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Metro needs extra $1.2billion just to maintain the current

Metro needs extra $1.2billion just to maintain the current

9,674
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PostMay 04, 2015#1

From the EWG Online chat today about the new Long Range Plan...Metro is projecting to be $1.2 billion short on maintaining the current system during the length of the new LRP....so that to me is pretty much the nail in the coffin for any light rail expansion...
Feds wont approve fed funds for expansion if you cant show that you can maintain what you have



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PostMay 04, 2015#2

^ Yes, hard to predict that far into the future, but it looks like most of the nations transportation infrastructure (much less transit) is woefully underfunded and is approaching a fiscal cliff that doesn't look too good for maintenance or expansion. I imagine major light rail expansions around the country will likely not be moving forward unless the feds step in sooner or later and start helping with operations (like they used to). I doubt that we will ever get any help from the state funding transit unless some federal laws are changed that force states to allocated a certain amount for transit or give MPOs more autonomy in regards to transportation funding/planning.

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PostMay 04, 2015#3

Nov 2016 will be a big for future of transit...its the GOP takes the WH, dont expect much federal help .

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PostMay 04, 2015#4

^ I think CMT-STL has a funding study that will be released soon, it will be interesting to see what strategies they will come up with. I wonder if something like a N-S line could be built if the citizens along the line decided to tax themselves for the benefit. I read somewhere that some cities have even used TIF to help fund transit. I'm sure there are some creative ways this could get done, its just a matter of leadership, vision, and determination. Unfortunately, three things missing in most high public offices in this area.

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PostMay 04, 2015#5

From the EWG Online chat today about the new Long Range Plan...Metro is projecting to be $1.2 billion short on maintaining the current system during the length of the new LRP....so that to me is pretty much the nail in the coffin for any light rail expansion...
Feds wont approve fed funds for expansion if you cant show that you can maintain what you have
Maybe I am naive but 1.2 billion shortfall over 30 years (2016-2045) doesn't really seem like all that much. Not peanuts but hardly insurmountable. Especially when one considers the time value of money. Apparently that is approximately the cost of 1 football stadium in present day dollars.

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PostMay 04, 2015#6

^ yearly its 14% of metros overall budget....so its not pennies.

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PostMay 04, 2015#7

^We agree its not pennies, but the article as presented is a "chicken little" way of defining the issue. If one didn't carefully look at the chart they might think metro was 1.2 B in the hole NEXT year. A more informative way of stating is as you did in your last comment. An alternative headline might have been...

"Metro Long Range Plan Analysis Projects 14% Shortfall in Operating Budgets with Current Funding Levels"

The chart should have been represented as two lines one projects costs over 30 years and a second with projected revenues. The progression would show the divergence over time.

Far less exciting, and far more informative.

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PostMay 04, 2015#8

^ I agree, it seems like they are presenting the model from a rather defeatist point of view. At are current levels of funding we will have a $1.2B budget deficit over 30 years, so we will not expand or improve are transit system over the next 30 years....next page....we plan to spend billions on highway expansions in cornfields even though are region is not really expected to grow that much. Reading documents like this really make me feel pessimistic about the transportation/land use future of our region. It just doesn't seem like enough of our region is moving in the right direction, comparing our "future" plans to other cities is really quite embarrassing. I also don't understand how St. Louis funds metro at the local level at a one of the highest rates in the country, yet other cities are building like crazy. Conservative cities in states like Texas, North Carolina, Virginia, EVEN UTAH are seeing significant transit investment, why is Missouri so far behind in this regard?

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PostMay 05, 2015#9

I know that MoDOT has balked that EWG including any expansion projects in the time frames, they don't have the $ for it. Look at the EWG post dispatch chat from today, the question from Wesley is from MoDOTs planning manager.

http://news.live.stltoday.com/Event/Giv ... Theme=4123

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PostMay 05, 2015#10

^ seems like most of the questions were directly related to transit expansion (specifically Metrolink). I just find it sad that other cities can find the money, yet we have been consistently approving transit taxes locally and have some of the highest local transit taxes in the country, yet we cant find a way?

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PostMay 05, 2015#11

I encourge you all to show up between 4:30-6:30 PM tonight for the EWG Long Range Plan public comment forum...Metro, MoDOT, and EWG staff will be there to answer questions....

its at the Maryland Heights Community Center.

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PostMay 05, 2015#12

^ I believe the two public meetings planned for this are out in Maryland Hts. and Collinsville. Very accessible places for transit users!

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PostMay 05, 2015#13

goat314 wrote:^ seems like most of the questions were directly related to transit expansion (specifically Metrolink). I just find it sad that other cities can find the money, yet we have been consistently approving transit taxes locally and have some of the highest local transit taxes in the country, yet we cant find a way?
How much dose metro spend on pensions? I wonder if that uses up a lot of there funds.

The city Needs to find a way to expand metro-link on its own. With out help from stl county. Will never see the county make a huge push for it in out life times due to the political climate there. The city should probably work to build a N/S street car system instead. STL city needs to make stands on its own and quite waiting for things to just happen.
Also I think the reason I our region keeps building highways is a lot of the voters want them to make it easer to white flight.

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PostMay 05, 2015#14

roger wyoming II wrote:^ I believe the two public meetings planned for this are out in Maryland Hts. and Collinsville. Very accessible places for transit users!
EWG represents the entire region from Jefferson County to Madison to St.Charles...they tend to hold these in the middle of their region.
than im sure the space availability is also factor and if its free or not.




