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Driving Topped 262 Billion Miles In March, New Data Show

Driving Topped 262 Billion Miles In March, New Data Show

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PostMay 20, 2015#1

http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/pressroom/fhwa1537.cfm

New estimates released today by the U.S. Department of Transportation’s (USDOT) Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) show that Americans drove 261.7 billion vehicle-miles-traveled (VMT) in March of this year, which is the most ever driven in March. Throughout the first quarter of the year, the nation drove 720.1 billion VMT – the highest for any year’s first quarter. The increase in travel on America’s roads underscores the need for greater investment in transportation infrastructure.

Earlier this year, the Obama Administration announced a plan to help build and maintain America’s roads with a $478 billion, six-year surface transportation reauthorization proposal, the GROW AMERICA Act. The plan would increase state funding levels to $317 billion; an increase of about 29 percent over current levels, and makes critical investments in infrastructure needed to promote long-term economic growth, enhance safety and efficiency, and support jobs for the 21st century.

The 720.1 billion VMT driven on U.S. roads in the first quarter of the year beats the previous record of 705.7 billion set in 2006, and doubles the 345.5 billion VMT of the first quarter of 1982.

The new data were released in FHWA’s latest “Traffic Volume Trends” report, a monthly estimate of U.S. road travel, which demonstrates an overall trend of an increase in traffic:

Over the first three months of 2015, U.S. driving increased over the same period in 2014 by 3.9 percent, or nearly 35 billion VMT.

Americans drove 3.9 percent more miles in March 2015, the highest percentage increase for any February since 2004, making it the nation’s 13th consecutive month of increased VMT growth.

The March 2015 report also includes seasonally-adjusted data from the USDOT’s Bureau of Transportation Statistics, which enable VMT comparisons with February and any other month in any other year. Analysis of seasonally-adjusted VMT is an alternative to analysis of unadjusted VMT, which traditionally uses comparisons of a month to the same month in previous years to determine trends.

The seasonally-adjusted vehicle miles traveled for March 2015 were 258.9 billion miles, a 3.4 percent increase – or 8.5 billion more VMT – compared to March 2014 and a 1.8 percent increase – or 4.7 billion more VMT – compared with February 2015. The estimates include passenger vehicle, bus and truck travel.

Traffic in the West, a bloc of 13 states including Alaska and Hawaii, climbed to 58.4 billion unadjusted VMT, a gain of 5.3 percent over the previous March and the 18th consecutive month of increased traffic for the region. The South Atlantic, a region of seven states and Washington, D.C., rose sharply by 5 percent over the previous March to 57 billion VMT.

At 9.5 percent, Montana led the nation with the largest unadjusted single-state traffic percent increase compared to the same month a year earlier, followed closely by South Dakota at 9.0 percent and Hawaii at 8.2 percent.

At 1.6 percent fewer VMT, Rhode Island roads saw 9 million unadjusted VMT less in March 2015 than the previous March, a decline of 1.6 percent. Only two other states, Connecticut and Massachusetts, showed declining travel in the same period.

The new figures reaffirm the trends identified in “Beyond Traffic,” a report issued earlier this year by the U.S. Department of Transportation, which projects a 43 percent increase in commercial truck shipments and population growth of 70 million by 2045. The report examines the trends and choices facing America’s transportation infrastructure over the next three decades, including a rapidly growing population, increasing freight volume, demographic shifts in rural and urban areas, and a transportation system that is facing more frequent extreme weather events. Increased gridlock nationwide can be expected unless changes are made in the near-term.

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PostMay 21, 2015#2

dbInSouthCity wrote: The increase in travel on America’s roads underscores the need for greater investment in transportation infrastructure.
"Americans do subsidized activity more with a dollar per gallon price drop in gasoline." I wish this induced demand self fulfilling prophecy to justify expansion would get applied to all forms of transit infrastructure (walking, bicycling, rail, etc) and not just driving.

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PostMay 21, 2015#3

Only because gas prices plummeted.

