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PostApr 05, 2022#8651

https://www.propublica.org/article/st-louis-murder-total-has-fallen-but-some-killings-went-uncounted. 

Disappointing but not surprising; some portion of the statistical decline in homicides is due to revised data reporting practices that reclassify some killings as "justifiable," due in part to MO's ridiculous stand-your-ground laws.

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PostApr 05, 2022#8652

SB in BH wrote:
Apr 05, 2022
https://www.propublica.org/article/st-louis-murder-total-has-fallen-but-some-killings-went-uncounted. 

Disappointing but not surprising; some portion of the statistical decline in homicides is due to revised data reporting practices that reclassify some killings as "justifiable," due in part to MO's ridiculous stand-your-ground laws.
No evidence of it in 2022. I posted this last week

First 3 months of 2022 homicide report

2022: 35
2021: 43
-20%
2022 has 1 "justifiable" homicide year to date not counted in the 35 total
at this point in 2021 there was 5 justifiable homicides not counted in the 43 total.

If counted its
2022- 36
2021- 48
-25%

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PostApr 05, 2022#8653

regarding the conversation on the previous page, i really don't understand how "eliminate all human suffering and conflict" is a more achievable gun-death-reducing strategy than "make guns really hard to obtain". every society on the planet that has achieved low gun death rates has done the latter, not the former.

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PostApr 05, 2022#8654

Trololzilla wrote:
Apr 05, 2022
Bump stocks are kind of a nothingburger; don't know why there's such a fixation with them. You can literally use a rubber band to bump-fire a rifle, or buy and install a binary trigger for faster ROF. But again, automatic fire is more or less useless - its only practical use is for suppressive fire. Even German MG42 gunners, despite the gun being able to fire up to 1800 RPM, were trained specifically to only fire 3-7 round bursts. Barrel heating issues aside, automatic weapons/fire is mainly just to minimize the volume of return fire by suppressing the enemy. Most of the killing in a firefight is done by semi-automatic or bolt-action weapons. Might be fun to fire off stuff that fast once or twice during range time, but it's wholly impractical (and very expensive) to do so more than that.

As to large capacity magazines: really just there for range time to minimize the time needed to load magazines or to decrease the number of pre-loaded magazines you bring with you. You don't want to spend valuable range time loading mags, and magazines aren't always very cheap so if you can get away with buying less of them, the better. Plus, it's not fun to load magazines, even with an autoloader or speedloader, which is why things like drums exist - they're big, bulky, and very unwieldy, which is why you wouldn't really use large capacity mags outside of a controlled setting like a shooting range unless you're an idiot. 
Okay, I think we can have a real conversation, so long as we both accept that we're probably making some false assumptions and that gun violence is a real problem in need of solving. If not . . . well, there's no point. But if we can both accept that much then let's try this.

Bump stocks may well be less of a big deal than I'm guessing. My understanding of them is pretty much limited to what I've read in the mass media. None of my farmer friend's friends had one. But I think your other comments drive at the divide in the conversation. You're talking about guns from the point of view of someone who knows how to use them properly in a military setting, but nobody is worried about that. The military handles that. And there are specific tactical reasons that praying and spraying isn't such a useful tactic in a military setting:  trained militaries changed after fully automatic weapons became prevalent in WWI. The better grade of general officers quit ordering their units to charge across battlefields in the open in large compact masses. But civilians still bunch up like the Boston Marathon at events like . . . oh . . . the Boston Marathon. Most of us haven't really practiced the fine art of moving in ways that make us harder targets. (And it is an art.) So that higher RoF that isn't so useful on the battlefield might still be a problem on the street. And a thing that makes it possible should probably be regulated. (Even if that thing is a drum magazine or a light trigger more than it is a rubber band or a special stock.)

A lot of your comments feel to me like a reaction against inconvenience. High capacity magazines are convenient for people using guns sensibly in sensible settings, so gun owners like them. But regulations aren't here because of sensible people behaving sensibly. They're here to stop idiots and a**holes from inconveniencing or harming everyone else. So this kind of becomes a question of who pays the price for the idiot gun owners: sensible gun owners, or everyone? I honestly think there is only one good answer to that. It's a close parallel to the drivers vs. pedestrians problem. Right now we inconvenience everyone so that car owners can car conveniently. The car-free are beginning to suggest this wasn't a good idea. A lot of the call for gun regulation comes from non gun-owners getting deeply sick of the personal indignities we must all increasingly suffer. Like airport security at sporting events, for instance. Or the crap students have to go through. And it's really hard to weed the emotion out to get to what will be an effective solution and what is just going to be theatre.