Get on Metrolink downtown at 3pm get off at Rock Road Station, transfer to bus 33 to AMELING RD @ MCKELVEY RD get off the bus and walk .02 of a mile to the community center and you will be there at 4:15 with 15 min to spare...

or get on the metrolink central west end at 3:30 and repeat the same steps and be there at 4:25

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PostMay 05, 2015#15

goat314 wrote:^ I agree, it seems like they are presenting the model from a rather defeatist point of view. At are current levels of funding we will have a $1.2B budget deficit over 30 years, so we will not expand or improve are transit system over the next 30 years....next page....we plan to spend billions on highway expansions in cornfields even though are region is not really expected to grow that much. Reading documents like this really make me feel pessimistic about the transportation/land use future of our region. It just doesn't seem like enough of our region is moving in the right direction, comparing our "future" plans to other cities is really quite embarrassing. I also don't understand how St. Louis funds metro at the local level at a one of the highest rates in the country, yet other cities are building like crazy. Conservative cities in states like Texas, North Carolina, Virginia, EVEN UTAH are seeing significant transit investment, why is Missouri so far behind in this regard?
It helps if your cities are growing.

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PostMay 05, 2015#16

I do wonder at times if the state legislators really want the cities to grow. Since that would be in the long term be detrimental to their political power since all of those states mentioned with the possible exception of Utah (which is an outlier for things) will be more politically liberal than Missouri in the near future if not already. Attracting urban development and growth in population (especially of outsiders, doubly so for non-whites and immigrants) would erode at their power base long-term. It seems they want to make it more like Mississippi instead of Texas, North Carolina, or Georgia for that reason. Might be cynical but there is a connection between political views and urban development.

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PostMay 05, 2015#17

imperialmog wrote: Might be cynical but there is a connection between political views and urban development.
I don't think that's cynical at all. The reality of politics is that no one wants to face the hard truth For the small government folks the truth is the urban areas are subsidizing the rural/suburban areas; and for the more liberal folks the truth is that big government only works for big businesses.

So when you say that the Rural/Suburban Missouri dominated legislature (read: Republican) doesn't wish to see the Urban Areas succeed, I think you're spot on. More power to the cities could end up killing the rural gravy train and the corporate partners who depend on the infrastructure subsidies. I mean, what is State Government to urban areas? To me its an unnecessary broker between powerful city governments and the Federal Government. Maybe that Kansas governor is on to something.

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PostMay 05, 2015#18

not sure if you guys are correct on the House side of things...urban areas (those with 50,000+ population) have nearly 3.9 million of the 6 million people in the state...so the urban areas have more reps in the House then rural.

Columbia Area Transportation Study Organization, Columbia Missouri 150K
East-West Gateway Coordinating Council, St Louis Missouri 2M
Joplin Area Transportation Study Organization, Joplin Missouri 60K
Mid-America Regional Council, Kansas City Missouri 1M
Springfield Area Transportation Study Organization, Springfield Missouri 500K
St Joseph Area Transportation Study Organization, St Joseph Missouri 80K
Capital Area Metropolitan Planning Organization, Jefferson City Missouri 55K
Southeast Metropolitan Planning Organization, Cape Girardeau Missouri 55K

Take out the SEMO, Jeff City, St.Joe, Joplin and the 4 major ones are still at about 3.65Million out of 6.

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PostMay 05, 2015#19

there is a correlation between population density and political leaning too. metro areas aren't a good indicator since many are of lower suburban density or even rural areas in them. Also don't forget gerrymandering too.

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PostMay 05, 2015#20

^ those areas may be technically "urban", but that doesn't mean they think urban. I would say people actually concerned with "urban" issues in Missouri make up about 10% of the the totally population of the state. The fact that we cant even get Kansas City to work with us on major issues that would benefit both areas is CRAZY.

With that said, I agree that a thriving urban area would kill some of these loony outstate politics. An extra million or so urban Missourians would be the death kneel for far right wing politics in MO and would probably put the state firmly in the blue column especially if the influx is diverse and happens in St. Louis. Missouri at this point doesnt even function as a moderate state, it has stepped over into looneyville and its part of the tea party agenda.

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PostMay 05, 2015#21

Have you seen the federal government lately? Looneyville tea party agenda is what passes for moderate in the US nowadays.

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PostMay 05, 2015#22

I think the best shot for getting transit funding from the state is having the corporate community both support it by setting up shop along it and pushing for it. I think you see this a bit in Georgia with the success of MARTA in developing TOD and major companies citing it as a reason for the choice of relocation.... that appears to be starting to get some gains in the Georgia statehouse. The more success with KC Streetcar and Metrolink TOD the better.

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PostMay 05, 2015#23

^THIS

If corporate interest in St. Louis valued transit they would be bending over backwards to locate next to CURRENT metrolink stops. The value of that land should drive property values up. They would build densely to offset the cost of land acquisition. The would press their political allies to support more expansion to open up more potential develop-able parcels.

As it is metro bends over backwards to deliver transit to major employers who turn around and relocate to or expand in places like Chesterfield, and meanwhile half the current metro-link stations are surrounded by fallow land.

Its the same for people but they are also more driven by other factors. Crime and schools. Corporate interest are far less sensitive to those factors.