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PostAug 23, 2013#2826

The cops sell "The Club" at discount prices at neighborhood meetings.

What about getting a bulk discount of after market GPS devices that folks could stick somewhere on their cars? Equip all cars with them.

That way when a car is reported stolen, the cops could track the GPS and pull over the car.

That sounds like a great deterrent to help prevent car theft...

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PostAug 23, 2013#2827

JNOnSTL wrote:What are the thieves stealing that make this such a lucrative venture? Who leaves valuables in a car anymore?
The thing is they're hitting cars even without a thing in site in the hope of getting something. $2.63 from a change cup in the center console and a iPhone charger is enough "bounty" for these clowns. And if there's an iPad hidden under a seat or a laptop computer in the trunk then "Jackpot!" for them.

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PostAug 23, 2013#2828

Often times, nothing ends up being stolen at all. They often break into cars looking for guns. I had my car broken into a couple years ago and nothing was taken. The only thing of value in the car was my iPod (which I had in the glove box), and I found it sitting in the passenger seat, scattered along with other worthless items from my console. I asked the cop who responded why they would just scatter my things and not even take the iPod, and he said usually when items are scattered they're looking for guns.

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PostAug 24, 2013#2829

More cops is not the answer although it makes some people feel good. Address the root cause or the increased police presence will just disperse crime to other areas.

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PostAug 24, 2013#2830

^More police is strongly correlated with reduced crime, particularly property crime. Conservative estimates suggest that a 10% increase in the size of an officer force results in a 3% decrease in property crime.

Quick review of the associated literature:
http://www.academia.edu/796325/Police_n ... nce_review

The review of literature acknowledges that it relies on a theory of crime causation that criminals make rational choices using a risk calculus (in which more police makes crime more risky and therefore they are less likely to commit the crime).

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PostAug 24, 2013#2831

Well, then, it appears that if we were to simply have a 330% increase in the size of the police force, we'd eliminate 99% of our property crimes! :)

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PostAug 24, 2013#2832

innov8ion wrote:More cops is not the answer although it makes some people feel good. Address the root cause or the increased police presence will just disperse crime to other areas.
Disagree. One if the components in the dramatic reduction in crime in NYC was increasing the size of the police force. More police were added, crime went down, all while the incarceration rate also fell. Why? Because more police prevented crimes.

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PostAug 24, 2013#2833

downtown2007 wrote:
innov8ion wrote:More cops is not the answer although it makes some people feel good. Address the root cause or the increased police presence will just disperse crime to other areas.
Disagree. One if the components in the dramatic reduction in crime in NYC was increasing the size of the police force. More police were added, crime went down, all while the incarceration rate also fell. Why? Because more police prevented crimes.
If you can agree that crime is a multi-variable function that constantly changes, you might agree with me. In fact, it would be misguided to suggest it isn't. Just know that what you suggest isn't fact -- just an opinion. Expert sociologists and criminologists debate this and it's not an accepted fact to them either. Here's a solid article from Berkeley Law that discusses this: http://www.law.berkeley.edu/12135.htm

With that said, many suggest crime-fighting in NYC has been successful and there are many theories behind it. One is CompStat, which seems to show a lot of promise. Another is the broken-window theory. They've done a lot with gun control. Stop and frisk has been taking place for a while and is simply unconstitutional. On the other hand, they've also been guilty of fudging crime statistics to make themselves and politicians look good.

Look, there are effective strategies that can be utilized but it's obvious that there are diminishing returns after reaching a certain level of police presence. You do realize that St. Louis has one of the highest levels of police per capita, right? Obviously something is wrong and I'm not necessarily blaming the police, but it seems that there is a stronger propensity toward crime in St. Louis than many other locales. Why is this?

Try to think of crime as a stream of water. If you choke it off at one point, it will just divert elsewhere. These efforts of choking off are what the police do. I mean, you need just the right amount of police to bring criminals to justice. But imagining that increasing the number of police will cause the stream of water (propensity toward crime) to evaporate seems a bit silly.

If we wish the stream to evaporate, you must first identify and address the root causes. Why do you think crime is so bad in St. Louis, downtown2007? If you care, ponder why and work to address the root causes.
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PostAug 24, 2013#2834

stlhistory wrote:^More police is strongly correlated with reduced crime, particularly property crime. Conservative estimates suggest that a 10% increase in the size of an officer force results in a 3% decrease in property crime.

Quick review of the associated literature:
http://www.academia.edu/796325/Police_n ... nce_review

The review of literature acknowledges that it relies on a theory of crime causation that criminals make rational choices using a risk calculus (in which more police makes crime more risky and therefore they are less likely to commit the crime).
That's all well and good but the conclusion of that very paper says this:
Despite the apparent consistency of recent research it is too early to say, for all the reasons given above, that there is a direct causal link between higher numbers of police and lower crime.

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PostAug 24, 2013#2835

Inno, I agree it's a multi faceted issue. Many variables contributed to the reduction in crime which include broken windows, Roe v Wade, decreased racial tension, improved economic conditions, better social services, technology, etc.

However in order for compustat and broken windows to work you need the manpower which comes first. Now just increasing a police force itself won't work. You also need a strategy that works, resident participation, and a good relationship between police and residents.