So I guess the question is what compromise is possible that allows a safer and more open society without the need for metal detectors at schools and stadiums, but still gives gun owners at least basic access to their hobbies? There's always going to be some risk, so how do we deal with it? How much can we accept? If we want an open sort of pre-90s society back how much do we need to reduce civilian firepower? Can we just let people walk into a building unmolested in a world where civilian guns are all long and have a maximum capacity of a half a dozen rounds? Would a dozen rounds be acceptable so long as you can't fire particularly fast? Maybe there's some false assumptions going on here, but I think gun owners could stand to accept the fact that the current situation inconveniences and potentially endangers non-gun owners quite a lot and this leads to a certain amount of animosity. I'm pretty sure we're all making false assumptions, but it's a mighty big ask for everyone to shoulder the consequences for what is, in the end, not something most people are all that interested in. Does that make any sense?

kipfilet wrote:SP: I apologize if I came across as trying to say you were insinuating something. That was not my intent, and I fully agree with what you wrote. I misinterpreted your initial post (to which I was replying) as trying to justify the absence of gun regulation, which at the end of the day is the one thing that would have the largest impact in preventing most of the incidents that are discussed on this thread.
No worries at all. And thank you. I hope I didn't come across as too snappy in my response. It's certainly worthwhile getting a more complete and accurate rundown on just what those UK gun regs are. We're never going to go full Japan, but a bit of Euro would do us good. I'm just at a loss on how to sell it.

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PostApr 06, 2022#8655

More policing lying. Can’t wait to hear Dueker’s spin

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PostApr 06, 2022#8656

symphonicpoet wrote:
Apr 05, 2022
And a thing that makes it possible should probably be regulated. (Even if that thing is a drum magazine or a light trigger more than it is a rubber band or a special stock.)
They already are or have been. Shoestrings were considered machine guns by the ATF at one point, as ridiculous as that sounds. But there is literally no way to enforce that, just like there's no way to regulate(?) rubber bands, unless you have them in possession while also carrying a firearm. That said, if you're carrying the two with the intent to use them together, chances are that you're not going to be alive to be charged with anything when all's said and done.


A lot of your comments feel to me like a reaction against inconvenience. High capacity magazines are convenient for people using guns sensibly in sensible settings, so gun owners like them. But regulations aren't here because of sensible people behaving sensibly. They're here to stop idiots and a**holes from inconveniencing or harming everyone else. So this kind of becomes a question of who pays the price for the idiot gun owners: sensible gun owners, or everyone? I honestly think there is only one good answer to that. It's a close parallel to the drivers vs. pedestrians problem. Right now we inconvenience everyone so that car owners can car conveniently. The car-free are beginning to suggest this wasn't a good idea. A lot of the call for gun regulation comes from non gun-owners getting deeply sick of the personal indignities we must all increasingly suffer. Like airport security at sporting events, for instance. Or the crap students have to go through. And it's really hard to weed the emotion out to get to what will be an effective solution and what is just going to be theatre.
Just as much as high capacity magazines are a convenience for 'sensible' gun owners, they're as much an inconvenience for anyone attempting to use them outside of a range for the reasons I laid out in my previous post. As far as I know, most mass shootings don't use high-capacity magazines, just magazines that would be considered pretty normal sized for that weapon (such as a 20/30 round magazine for an AR-15 type rifle) - further, most shootings in this country likely happen with the amount of bullets in a single magazine of say a handgun or fewer. The onus of misuse of a gun is more on the person who does so than the weapon, as they bear the responsibility, and better mental care, victim protection programs, and preventing individuals who shouldn't handle firearms in the first place from having them would go a lot further than any restriction on weapons or their accessories and should be the focus, in my opinion.

Unfortunately, most of what passes as 'security' these days *is* just theatre - it provides the illusion of safety without the tangible benefits, and I'm not sure if you could ever get tangible benefits from increased regulations without also (or only) tackling the actual roots of the problem.

So I guess the question is what compromise is possible that allows a safer and more open society without the need for metal detectors at schools and stadiums, but still gives gun owners at least basic access to their hobbies? There's always going to be some risk, so how do we deal with it? How much can we accept? If we want an open sort of pre-90s society back how much do we need to reduce civilian firepower? Can we just let people walk into a building unmolested in a world where civilian guns are all long and have a maximum capacity of a half a dozen rounds? Would a dozen rounds be acceptable so long as you can't fire particularly fast? Maybe there's some false assumptions going on here, but I think gun owners could stand to accept the fact that the current situation inconveniences and potentially endangers non-gun owners quite a lot and this leads to a certain amount of animosity. I'm pretty sure we're all making false assumptions, but it's a mighty big ask for everyone to shoulder the consequences for what is, in the end, not something most people are all that interested in. Does that make any sense?
A big part of the argument also comes in the form of "If the police/government can have all these weapons, then why can't we have the same/similar in order to prevent oppression?" We've already seen innumerable times in this country where the police simply cannot be trusted - I would not want to let American police be the only ones with access to firepower. Now, it can be argued that the police should simply have their equipment allowances curtailed severely (and they should!), but that just isn't going to happen in America. Once those in power have the means to enforce their will, they are loathe to relinquish it, so we circle back to the age-old "Under no pretext should arms and ammunition be surrendered; any attempt to disarm the workers must be frustrated, by force if necessary" playbook.

