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PostOct 14, 2019#1701

It’s a tad bit complicated.
The city of stl was the sponsor for the $25m federal grant and the county applied and got additional $7m in fed funding, the cooperative agreements with the feds for that $32m will spell out payback of funds if the system is shut down

sc4mayor
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PostOct 14, 2019#1702

^ Thanks for that information, I was wondering whether or not the city would be responsible for repaying those funds.

I think a shut down would do more harm in the long run, aside from all that abandoned infrastructure, having to pay back that money would be a kick in the nads, never mind the challenge that would arise with future federal grants if the feds don't think we can be good stewards of that money.

If it shuts down and that $32 million has to be repaid, I'm not so sure letting it die is the right course of action.  That's a lot more expensive than what they're asking for now, and again I don't agree with the ask, but I can't see how having to repay that grant is a better way forward.

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PostOct 14, 2019#1703

From the P-D article:  "Page’s letter said the trolley’s supporters believe the county’s investment would sustain the system until a third car could begin operating in January, giving it a chance to support itself through passenger fares, the special local sales tax in the trolley area, income from ads and private donations."

Why would getting the third car operational matter?  If the problem is lack of demand, then you'll just have one more empty car.  The only logic for that would be if they somehow think tons of people show up every day to ride this thing, then get discouraged about the long wait time and give up.  I'm not sure that's what's really happening.  I suspect nobody rides this thing because it doesn't go anywhere.  

I agree with others, the only way this thing will ever work is if it gets expanded to cover more destinations.  

sc4mayor
sc4mayor

PostOct 14, 2019#1704

^ The idea with the third car is that it would run longer hours and more days.  Right now it only runs a few days a week on a short schedule because they don't have enough vehicles to run more hours or quicker headways.

Whether or not that helps is an open question, but running only a few days for a few hours isn't going to help demand either.

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PostOct 14, 2019#1705

It's one reason re-purposing the dedicated infrastructure to an automated system as seen in Maryland, Texas, and Utah could work. If the region can make the case that everything (less the track, wire, and vehicles) were required to operate a successful autonomous circulator, City and County could be asked to repay only a % of what is deemed irrelevant (rail, cars, wire).

https://www.transit.dot.gov/regulations ... ntly-asked

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PostOct 14, 2019#1706

addxb2 wrote:If the region can make the case that everything (less the track, wire, and vehicles) were required to operate a successful autonomous circulator, City and County could be asked to repay only a % of what is deemed irrelevant (rail, cars, wire).
Haha. Of course, ALL that value of a trolley system that isn’t track, wires and trolleys.

Seems like there’s a lot of schadenfreude on this thread. “They need $700,000?!? Shut it down!!!” “Don’t give into the sunk-cost fallacy!!” “Scrap the infrastructure and replace it with different vehicles!!”

This is not the Honolulu Rail Transit system, where billions in costs balloon out of control before a single passenger rides it. The system had its construction setbacks but seemed to come in on a pretty tight budget. $700,000 does not seem like some outrageous ask to help get the system on its feet when it hasn’t even been open for a year or been able to operate as envisioned. $700,000 is a lot of money, but for a project of this scale it seems minuscule, and not enough to justify outright abandonment.

Get the CVS up and running, get the large multi-use project at Debaliviere & DeGiverville up and running, maybe (please God) a mixed-use project on the old Church’s site, get Wash. U.’s Loop Lofts Phase II built to add that many more tenants/students in the mix, add in a couple of moderately sized East Loop projects (like the Gotham) and it’s not a stretch to see the TDD covering the costs (opening up the possibility of fares being dropped) and the system operating how it was intended to.

sc4mayor
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PostOct 14, 2019#1707

^ Agreed.  Never mind the off chance we'd have to pay back that $32 million...where does everyone think that money will come from?

The Trolley was in this same position last November...and Clayco stepped in.  While I can't imagine they would do that again, I could see a local company stepping up again, and hopefully they do.  I'd at least like to see the third car get rolling and the line running 7 days a week before we toss in the towel.

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PostOct 14, 2019#1708

Build/renew/refurb in and around  the loop is great however the Trolley was/is a failed project.   There is a bad 'taste' for the project in its present form or possibly any form .  Movement of persons/cars/buses/bikes/scooters/parking  etc on Delmar are valid issues but the trolley exasperated the area.  700,000 is money, and to commit any additional money on this project  is not  worth the gamble. New monies to fund a trolley will  not be forthcoming any time soon.  If no company/person(s)  steps up soon with plans to  'save' this trolley with up front monies and a plan for sustainability though 2020 than the trolleys will be parked in the garage and the infrastructure will deteriorate and the grass will grow high along DeBaliviere .  

