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PostDec 08, 2022#101

dbInSouthCity wrote:
Dec 08, 2022
3rd lane isn’t necessary along the entire route, there are few hills that could use it just to have space to get around the truckers.
You may be right.  When I say congestion, I really mean volume which is just pretty heavy for the entire transit from STL to KC.  Volume is only an issue when you have throttling in the flow.  If you can resolve major backups due to accidents and periodic construction through some other means, then maybe you can forgo adding a lane.  One thought would be strategically placed cross over points which could be opened to divert backup to share the opposite lanes more effectively.  I don't know, not my field, I will concede politicians are not engineer and they tend to favor one size fits all solutions rather than the most effective way to solve the underlying problems and MoDOT like to keep their road crews busy building roads.  4 lanes both ways is overkill.
Still, I think we need to really be realistic when we say let's invest in rail instead.  Trucks as cargo carriers is a reality and will be for the foreseeable future.  Also truck traffic doesn't not have to be a losing proposition for the state.  They could likely create a revenue stream from trucking that would not deter use of the local interstates but would in fact pay for the upgrades and return the money to the state for additional investment.  In a weird way one of Missouri's strategic advantages is you have to drive through it to get to the other side.  Monetize that commerce.  You can do it through fuel taxes or as electrification becomes more prevalent some kind of VAT based on vehicle miles or a toll.
I also don't see an adjustment in dispatches relative to other routes.  There will be growth in volume across the board because that is just a reality.  We want St. Louis to be a center of commerce in the Midwest.  A logistics hub.  That means boats, airplanes, trains and yes trucks.  Will it favorably impact the cornfield communities... not really.  They will see more fast food and truck stops along the highways, maybe not even much of that since these trucks are going straight through with no stops as much as possible.
FWIW I did find this reference when looking for some numbers to inform my suppositions.
https://midamericafreight.org/index.php/rfs/network-inventory/corridors/profiles/i70/
Looks like ~ 20,000 vehicles travel cross state on a daily basis.  If 27.9% were cargo trucks, then a 2-billion-dollar investment would be offset in roughly 5 years by extracting and average additional $200 per truck.  Obviously, a better breakdown of the numbers would yield a more accurate estimate.
I did look at the Columbus to Indy portion and it looks like its 2 lanes both way in at least some places and it has ~ almost double the traffic count so I think it's fair to argue 3 lanes both ways in MO is overkill at this time.
I like HSR and would support a plan that gets us there eventually but even if it was in place, it's not going to make much impact on the traffic counts on I70.

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PostDec 09, 2022#102

^I'd be utterly shocked if we extracted anything like $200 from a typical freight trip across MO. Fuel efficiency will depend greatly on load, but maybe five or six mpg is probably not too far off. Let's say five to be generous. It's not really going to work out precisely to buying what you burn, since folks will tend to buy here based on prices assuming they can work it out, but for a shorthand that's probably not too far off, and diesel is running about five to the gallon right now, so the math is easy. That'd be a total trip fuel cost of maybe $250. You'll get some hotel stays and some meals, but . . . enough to create $200 bucks in revenue for the state government? No flipping way on earth. It won't pay itself off in five years. Probably not even in twenty five. Sure, we want to be a logistics hub. But we don't have to give away the future or our health to do it. There's absolutely no reason we can't invest in the logistics of the future and not those of the past.

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PostDec 12, 2022#103

^So you forgot to say, 'under the current funding mechanisms'.  I agree.