Please bear in mind that none of what I've said so far is meant to come off as a personal attack towards you or your own (very) valid opinions, so please don't take anything I've said so far like that - I just firmly believe that the issues surrounding guns/gun culture/gun regulations in this country are just a very complex, messy, grey area rather than a black and white one, so that's where my stance emanates from.

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PostApr 06, 2022#8657

urban_dilettante wrote:
Apr 05, 2022
regarding the conversation on the previous page, i really don't understand how "eliminate all human suffering and conflict" is a more achievable gun-death-reducing strategy than "make guns really hard to obtain". every society on the planet that has achieved low gun death rates has done the latter, not the former.
I don't think anyone is arguing that solving all the world's other problems is easier than solving gun violence in America, at least not from a policy perspective. But as you can see from the very thoughtful exchange between T'Zilla and SP, solving gun violence, or even just effectively regulating guns, is very complicated as a matter of public policy/administration. And that's to say nothing of the political and cultural dynamics, which was my central point and that T'Zilla ably describes re: distrust of the state (which in my opinion is wholly warranted). 

Unfortunately, "guns" as an issue has been completely subsumed into the culture war and is now on par with Abortion as a single polarizing issue that motivates engagement in politics, to the exclusion of everything else, for a sizable chunk of the voting public. My point was that, so long as that's the case, we're not getting anywhere in MO or DC with regulating guns even if honest actors like TZ and SP could develop the perfect set of enforceable rules; they will never be enacted by the relevant political bodies. The only way, politically, to address guns and gun violence is to deal with the ancillary factors, like poverty, drug addiction, etc., that haven't (yet) been politically neutered by culture war grievance as deployed by the two legacy political parties.

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PostApr 06, 2022#8658

My only disagreement is that addressing people's material conditions is even more off-the-table than gun control. The Republicans might oppose gun control but both parties will fight tooth-and-nail against any efforts to materially reduce poverty or acknowledge a government responsibility toward public health.

Ironically your best bet is probably to arm the poor, which would immediately spur legislative interest in gun control (a la Reagan's California).

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PostApr 06, 2022#8659

Another Grove or Grove adjacent murder. This one almost certainly domestic/murder suicide attempt

https://www.kmov.com/2022/04/06/man-dea ... east-home/

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PostApr 06, 2022#8660

MarkHaversham wrote:
Apr 06, 2022
My only disagreement is that addressing people's material conditions is even more off-the-table than gun control. The Republicans might oppose gun control but both parties will fight tooth-and-nail against any efforts to materially reduce poverty or acknowledge a government responsibility toward public health.

Ironically your best bet is probably to arm the poor, which would immediately spur legislative interest in gun control (a la Reagan's California).
Totally agree on both accounts, but do believe (perhaps naively) that the peasants might still coalesce around material condition issues to challenge their two-party overlords and force results, whereas a cross-party alliance on guns specifically will never ever happen because its been swallowed by the culture war.
On your second point, there is no faster way to get yourself merc'd by the CIA than to arm the poor (or merely organize them on a class basis for non-violent action). See the Black Panthers and/or (speculating) assorted assassinated Civil Rights figures for examples. 

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PostApr 06, 2022#8661

Video: Man booby-trapped his truck with a flash-bang grenade and… it worked https://youtu.be/pQqb2k717Sg

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PostApr 06, 2022#8662

worked?  i mean yes it went off it thats what you mean by worked but it didnt prevent someone breaking his window nor the mess the flash bang grenade left inside the car.  

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PostApr 06, 2022#8663

MarkHaversham wrote:
Apr 06, 2022
My only disagreement is that addressing people's material conditions is even more off-the-table than gun control. The Republicans might oppose gun control but both parties will fight tooth-and-nail against any efforts to materially reduce poverty or acknowledge a government responsibility toward public health.