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PostOct 15, 2019#1709

Even metrolink and buses had to be bailed out a few years ago with a ?sales tax proposition when drastic cuts to service were looming. Doubt we've heard the last of this. Joe Edwards gets stuff done.

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PostOct 15, 2019#1710

wabash wrote:
Oct 14, 2019
Seems like there’s a lot of schadenfreude on this thread. “They need $700,000?!? Shut it down!!!” “Don’t give into the sunk-cost fallacy!!” “Scrap the infrastructure and replace it with different vehicles!!”
You're kinda taking some of the statements made and amplifying / exaggerating them.  I don't think anyone is screaming from the rooftop like you're insinuating.  I stand behind my sunk cost fallacy comment.   If there is a realistic financial way forward then by all means that should be used as a supporting argument.  I'm not against the Trolley operating if it is a true value add for the area and can justify future expenses.  But at the same time, it is bad practice to use sunk costs in future decision making processes.  

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PostOct 15, 2019#1711

^Honestly, wasn’t trying to exaggerate. A sampling of what people have written so far recently is: “Let It Die!” “Just close the money burning machine” and “This toy trolley is a bust”

I think you bring a valid point with the sunk-cost argument. I absolutely agree that sunk-costs shouldn’t be used to justify some blank check for profligate expenditures. My point was that we’re talking about $700,000. At some point further expenditure is worth it and warranted. Is it $5? $50,000? $500,000? $5,000,000?

This isn’t a request for millions or a multiplication of initial estimates as we’ve seen so often with large public projects. It’s a request for $700,000, or less than 2% of the initial (or sunk) cost, and is needed for day-to-day operation. My point was that there is a value to the Loop Trolley and it’s worth considering what that is. $700,000 doesn’t sound outlandish to me so long as their is some clarification or reconsideration of the path to financial sustainability.

Many others seem to have been chomping at the bit to see it scrapped since before day one and are happy to rev up the bandwagon to that effect.


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PostOct 15, 2019#1712

Someone may have posted this elsewhere, but how much $ does the City currently have sitting somewhere as a result of the tax increase to fund MetroLink N-S?  $700k isn't that much and it seems like at the least the City could lend Loop Trolley $700k from the N-S funds to repaid in several years when the City actually needs the money to begin N-S construction (if that ever happens).  May set a bad precedent but I could get over that. 

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PostOct 15, 2019#1713

Someone on Nextdoor mentioned the idea of getting iNeighborhoods involved. Does anyone know anything about this group; what they do, how they could possibly help the trolley? Is this worth looking into? Apparently they're already involved with The Loop in general. 

https://ineighborhoods.us/delmar-loop-i ... ghborhood/

https://ineighborhoods.us/

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PostOct 15, 2019#1714

City has around $20M in the N-S Fund 

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PostOct 15, 2019#1715

^Thanks for the numbers.  $20m is quite a bit of money that is currently not being used for much of anything.  If leaders are genuinely worried that the failure of Loop Trolley would imperil future STL transit projects' ability to obtain federal money, this is a no-brainer since N-S will only work if we get substantial federal money.  Again, I'd propose a loan rather than outright contribution.

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PostOct 15, 2019#1716

I say, do whatever has to be done to get the N-S line funded and created. 

sc4mayor
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PostOct 15, 2019#1717

SouthCityJR wrote:
Oct 15, 2019
^Thanks for the numbers.  $20m is quite a bit of money that is currently not being used for much of anything.  If leaders are genuinely worried that the failure of Loop Trolley would imperil future STL transit projects' ability to obtain federal money, this is a no-brainer since N-S will only work if we get substantial federal money.  Again, I'd propose a loan rather than outright contribution.
This is a good take.  It also appears it might happen.  The City has not ruled out providing some funds from that MetroLink tax according to recent reporting in the PD.  The City and County combined are sitting on about $100 million in unused transit funds as of right now.  Also worth mentioning that while the County Council isn't too keen on helping out the trolley, Sam Page has said he doesn't mind pitching in if the City does the same.
https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/gov ... d1297.html

Here is some recent BJ reporting as well:
https://www.bizjournals.com/stlouis/new ... s_headline

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PostOct 15, 2019#1718

framer wrote:
Oct 15, 2019
Someone on Nextdoor mentioned the idea of getting iNeighborhoods involved. Does anyone know anything about this group; what they do, how they could possibly help the trolley? Is this worth looking into? Apparently they're already involved with The Loop in general. 

https://ineighborhoods.us/delmar-loop-i ... ghborhood/

https://ineighborhoods.us/
I think this was the Loop Data Rail guy. Whenever he talks about what he wants to do, I'm always left with "now what is it that he wants to do?" Like there's a lot of words, but what is IT exactly?