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PostDec 13, 2022#104

^I'm not sure what funding mechanism you'd care to propose. Raising fuel taxes is certainly an option, but I doubt it gets you anywhere close to what you're discussing. You're talking maybe fifty gallons of fuel for a cross state trip. With current gas taxes that'll get you eight and a half bucks. That's going to go up, but it's a long way from eight fifty to a pair of Ben Franklins. Let's assume a hotel night. Typical trucker's paradise at company rates is under a hundred. So let's round it. The state's share of the entertainment tax is 7.5% right now, plus a state sales tax a shade under four and a quarter, so let's say twelve cents on the dollar, or . . . twelve more bucks. A couple of meals is fifty, assuming our theoretical driver is extra slow and feeling supremely spendy, so another two fifty to the state.  Maybe you'd like to make 70 a toll road. I'm sure that would go over well with AAA and the trucking lobby. Working off the Kansas Turnpike and a typical five axle rig that'd get you another forty simoleans. A real slow, real expensive trip with toll roads we don't have gets you to . . . sixty three dollars even. Not even halfway there. So . . . no, we're not getting two hundred out of a trip. Not with current funding. Not with near future funding. Maybe in thirty years after inflations makes everything double (including the asphalt to repave this mistake yet again) you'll see that kind of money. As for me, just call me a flat and final no. No more lanes on 70. Nope. Thanks. Don't need. Don't want. The paving lobby gets enough of my money already. A far, far, far better solution is to figure out how to move this stuff more safely and efficiently so that we can all enjoy the fruits of our labors a little more and a little longer. Don't add lanes. Reduce trucks. Mass transit isn't just for people. Our rail system is a hot mess. Use the money to fix it. THAT will bring revenue to Missouri, while reducing costs and saving lives.

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PostDec 14, 2022#105

So, FWIW after looking at the data on the website I previously sited in terms of estimated traffic counts, based on the numbers from Columbus to Indy as a benchmark vs.  St. Louis to KC and the comparative lane counts, I think it's reasonable to argue additional lanes are not warranted at this time.  Not saying they won't eventually be justified but since the ROW has already been acquired, I think it makes sense to improve & maintain the existing lanes and incrementally install improvements as needed along the length to improve overall traffic flow.  Would probably go ahead and add the lanes to get 3 lanes through Columbia though for example.  Of course, decisions SHOULD be made, based on data, returns on investment, and cost benefits, not on a state legislator's whims.  My presupposition was always based on the idea that they could monetize the traffic flow (taxes, tolls).  The realist in me realizes the odds of doing that are pretty slim anyway so it may be a bit tiresome to argue hypotheticals anyway.

To your point, 5 years to ROI is ambitious for a public infrastructure as even a private business would usually be pretty happy with that kind of ROI, but if the numbers don't settle out over some reasonable timeline factoring in all the revenue streams it makes sense to table it.  If MO is unwilling to make the kind of changes to improve the funding stream (i.e., tolls or fuel taxes) such that these things can have sustainable funding rather than using a one-off windfall, then I don't support it either.  Example: If they implemented the toll for instance without an expansion of 70, they would pull in significant new revenues to fund maintenance, and temper frivolous demand for the highway reducing congestion.  Thats another route worth considering as well, though they likely wouldn't because its politically unpopular.

I don't subscribe to the notion of induced demand as I think that is an example correlation over causation.  I also don't see the interstate highway system is as much of a problem as many here seem to.  When they cut through the dense urban fabric of a city, yes that's a big problem, but IMO the intercity connections are a boon to Saint Louis even if it enabled even more the several decades of white flight.  I also think that investing in other modes out of a distaste for cars is sort of willful blindness.  Trucks are and will continue to be essential modes for shipment of goods.  Supporting them in a financially sustainable way is as critical as any of the other modes.

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PostDec 15, 2022#106

STLEnginerd wrote:
Dec 14, 2022
So, FWIW after looking at the data on the website I previously sited in terms of estimated traffic counts, based on the numbers from Columbus to Indy as a benchmark vs.  St. Louis to KC and the comparative lane counts, I think it's reasonable to argue additional lanes are not warranted at this time.  Not saying they won't eventually be justified but since the ROW has already been acquired, I think it makes sense to improve & maintain the existing lanes and incrementally install improvements as needed along the length to improve overall traffic flow.  Would probably go ahead and add the lanes to get 3 lanes through Columbia though for example.  Of course, decisions SHOULD be made, based on data, returns on investment, and cost benefits, not on a state legislator's whims.  My presupposition was always based on the idea that they could monetize the traffic flow (taxes, tolls).  The realist in me realizes the odds of doing that are pretty slim anyway so it may be a bit tiresome to argue hypotheticals anyway.

To your point, 5 years to ROI is ambitious for a public infrastructure as even a private business would usually be pretty happy with that kind of ROI, but if the numbers don't settle out over some reasonable timeline factoring in all the revenue streams it makes sense to table it.  If MO is unwilling to make the kind of changes to improve the funding stream (i.e., tolls or fuel taxes) such that these things can have sustainable funding rather than using a one-off windfall, then I don't support it either.  Example: If they implemented the toll for instance without an expansion of 70, they would pull in significant new revenues to fund maintenance, and temper frivolous demand for the highway reducing congestion.  Thats another route worth considering as well, though they likely wouldn't because its politically unpopular.

