not everyone is going to love Saint.Louis nor Pittsburgh Denver Minneapolis... I'll say this Saint.Louis has way more character than all 3 of those cities its just finding the perfect chemistry and making it all work and right now almost the entire city is going through some sort of a renaissance specially CWE and midtown and soon we'll see a much different Saint.Louis one thats probably bolder wiser smarter and ever more beautiful... Saint.Louis was ways behind all these cities and now we're right on their heels steps... Just to throw a bone out there . Also who would have guessed IKEA "The one and only IKEA" plopping a store in the heart of the city i certainly didn't think so..

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PostJun 06, 2014#214

You make some good points BrickCity4470. We are all hard in St. Louis because we are natives. Many out of towners are thoroughly surprised and impressed with St. Louis. Not to mention, I have relatives from nearby cities like Memphis, Nashville, Milwaukee and Indianapolis. This all seem to think St. Louis is this ultra progressive and sophisticated place. Especially my relatives from Nashville, they are always acting like straight country bumpkins coming up to St. Louis. I remember recently one of my St. Louis buddies was straight downing the city to a Chicago friend that was in town for a convention. The Chicago friend was looking at her like she was crazy, he goes "St. Louis aint nothing but a small Chicago, I like St. Louis". She was totally confused and didnt know what to say, its like so many St. Louisans are anti-St. Louis.

I also would like to say that Downtown St. Louis is better than it has ever been in my lifetime, because I personally don't remember anything earlier than the 80s. As somebody that can spend over a year of my time in different cities, every time I come back I'm thoroughly impressed with the progress of the entire city. We are definitely moving in the right direction and actually faster than many other places.

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PostJun 06, 2014#215

roger wyoming II wrote:^ I agree we have made impressive strides downtown with residential growth, but you didn't address the jobs issue. Jobs! Jobs! Jobs!

If Railway Exchange, One ATT Center, One Metropolitan Square, Millennium Center, 600 Washington, Bank of America Plaza and the myriad other large office properties had 90% occupancy we'd be so much further along. Again, other downtowns simply have a better balance.
No doubt the loss of jobs hurts downtown vibrancy, but I think the impact is often overstated. Downtown had many more jobs in 1995 than it does today and yet it was arguably a less appealing place back then. To put it more concretely, compare one hypothetical downtown with 100,000 jobs and maybe 1200 residents (likely close to how things stood in 1995) to another with 35,000 jobs and 35,000 residents. Which one is more vibrant. I'd argue that the second, despite its significantly smaller combined population of workers and residents is a much more vibrant and built out place with more dining and shopping options because residents add so much more to a neighborhood than office workers.

Compare downtown (including downtown west) to the Central West End and Clayton. All three areas are similar in size. Downtown has more jobs than the other two combined yet it lags behind them both when it comes to vibrancy and new development. I think a big part of what separates downtown is it's relative lack of residents. It has half as many.

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PostJun 06, 2014#216

Not to get back on Pittsburgh here (haven't actually been...yet), but I was of the impression the southern banks of the Alleghany were really hopping -- even more so than the northern banks with Heinz and PNC. They've got the Cultural District and The Strip, all right there, a subway, and I think a trolley system (?) running down to the riverbank (seem to remember seeing one with "D-Fence" or O-Fence" on the front, depending on who had the ball at home Steelers games.

Back before the '09 All-Star Game, I was communicating with the Director at Market Square's Chamber of Commerce to see how the crowds were, what the MLB restrictions were, etc. Pittsburgh had hosted the All-Star Game a couple years prior and we (LLMA) wanted to pick their brain as we had similar offerings and were a similar distance from the ballpark. Obviously, he was going to put it in the best light possible, but it sounded like that whole southern bank area was consistently vibrant and busy.

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PostJun 06, 2014#217

^^ I see what you're saying but again the issue is not either/or.... you can have both a strong salaried jobs base and a growing residential element bringing more vibrancy at the same time. We need to strive to have both like some, non-coastal peer cities (like Pittsburgh) have.

PostJun 06, 2014#218

Kevin B wrote:Not to get back on Pittsburgh here (haven't actually been...yet), but I was of the impression the southern banks of the Alleghany were really hopping -- even more so than the northern banks with Heinz and PNC. They've got the Cultural District and The Strip, all right there, a subway, and I think a trolley system (?) running down to the riverbank (seem to remember seeing one with "D-Fence" or O-Fence" on the front, depending on who had the ball at home Steelers games.

Back before the '09 All-Star Game, I was communicating with the Director at Market Square's Chamber of Commerce to see how the crowds were, what the MLB restrictions were, etc. Pittsburgh had hosted the All-Star Game a couple years prior and we (LLMA) wanted to pick their brain as we had similar offerings and were a similar distance from the ballpark. Obviously, he was going to put it in the best light possible, but it sounded like that whole southern bank area was consistently vibrant and busy.
North Shore ain't too shabby itself (where as you say they have the sports teams.) Imagine crossing the Eads Bridge on foot or bike from downtown and entering a true Ballpark Village with office and entertainment on an actual street grid. And having a pleasant riverside park to boot. That's the North Shore, More office is going up right now and I believe residential is forthcoming, too. Of course, Cordish is not involved.

