9,570
Life MemberLife Member
9,570

PostAug 08, 2023#9376

Because there is no evidence.  It makes no sense whatsoever.  There is more evidence that the 911 system is better this year than it was last year.  So maybe crime is down even more.

A lot of people are conflating medical response 911 to crime reporting 911

1,621
Totally AddictedTotally Addicted
1,621

PostAug 09, 2023#9377

You are telling me these crimes, experienced in my neighborhood, that never got through to 911 nor a police follow up, were reported accurately through a 3 minute phone call with an operator on the non emergency line?

493
Full MemberFull Member
493

PostAug 09, 2023#9378

TheWayoftheArch_V2.0 wrote:
Aug 09, 2023
You are telling me these crimes, experienced in my neighborhood, that never got through to 911 nor a police follow up, were reported accurately through a 3 minute phone call with an operator on the non emergency line?
I think he's saying that 911 response time in the city has always been sh*t and was likely worse in years past.   So, what you experienced with 911 and crime reporting in 2023 likely happened in 2018, 2013, 2008, etc.  And, was likely worse in 2018, 2013 and 2008.  So, crime stats wise, it's a wash. 

I also think social media has made any crime way way more visible in 2023.  Pre-social media, you'd only hear about most neighborhood crimes from live conversations with neighbors or neighborhood meetings. Now, you know if a break-in, clouting, robbery, burglary, car theft, etc happened hours after it went down. Perhaps ignorance was bliss.....perhaps.

Now, for all the stats showing crime is down, my gut reaction? So what. There's still way way too much crime in the region. It's a dangerous region for way way way too many citizens. What to do about it, barring a complete revisit of the 2nd amendment? No idea.  Zero. America.

1,621
Totally AddictedTotally Addicted
1,621

PostAug 09, 2023#9379

^That would corroborate my theory that the presented overall crime numbers are better than actual, but for both years - if that is what DB is intimating. 

Again, pre-pandemic I lived in Benton Park, and had reasons to call the Police on several occasions across the years.  I always got an answer, and a squad car always followed up.  

No so much anymore.  

493
Full MemberFull Member
493

PostAug 09, 2023#9380

TheWayoftheArch_V2.0 wrote:
Aug 09, 2023
^That would corroborate my theory that the presented overall crime numbers are better than actual, but for both years - if that is what DB is intimating. 

Again, pre-pandemic I lived in Benton Park, and had reasons to call the Police on several occasions across the years.  I always got an answer, and a squad car always followed up.  

No so much anymore.  
to this point though - even if they've been historically slow and are the same now, 911 response times are way way way too long.  (I say that as someone who fully believes that comparing the 'STL of then" to the "STL of now" has value.  Same with comparing STL to other cities. There is value but too many things are sh*tty in STL and just because it was shittier in the past and it's just as sh*tty elsewhere doesn't absolve it.)

13K
Life MemberLife Member
13K

PostAug 09, 2023#9381

The Board of Adjustment will hold a revocation hearing in the revocation of variances, with conditions and an occupancy permit for the gas station at 1401 Chouteau at 14th St. at its Aug 30th meeting.

1,621
Totally AddictedTotally Addicted
1,621

PostAug 10, 2023#9382

soulardx wrote:
Aug 09, 2023
TheWayoftheArch_V2.0 wrote:
Aug 09, 2023
^That would corroborate my theory that the presented overall crime numbers are better than actual, but for both years - if that is what DB is intimating. 

Again, pre-pandemic I lived in Benton Park, and had reasons to call the Police on several occasions across the years.  I always got an answer, and a squad car always followed up.  

No so much anymore.  
to this point though - even if they've been historically slow and are the same now, 911 response times are way way way too long.  (I say that as someone who fully believes that comparing the 'STL of then" to the "STL of now" has value.  Same with comparing STL to other cities. There is value but too many things are sh*tty in STL and just because it was shittier in the past and it's just as sh*tty elsewhere doesn't absolve it.)
While I agree with your gist, my overall point isn't to throw anyone under the bus, but is only that if the statistical baseline is erroneous, then benchmarking against it isn't meaningful.

9,570
Life MemberLife Member
9,570

PostAug 10, 2023#9383

So far august is continuing julys decline in homicides, 4 through 10 days. (33 last year and 23 average august the last 5 years)

PostAug 11, 2023#9384

Shootings through July

2023- 1250
2022- 1350
2021- 1400

1,621
Totally AddictedTotally Addicted
1,621

PostAug 12, 2023#9385

That is great! How are we doing to 2020/2019? 