I don't subscribe to the notion of induced demand as I think that is an example correlation over causation.  I also don't see the interstate highway system is as much of a problem as many here seem to.  When they cut through the dense urban fabric of a city, yes that's a big problem, but IMO the intercity connections are a boon to Saint Louis even if it enabled even more the several decades of white flight.  I also think that investing in other modes out of a distaste for cars is sort of willful blindness.  Trucks are and will continue to be essential modes for shipment of goods.  Supporting them in a financially sustainable way is as critical as any of the other modes.
I think the biggest problem with St. Louis interstates were the placements, which were absolutely devastating, the "slum" clearance, and the lack of investment in heavy rail mid-century. I think DC probably has the best model for a city that was a similar size when urban renewal started. 

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PostDec 15, 2022#107

We are going about this all wrong, we should be discussing REDUCING the number of lanes on I-70. Why does anyone need to go to Kansas City anyway?

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PostDec 15, 2022#108

STLEnginerd wrote:
Dec 14, 2022
I also think that investing in other modes out of a distaste for cars is sort of willful blindness.  Trucks are and will continue to be essential modes for shipment of goods.  Supporting them in a financially sustainable way is as critical as any of the other modes.
Just for the record, I don't hate cars. I drive a small sports car fairly regularly. Nothing special. Just a Miata. But still, that's hardly the car of someone who hate cars. And I have a class B CDL and I've driven about everything that doesn't have a hinge in a professional capacity. (Often in the service of art, mind you, but the trucks and busses don't care what's in the back.) I'm not suggesting we ban trucks. But I do think we should carefully consider what modes we support when and why, and seventy years of disinvestment in rail infrastructure has cost us dearly. The river needs some investment too. And the airport. And I'll grant that there are improvements to be made to the highways and I'm not advocating we tear them up completely, but I'm suspicious of dumping even more money in. The passing lanes on the hills are a nice touch, for instance. Maintaining what we've got is fine. I just hope we use our money wisely. (Though I have no faith in the Republicans to do anything of the sort.)

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PostDec 27, 2022#109

Glad to see some legislators realize it's not an entitlement program.

StlToday - Senate leader pumps brakes on proposal to widen Interstate 70

https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/gov ... 75a53.html

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PostJan 19, 2023#110

Missouri governor wants to put I-70 widening on fast track
https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/gov ... -top-story

I kind of like this idea. Instead of spending 6-9 billion to widen I-70 to 8 lanes this targets specific areas where congestion is a problem (Wentzville to Warrenton, Columbia area and KC suburbs). $800 million to $1 billion for these improvements and they have the money. Even less than MoDot’s $3 billion proposal to expand the interstate to six lanes state wide.

Even state Democrats seem to be on board with this (and his other budget suggestions).

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PostJan 19, 2023#111

sc4mayor wrote:
Jan 19, 2023
Missouri governor wants to put I-70 widening on fast track
https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/gov ... -top-story

I kind of like this idea. Instead of spending 6-9 billion to widen I-70 to 8 lanes this targets specific areas where congestion is a problem (Wentzville to Warrenton, Columbia area and KC suburbs). $800 million to $1 billion for these improvements and they have the money. Even less than MoDot’s $3 billion proposal to expand the interstate to six lanes state wide.

Even state Democrats seem to be on board with this (and his other budget suggestions).
A fastrack and all this money on a highway, but try to get a penny for anything other than car infrastructure and the state cries poor.

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PostJan 19, 2023#112

^ Whatever, I use the highway regularly and support this.

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PostJan 19, 2023#113

A fastrack and all this money on a highway, but try to get a penny for anything other than car infrastructure and the state cries poor

Jefferson County, Missouri: Fox C-6 School Distict’s Superintendent announces his recommendation for a 4-day school week citing budget savings.

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PostJan 19, 2023#114

mikenewell48 wrote:A fastrack and all this money on a highway, but try to get a penny for anything other than car infrastructure and the state cries poor

Jefferson County, Missouri: Fox C-6 School Distict’s Superintendent announces his recommendation for a 4-day school week citing budget savings.
Lol cars>kids education

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PostJan 19, 2023#115

Anything in the Gov's big gov't spending plans for transit, intercity bus/rail, freight rail, int'l air travel? Just a driving subsidy?