5,721
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PostMay 21, 2015#4

Two ENR stories of interest pertaining to the above including a link to USA editorial also posted on www.enr.com Same old same old out of DC but looks like Oregon might be the first state to wade into the pay per mile which is what is needed long term as I think it would resolve so many funding issues in terms of use on the roads, electric/hybrid vehicles and weight on the roads

House Passes Two-Month Transportation Extension

http://enr.construction.com/policy/wash ... ension.asp

Editorial: Congress Puts Flimsy Patches on Crumbling U.S. Roadways

http://enr.construction.com/yb/enr/arti ... ZacHHjKSWw**

Oregon To Test Pay-Per-Mile Idea as Replacement for Gas Tax

http://enr.construction.com/yb/enr/arti ... _QP1kOwkWA**

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PostJun 09, 2015#5

downtown2007 wrote:Only because gas prices plummeted.
dont think so...im sure it had a a small part but that doesnt explain why people are spending $20-30K on new cars.


Why Are Americans Buying So Many Cars?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102741512
A half-decade after plunging to its lowest levels in a half-century, the U.S. new car market is in the midst of a major boom. All told, U.S. buyers spent $52 billion for their new vehicles in May, as the price of the typical vehicle surged to $32,452, up 4 percent from May 2014, according to TrueCar.com.

May's sales numbers, if averaged out over the course of a full year, would come in at around 17.7 million, up roughly a million from 2014's total. And, in his annual "Car Wars" study, John Murphy, the senior auto analyst at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, predicted sales could reach 20 million by 2018.
"If anything, we might be a little on the low side," Murphy added during an appearance at the Detroit Automotive Press Association.
Ive said all along that the decline in the VMT from 2007 to 2014 was largely due to the economy and when the economy started to get back on its feet the VMT will go back up
and it will go WAY back up now that people who graduated from college from 2005-2010 are getting a better handle on student debt and can afford cars again.
I have never been for system expansion on the road network but i will never be against rebuilding what we have ie. I-270/70/44..its irresponsible not to.

989
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PostJun 09, 2015#6

^ Are the stats on this including truck travel or not? It seems to me a lot of the traffic issues are connected to truck traffic in both urban and rural areas.

Also on rebuilding and expansion, wouldn't it make sense if there is a need now or in the near future on expansion to do it when a road is being rebuilt? Since the marginal cost of adding an extra lane when a road is being rebuilt isn't as much as adding one at other times?

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PostJun 09, 2015#7

imperialmog wrote:^ Are the stats on this including truck travel or not? It seems to me a lot of the traffic issues are connected to truck traffic in both urban and rural areas.

Also on rebuilding and expansion, wouldn't it make sense if there is a need now or in the near future on expansion to do it when a road is being rebuilt? Since the marginal cost of adding an extra lane when a road is being rebuilt isn't as much as adding one at other times?
I think its stats for everything


If there is a need then of course do it, there are plenty of narrow bridges around metro stl that do not meet standards of today..so if you are rebuilding that bridge it should be up to the standard today or expended if traffic calls for it....i should clarify that as im very against projects like new Page Ave or projects like it ie South County Connector...

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PostJun 09, 2015#8

I think it makes sense that VMT would climb as more jobs are regained and in large part this is due to the job sprawl issue... I think we have two societal issues going on where there certainly is an increasing demand for walkability/transit/back-to-cities and continued sprawl and societal engineering that subsidizes those forces.

989
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989

PostJun 09, 2015#9

^ I think what you are getting at is there is a great divergence in lifestyles and many other things and this is an expression of it. Also there is a growing political and partisan aspect to this issue.

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3,447

PostJun 09, 2015#10

New opinion piece from the Denver Post on how this will start to change around 2020.

http://www.denverpost.com/perspective/c ... -our-lives

989
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989

PostJun 09, 2015#11

^interesting is noting how it could be used as a complement to mass transit solving the first mile/ last mile issues. What would be interesting is if you replaced cars with driverless cars while keeping vehicle count constant, how much will traffic be reduced?

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PostJun 09, 2015#12

imperialmog wrote:^interesting is noting how it could be used as a complement to mass transit solving the first mile/ last mile issues. What would be interesting is if you replaced cars with driverless cars while keeping vehicle count constant, how much will traffic be reduced?
That is an excellent question. Driverless cars as feeders to mass transit is intriguing, since they share many features -- cheap, safe comfortable smooth ride where you could do work on the way to your destination.