9,570
Life MemberLife Member
9,570

PostAug 13, 2023#9386

Also through July

2020- 1784 (in July alone that year there was 55 homicides)
2019- 1538
2018- 1419
2017- 1419 (yes same as 18)
2016- 1205
2015- 1334

PostAug 14, 2023#9387

As of yesterday

And end of august totals of the past

2022- 135
2021- 128
2020- 185
2019- 136
2018- 116
2017- 138
2016- 133
2015- 136
2014- 85
IMG_5101.jpeg (76.04KiB)

2,706
Life MemberLife Member
2,706

PostAug 18, 2023#9388

Excluding the weed related shooting near SLU yesterday… any whispers or mentions of a correlation between weed legalization and gang crime or activity in the city?

678
Senior MemberSenior Member
678

PostAug 18, 2023#9389

When will people learn not to rob their drug dealers? You'll either end up shot immediately, arrested, or end up the victim of a revenge killing. At a minimum, you're gonna have to find a new drug dealer. Not worth it.

474
Full MemberFull Member
474

PostAug 18, 2023#9390

A nonprofit that supports local police is spending $860,000 to put additional officers on patrol in downtown St. Louis through a pilot program spearheaded by the department's new chief. The initiative pays officers about $70 an hour in overtime pay and is funded by the St. Louis Police Foundation.

https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/cri ... 55e59.html

433
Full MemberFull Member
433

PostAug 21, 2023#9391

^Where public governance fails, private governance fills the void. See also the growth in Special Business (policing) Districts operating private security forces in all of the city's more affluent neighborhoods. Coming next, armed citizen patrols. I'm only slightly exaggerating, but this is the path we're on. Rex Sinquefiled's candidates and projects may be  perennial losers at the local ballot box, but his libertarian utopia (or hellscape, depending on your POV) is nonetheless coming to fruition thanks to the ineptitude of civic leadership.

2,056
Life MemberLife Member
2,056

PostAug 24, 2023#9392


1,621
Totally AddictedTotally Addicted
1,621

PostAug 24, 2023#9393

https://fox2now.com/news/fox-files/st-l ... break-ins/

Same thing I've been pushing on.  Systemic changes leading to failures in reporting /response which leads to citizen fatigue which leads to even less reporting.   

2,706
Life MemberLife Member
2,706

PostAug 25, 2023#9394

pattimagee wrote:
Really interesting article. The more I read it and review the data in the linked dashboard the more I believe Biden and Dems should be the one taking credit.

Macroeconomic conditions improved and crime went down in many cities across the US by 20% or more. It could just be the calm after the storm, but one could definitely argue that a different set of policies and priorities could’ve taken the US higher.

13K
Life MemberLife Member
13K

PostAug 26, 2023#9395

KSDk - Emergency bill would hire contracted dispatchers to help answer 911 calls in St. Charles County


https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/local ... f01f0f851e

1,681
Totally AddictedTotally Addicted
1,681

PostAug 26, 2023#9396

TheWayoftheArch_V2.0 wrote:
Aug 24, 2023
https://fox2now.com/news/fox-files/st-l ... break-ins/

Same thing I've been pushing on.  Systemic changes leading to failures in reporting /response which leads to citizen fatigue which leads to even less reporting.   
Two people who can't be bothered to call and file the report are your reference point for lower crime from less reporting of it?

1,621
Totally AddictedTotally Addicted
1,621

PostAug 28, 2023#9397

Nicely and tidy in your dismissive statements, did you even read the article?  They tried multiple times, and their bother is the underpinning reason for the article. 

But in general, sure, because in combination with my own experiences and those of my neighbors, we are approaching /have a statistically relevant sample size. 

2,056
Life MemberLife Member
2,056

PostAug 28, 2023#9398

There's nothing wrong with this Fox2Now story making news - and appreciate the sharing of it. ✌ And its definitely good information/feedback for the general public to know and for the leadership at the city to work on - imho, its really hard to tie any anecdotes like this to overall crime when there are 50K+ incidents every month. I think we can acknowledge the issue, and be hopeful about the current crime trends at the same time. 

sc4mayor
sc4mayor

PostAug 28, 2023#9399

^ Well said.

9,570
Life MemberLife Member
9,570

PostAug 31, 2023#9400

August homicides: 13, that’s -60% vs August 2022, -43% vs 5 year August average & -38% vs a 10 year August average.

YTD homicides through August are the lowest since 2014 & -21% over 2022, -25% over 5 year average & -20% over 10 year average

Rest of crime data next week

Read more posts (1298 remaining)