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PostOct 15, 2019#1719

The lack of push for TOD further by St. Louis City further East on Delmar is a problem. It's great that the Skinker-D station finally has a proposal, but it's hard to accept the fact that most cities in the country would have already had an apartment canyon down Delmar with this kind of transit access. Even a mix of affordable housing and market rate apartments with retail on the bottom. St. Louis City is just not very good at executing plans or visions in my opinion. 

PostOct 15, 2019#1720

dbInSouthCity wrote:
Oct 15, 2019
City has around $20M in the N-S Fund 
City should just scrap the N-S Metrolink idea. Focus on BRT and maybe a N-S modern streetcar line. I actually think a couple critical regional BRT lines, a city only N-S modern streetcar, and maybe the Westport line out to Danforth is a more reasonable approach to transit expansion. At our current rate it will be 2080 before we complete the Metrolink vision that everybody wants. Then EW-Gateway and Metro should focus on pushing Transit Oriented Development around transit stations and Form Based Code in the urban core. 

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PostOct 15, 2019#1721

The SD neighborhood plan and the Delmar and FP stations plan call for that. Developers have to show up, as they did with the Everly and now Pearl on DeB. Also current property owners have to be interested in building "city"/have capacity to build/be willing to sell/ or partner/die. 

sc4mayor
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PostOct 15, 2019#1722

goat314 wrote:
Oct 15, 2019
dbInSouthCity wrote:
Oct 15, 2019
City has around $20M in the N-S Fund 
City should just scrap the N-S Metrolink idea. Focus on BRT and maybe a N-S modern streetcar line. I actually think a couple critical regional BRT lines, a city only N-S modern streetcar, and maybe the Westport line out to Danforth is a more reasonable approach to transit expansion. At our current rate it will be 2080 before we complete the Metrolink vision that everybody wants. Then EW-Gateway and Metro should focus on pushing Transit Oriented Development around transit stations and Form Based Code in the urban core. 
So...N/S as it's planned now is basically a modern street running light rail.  Isn't that pretty much the same thing?  Why toss out all the work that's recently been done to start all over planning essentially the same thing?  The studies are done for N/S, it's time to move onto the environmental phase...that's further along than any other proposed extension to the system currently.  I also fail to see how building out the Westport line in an abandoned right of way would produce better TOD than a street running light rail in the dense urban core.  There are tons of complaints on this site alone about poor station placement due to the way MetroLink was built back in 1993.  Westport (which the county hasn't even studied nor even funded a study of) would be built the same way.  Those County lines are way, way behind the current proposed N/S alignment (which is only from Fairgrounds Park to Cherokee Street, btw.  Not city limit to city limit as was originally proposed).  That line is going to be a lot easier to get done then starting over the entire process to plan a modern streetcar, build a bunch of BRT lines, AND somehow build out Westport.
Anyway, mods maybe move these couple posts over to the Metro Expansion thread as we're getting a bit off topic here.

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PostOct 15, 2019#1723

My bet is this ceases operations shortly and at least for the winter... and really there's no good reason to run it then. If a solid plan can be put together to restart in spring with three cars and whatnot that should be considered but keeping things going during this dead period just seems like aimlessly shooting a money gun that doesn't have a whole lot of ammo.

sc4mayor
sc4mayor

PostOct 15, 2019#1724

The East-West Gateway Council of Governments is under the impression that millions of dollars would have to be paid back to the federal government in the event the line shuts down.  This isn't really a precedent I'd like to see St. Louis set...
“It’s likely some of the funds would have to be repaid, we just have to determine how much that would be,” Wild said. “The Federal Transit Administration is trying to be very deliberate and careful in what their determination is going to be, because, to the best of their knowledge, this is not something that has occurred in their region and we’re not sure if there is a precedent for this.
https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/gov ... op-story-1

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PostOct 15, 2019#1725

Maybe a deal could come together where the City and County match dollars raised by the Loop Trolley, so that there is that additional level of incentive, accountability and skin in the game for the Trolley and any boosters they may be able to find and the dollars required from the respective governments is kept below $250,000.


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