Stl PR - Parson pitches I-70 improvements and education funding hikes in State of the State address

https://news.stlpublicradio.org/governm ... erstate-70

PostJan 30, 2023#116

NextSTL - Governor Parson Proposes $859M Driving Subsidy

https://nextstl.com/2023/01/governor-pa ... g-subsidy/

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PostMar 09, 2023#117

Looks like lawmakers are trying to scale back some of the improvements that Gov. Parsons wants for I-70. While I understand lawmakers that that don't live near the I-70 corridor want MoDOT to focus on their needs as well, the fact remains that I-70 is Missouri's main street and that it connects the state's two largest metro areas and that 60% of the state's population lives within 30 miles of the corridor. So, widening it is a must. Also, I-44 will be the next corridor MoDOT will be focusing on as far as widening statewide.

Lawmakers chip away at Missouri governor’s plan for I-70 improvements
Questioning of McKenna began in the committee’s morning session and resumed after the House, in floor action, voted 101-45 in favor of a state constitutional amendment that would give lawmakers control of the state road fund. Currently, money from fuel taxes, license fees and vehicle sales taxes to maintain highways“stand appropriated without legislative action.” 

The proposed constitutional amendment now goes to the Senate where, if approved, it would be put on a statewide ballot.

During the hearing, Rep. Scott Cupps, R-Shell Knob, peppered McKenna with questions about how I-70 was chosen over other projects, such as I-44.

“Is this something that stems from the fact that I-70 does go through what I have coined as being the bureaucrat bubble?” Cupps asked.

Cupps, who drives a truck, said he doesn’t believe the congestion on I-70 outside urban “pinch points” is as bad as it is on I-44.
https://www.bizjournals.com/stlouis/news/2023/03/08/missouri-1-70-improvement-plan.html

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PostMar 09, 2023#118

My biggest issue with the I-70 plan is that it did nothing to rehabilitate I-70 through St. Louis. That is where the biggest issues on I-70 is in my opinion. It really looks tired and antiquated in my opinion.

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PostMar 09, 2023#119

Going to have to agree with Cupps. I routinely drive I70 and outside of peak usage times “rush hour”, or what’s left of it after Covid anyway, the corridor is hardly congested. If we fix the pinch points it will only further western expansion and move the pinch point further west. Money could be spent elsewhere.

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PostMar 09, 2023#120

There are so many better ways to spend transportation dollars than widening highways, we don't need more sprawl, I hope they give up on the idea altogether.

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PostMar 09, 2023#121

goat314 wrote:
Mar 09, 2023
My biggest issue with the I-70 plan is that it did nothing to rehabilitate I-70 through St. Louis. That is where the biggest issues on I-70 is in my opinion. It really looks tired and antiquated in my opinion.
Probably because MoDot already has long range plans for I-70 in St. Louis.  Including reconstruction in some sections.

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PostMar 09, 2023#122

sc4mayor wrote:
Mar 09, 2023
goat314 wrote:
Mar 09, 2023
My biggest issue with the I-70 plan is that it did nothing to rehabilitate I-70 through St. Louis. That is where the biggest issues on I-70 is in my opinion. It really looks tired and antiquated in my opinion.
Probably because MoDot already has long range plans for I-70 in St. Louis.  Including reconstruction in some sections.
Oh okay I had no idea about that. Have to look it up. 

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PostMar 09, 2023#123

I generally hate sound walls, but if we could get them built all along 70 through the Northside, at least they'd hide some of the worst urban eyesores from folks coming in from the airport.

Only partly kidding

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PostMar 09, 2023#124

framer wrote:
Mar 09, 2023
I generally hate sound walls, but if we could get them built all along 70 through the Northside, at least they'd hide some of the worst urban eyesores from folks coming in from the airport.

Only partly kidding
That with some nice landscaping would do wonders for perception for sure.

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PostMar 09, 2023#125

You could think of it the other way.  It blocks ugly views and noise of interstates from peoples houses and yard.  I generally wish they were much more commonplace in residential areas.  I'm not sure its the most efficient use of tax dollars but i generally think they make a home adjacent to the interstate more attractive, livable and valuable.  Of course it mostly seems like rich people get them and poors can suck a lemon.

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