Ironically your best bet is probably to arm the poor, which would immediately spur legislative interest in gun control (a la Reagan's California).
exactly. this is my point. (well, not that last bit). trying to reduce gun death by eliminating the conditions that drive people to gun violence is, if anything, less attainable than simply making guns really difficult for people to obtain. of course, gun laws aren't going to do sh*t as long as the US is flooded with guns. the answer is: implement programs to obtain existing guns and destroy them, and regulate the sh*t out of new gun production and sales. yeah yeah I know people will make DIY guns and some will attain guns illegally. for a while at least. there would still be FAR FAR fewer guns in circulation.

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PostApr 06, 2022#8664

In the future, aren't kids going to just 3D print their weapons? 

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PostApr 07, 2022#8665

^ Not really. 3D printed guns just aren't very good at the moment - often only lasting a few shots at best. It will take some time (if at all) for 3D printing to become a truly viable method to produce a gun.

the answer is: implement programs to obtain existing guns and destroy them, and regulate the sh*t out of new gun production and sales.
That's not gonna go over well with pretty much any gun owner - brings the fear of "Obama gonna take muh guns!" right back to the forefront. Buyback programs are also only so effective, and you can't mandate them, nor do I believe there's much you could do it the way of promoting them and their potential benefits that would sway those that haven't already been so persuaded. 

In any case, reducing the amount of guns in circulation in America would be a rough time for the good ol' Alphabet Boys.

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PostApr 07, 2022#8666

^ sure. there are major hurdles. just saying that i don't think those hurdles are as insurmountable as eliminating all social injustice and inter-human conflict. and that's definitely not to say that we shouldn't continue trying to eliminate injustice and conflict.

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PostApr 07, 2022#8667

There's no political solution, period. Investing your time in mutual aid and support groups will do more for community crime than any amount of gun control theory-crafting. Directly helping people won't be an immediate silver bullet regional solution, but it will actually work, one individual at a time.

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PostApr 07, 2022#8668

MarkHaversham wrote:
Apr 07, 2022
There's no political solution, period. Investing your time in mutual aid and support groups will do more for community crime than any amount of gun control theory-crafting. Directly helping people won't be an immediate silver bullet regional solution, but it will actually work, one individual at a time.
^Bingo. Gun control as a political issue is dead. Its been eaten by the culture war.  It is now just another distraction to keep the rubes fighting each other while the ruling class loots.

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PostApr 07, 2022#8669

^ du jour political ideologies change faster than the human condition. the US is a world outlier in terms of gun violence. the rest of the world has politics too.

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PostApr 07, 2022#8670

Nowhere else in the world is gun ownership treated as a fundamental human right that trumps many other more commonly accepted human rights.

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PostApr 07, 2022#8671

MarkHaversham wrote:
dbInSouthCity wrote:
Apr 05, 2022
This is unbelievable but at the same time believable.  That whole incident where a guy tried to car jacket police officers in their marked car few week ago?    Made up by police

https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/cri ... 86c81.html
The only unbelievable thing is that people still believe the police.
Unsure how this video discredits the carjacking claim? The video is far away and positioned poorly to determine what really happened. Plus no audio.

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PostApr 07, 2022#8672

downtown2007 wrote:
Apr 07, 2022
MarkHaversham wrote:
dbInSouthCity wrote:
Apr 05, 2022
This is unbelievable but at the same time believable.  That whole incident where a guy tried to car jacket police officers in their marked car few week ago?    Made up by police

https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/cri ... 86c81.html
The only unbelievable thing is that people still believe the police.
Unsure how this video discredits the carjacking claim? The video is far away and positioned poorly to determine what really happened. Plus no audio.
Nobody ran towards the police car with gun pointing. The guy was clearly just trying to walk across the street. If he pulled out a gun, raised and pointed, put it away in 1.2 seconds he was behind the car then he is the fastest draw since all the western movies.

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PostApr 08, 2022#8673

The folks on Donnybrook tonight pointed out that the video released by the CA was highly edited. 

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PostApr 08, 2022#8674

urban_dilettante wrote:
Apr 07, 2022
^ du jour political ideologies change faster than the human condition. the US is a world outlier in terms of gun violence. the rest of the world has politics too.
This isn't actually true. We're number nine worldwide in terms of firearm violence. Which is horrible, but nothing of an outlier. We're only an outlier for "rich" countries. FirveThirtyEight.com did a nice piece discussing the problem. The risk of firearms deaths for white people is about on par with wealthy countries. For African Americans it's about on par with a poor country in the middle of a civil war. Ultimately, we're not really a developed country anymore. Let's call the United States the "redeveloping world."

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PostApr 08, 2022#8675

downtown2007 wrote:
Apr 07, 2022
Unsure how this video discredits the carjacking claim? The video is far away and positioned poorly to determine what really happened. Plus no audio.
All the Chief has to do is release his officer's bodycam footage, then. Why the holdup?

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