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PostAug 24, 2013#2836

downtown2007 wrote:Inno, I agree it's a multi faceted issue. Many variables contributed to the reduction in crime which include broken windows, Roe v Wade, decreased racial tension, improved economic conditions, better social services, technology, etc.

However in order for compustat and broken windows to work you need the manpower which comes first. Now just increasing a police force itself won't work. You also need a strategy that works, resident participation, and a good relationship between police and residents.
I agree with you for the most part and am just stating that at a certain level of police presence, there are diminishing returns in adding more. The thing is, we already have enough staff to run programs like CompuStat. In fact, we have had a professional criminologist from UMSL working hand in hand with the chief on similar programs. The point is, at one of the highest levels of police per capita we should be at or near the saturation point and adding more police is highly inefficient and costly.

If reducing crime is a priority in St. Louis, it's my firm belief that adding more police is not the answer. Improvement is most needed where job availability, general conditions, and hope for its residents are lowest. More should be done to decrease the socio-economic disparity in depressed areas which naturally result in gangs and higher levels of crime. Not to mention, this would greatly improve performance in the schools.

Issues with crime and schools are two of the biggest issues we have, right?

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PostAug 24, 2013#2837

Yes but I think crime should be more of a focus than schools. Safer communities will draw more investment and attract more residents thus eventually improving schools.

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PostAug 25, 2013#2838

StL2003 wrote:Often times, nothing ends up being stolen at all. They often break into cars looking for guns. I had my car broken into a couple years ago and nothing was taken. The only thing of value in the car was my iPod (which I had in the glove box), and I found it sitting in the passenger seat, scattered along with other worthless items from my console. I asked the cop who responded why they would just scatter my things and not even take the iPod, and he said usually when items are scattered they're looking for guns.
That's the thing bothers me when some folks (including some on this board) dismiss those who've had their cars clouted by saying "well, you shouldn't leave valuables in plain sight." My car has been broken into three times (once parked on the street in front of my house, twice in public, seemingly well-lit & populated parking lots.) Twice, nothing was taken; once, a pair of cheap sunglasses was stolen (or - I may have just lost those and thought they were in the car!) It's crazy expensive to fix my car after it's been broken into, and infuriating when people assume it's "my own fault" because I left valuable stuff on the seat.

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PostAug 25, 2013#2839

How foot patrols keep tough neighbourhoods safer. Interesting old fashioned approach.

http://www.economist.com/news/united-st ... ots-street

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PostSep 06, 2013#2840

This story caught my eye because it said this bank robber lived at 1300 Locust. Guy was living at the NLEC and walked down to rob a bank sounds like:

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/crim ... 363e6.html

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PostSep 07, 2013#2841

I noticed that too. Technically, though, the 1300 block is Lucas Park, which is next to NLEC.

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PostSep 09, 2013#2842

Rough weekend:
http://blogs.riverfronttimes.com/dailyr ... micide.php

Hopefully things will calm down a bit when cooler weather comes in. It also looks like there is the potential for the year-end homicide number to fall below 100.... the current number is 72.

PostSep 09, 2013#2843

Crazy how every time Dooley so much as sneezes there's media coverage on it while this City Parks corruption has hardly made the news.

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt ... f52e8.html

But it appears there may be more to come.

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PostSep 09, 2013#2844

German and Italian park employees don't commit crimes! There is no news to see here!

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PostSep 10, 2013#2845

A decade ago, the mayor of Bogota--facing a crisis of aggressive driving by well-heeled drivers who found it easy to pay a fine and continue unchanged--took a drastic step.

He hired 420 clowns.

The mayor deployed them to key intersections, some clowns with big red noses, giant shoes, long pointy fingers and naughty driver signs, others in face paint, tall hats and "incorrecto" signs. The clowns would publicly mock bad drivers, pointing and wagging fingers.

Within weeks, the city's streets were safer. Successful Columbians were not afraid of fines. But they were terrified of public shame.

I wonder what constructive strategies might help in the honor- and shame-based culture of St. Louis youth? Fear of courtrooms and incarceration by itself isn't working as well as we'd like.

I doubt a busload of droopy-drawered clowns would transform our neighborhoods. Any ideas?

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PostSep 10, 2013#2846

Probably not youth but it may work for the Johns.

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PostSep 17, 2013#2847

http://www.bnd.com/2013/09/16/2801858/b ... using.html

Interesting article about criminal background checks and rental restrictions ordinance in Belleville. Could the city benefit from having a similar ordinance?

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PostSep 17, 2013#2848

Okay, this unfortunate incident has to go down in the annals of "crazier than fiction" incidents coming from meth-ravaged rural America:

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/crim ... 1ccc3.html

One sample paragraph:
"She said that on the day of the shooting, she and Ealey had used methamphetamine after attending church – she injected the drug into herself, and she helped Ealey smoke it through the hole in his neck, she said."

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PostSep 19, 2013#2849


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PostSep 19, 2013#2850

^ what caught my eye about that story on combining City and County Police Department stats is that if the FBI doesn't go for it because they are not actually combined forces, the chiefs may ask for a compromise if the departments cross-deputize officers. Sounds like they are pretty serious about this.

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