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PostJun 06, 2014#219

Again, Pittsburgh has made some strong gains in the past 20 years or so but so has St. Louis. I've been to Pittsburgh my fair share of times and its a cool city, but I would argue that both cities are definitely on the same tier, if not St. Louis being slightly higher. For one we have a much better light rail system with higher ridership. St. Louis also is not losing population regionally, Pittsburgh is. St. Louis also doesn't have a couple dozen dying coal cities with little cultural or aesthetic appeal on its peripheral that make the Metro East look like child's play. St. Louis has much healthier region, I think a lot of people's perception about Pittsburgh are based on Atlantic cities Richard Florida fluff pieces. Now obviously St. Louis has big problems with fractured governments, crime, a bunch little fiefdoms, but guess what so does Pittsburgh. Only thing that Pittsburgh has is Allegheny County, which means there is no Clayton to compete with, Pennsylvania is also a much more progressive and reasonable state than Missouri, but guess what Pittsburgh is a statistically more conservative region.

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PostJun 06, 2014#220

^ We can go round and round on Pitt versus Saint Louis and I certainly don't want to extend the comparisons into the entire region.... it is fair to say that both are wonderful riverfront cities and are seeing some progress in redeveloping their greater downtowns. Both are seeing an infusion in new residents. Unfortunately, only one has a strong office base that is prompting new construction throughout several districts.

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PostJun 06, 2014#221

roger wyoming II wrote:^ We can go round and round on Pitt versus Saint Louis and I certainly don't want to extend the comparisons into the entire region.... it is fair to say that both are wonderful riverfront cities and are seeing some progress in redeveloping their greater downtowns. Both are seeing an infusion in new residents. Unfortunately, only one has a strong office base that is prompting new construction throughout several districts.
I think the argument here is that many people prefer the centralized nature of Pittsburgh over the more poly-centric nature of St. Louis.

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PostJun 07, 2014#222

Sooner than later or later than sooner Downtown will get its fair share of new jobs whether that be from start ups or other companies from within the region or outside the region.. The influx of continued residents is also a indicator that downtown is changing.. It's only a matter of when will the jobs begin to come back.. I like a lot of things about Pittsburgh when i was there and happen to really enjoy it however i'll say Saint.Louis is pretty much ahead of Pitt when it comes to amenities craft beer entertainment and such. We have many more historic neighborhoods that are on the rise such as Cherokee The Grove Botanical Heights and many more also with the further renovation of the riverfront that will only make downtown much more appealing and if the economy can go many years without a recession i could definitely see many more great things happening here.. Albeit Saint.Louis is in the state of Missouri.. I'll take a slow growth region than a region thats not growing .. Too all these cities that have never lost population will know what its like to be Saint.Louis Pittsburgh Buffalo Detroit Cleveland.. I'll never bash any of those cities cause they are all good and have quality in them..Places like Dallas Houston Albuquerque even Phoenix Just don't get me excited at all and are pretty boring to me... You can add a thousand high-rise buildings thats not excitement when they are sitting empty.. Character of neighborhoods make a city and that what Saint.Louis has character..

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PostJun 07, 2014#223

danryan1 wrote: To put it more concretely, compare one hypothetical downtown with 100,000 jobs and maybe 1200 residents (likely close to how things stood in 1995) to another with 35,000 jobs and 35,000 residents. Which one is more vibrant.
I appreciate the dialogue. Just want to mention I also think there is a vibrancy/livability issue as well as the economic impact issue. Even if the smaller overall daytime population would make for a more vibrant/lively district, we'd need to take a look at the revenue implications of both scenarios. In the first case, you have at least 100,000 people paying city earnings tax while in the second you have maybe 60-65,000, That's a huge difference.

In addition, you have the immediate impact of all those commercial buildings paying healthy property taxes.... e.g. when the AT&T One Center owner took a hit a couple years back on leasing, the property tax went down by hundreds of thousands of dollars or millions over the course of a decade. Secondarily, a smaller jobs base means that those jobs are located somewhere else, and if its far enough away, the residential consequences hurt neighborhoods throughout the city. In our case, how many residents have we lost over the years in large part because their job is out on 270 or even further and no longer in greater downtown? I'd say quite a few.

Now on the retail front, I think a downtown resident has more impact than a daytime worker, as more overall spending downtown is surely coming from residents. It would be interesting to see if there is any general formula for a well-developed downtown.

So again, I'd much rather have 100,000 jobs downtown and 35,000 residents, but I'd sacrifice a bit of "vibrancy" for retaining the core function of a downtown Central Business District. I'm just a bit worried that city leadership is slacking off on the salaried jobs front. A few weeks ago, I was hoping maybe we hit bottom... but then this week comes news of another 150+ jobs leaving downtown.

I

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PostJun 07, 2014#224

Pittsburgh is tough to compare, just the fact alone that its office market has benefitted immensely by the shale boom at its door step. Will St. Louis benefit or not when So Illinois fracking happens is another question that a few posters have discussed. In Pittsburgh case, it helped that Philly is in the same state as well as the fact that NY like IL is timid to say the least and so you don't have the state competing interests.

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PostJun 07, 2014#225

^ That certainly has helped, but back to our region we haven't had any dearth of major new office commitments, they just have excluded downtown. The office market in the County in recent years has been impressive even excluding Clayton.... recent and upcoming commitments such as Monsanto, Scottrade, Express Scripts, RGA, Ed Jones and more. If a good chunk of that was leased up or built downtown we'd be in much healthier shape.

I'd even be satisfied with having kept downtown what moved out to Clayton and the above-mentioned companies located in Clayton. That still would have driven a lot more demand in the central corridor,

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