STLCardsBlues1989 wrote:Just responding to chatter on other forums. But I pose this question:
Should Illinois split into two different states? Southern Illinoisans gripe about their tax money being spent in Chicago and vise versa. Most of the population lives in Chicago. Southern Illinois has important agriculture.
So, would it be possible or wise to split Illinois?
1. Not possible (so the rest of this is just for fun).
2. What is the scope of the term "wise." Wise for Southern Illinois? Wise for Chicago? Wise for Illinois, generally? Wise for the U.S.? That matters in this situation.
I would argue that the closer Chicago becomes to a city-state, the better off they would be. Thus, getting rid of a large chunk of Illinois that is under-performing relative to them is probably helpful. The only caveat here would be that Chicago may lose some transportation business. Because of Lake Michigan, Illinois basically serves as a roadblock to the transportation infrastructure of the entire northern half of the U.S. Were a Southern Illinois to break off, railroads and the like could be lured south to get around Chicago.
Because of that, I think it would be a boon for Saint Louis. Saint Louis could become a direct competitor with Chicago on the transportation infrastructure part. Not to mention that Chicago would no longer mettle in the Metro East. As it stands now, Chicago controls 1/3 of the Saint Louis Metro Area's landmass. That is pretty helpful when it comes to keeping the competition down.
But, I would argue it would probably be a disaster for the Metro East in the short term. When the Chicago money is funneled into Southern Illinois for pet projects, they usually wind up in the Metro East and the Metro East benefits from its association with Illinois and Chicago. In the near term, there would be no source of dollars for those projects. In the long term, however, a state of Southern Illinois would have no choice but to invest heavily in expanding the Metro East substantially as it would be the largest population center and would have a large say in any Southern Illinois legislature.
I would argue it would be neutral for the rest of Southern Illinois. Most of Southern Illinois is already struggling, so it is hard to see how they wouldn't be up for trying something different. I would say Southern Illinois would suffer a decrease in the quality of infrastructure (roads and whatnot) but that Southern Illinois would see a net economic benefit from getting out from under Illinois' highly regulatory system which scares off some corporations. Southern Illinois would basically become Indiana, which has poorer infrastructure than Illinois, but more large factories in its rural areas, such as the assembly plant Honda is building in southern Indiana now. Other institutions in Southern Illinois would also gain prestige, such as SIU as it would become the state university and would probably be picked up by a BCS conference.
I would argue that it would be bad for central Illinois. North of Springfield, Chicago does really become the dominate city and people in those parts are less anti-Chicago than Southern Illinois is simply because they have more association with that city. I guess it would depend on where you drew the line, but some central Illinois folks would clearly be unhappy with being detached from Chicago. It would be a weird line too as people in Springfield would probably want to be in Southern Illinois and people in Decatur would probably want to be in northern Illinois.
I would argue it would be bad for the U.S. as a whole (and since that is really the only party that matters here because of Article IV, Section III that is really the only argument that matters) because it would set a bad precedent and other disenfranchised rural areas would want to break off from their dominate city, such as Upstate NY, Northern Michigan, Southern Georgia, Western Kentucky, Eastern Washington, etc. There are tensions between Southern Illinois and Chicago, but on a national scope they are really quite meaningless.
As a Southern Illinoisan, I would fully support an effort to ever break off Southern Illinois from the rest of Illinois. But, as a informed citizen, it is hard to see how it would provide enough benefit to any of the parties to warrant the effort.