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Ten Predictions for St. Louis in 2011

Ten Predictions for St. Louis in 2011

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PostDec 21, 2010#1

Time to pony up and tell the world, or at least this little corner of it, what you think we'll see in St. Louis this coming year. The urbanSTL blog post is here: http://bit.ly/eg1trl

What say you?

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PostDec 21, 2010#2

Predictions for Saint Louis in 2010

1. Saint Louis is named an aerial cargo hub by China in the first quarter; Mascoutah, IL will hub as well, second to Lambert for shipments to the US but leading in development of routes to South America. The effects from these hubs will be felt for decades

2. Development abounds near Lambert, both from the China Hub deal and continued expansion by Express Scripts & others into NorthPark. In other places like North Broadway (anticipating the New Mississippi River Bridge), former industrial areas continue to see new developments rising in their place (but I’m not holding much hope for Chrysler-Fenton just yet)

3. Small municipalities in StL County will start to go bankrupt, whether from lower tax revenues or a forecasted mass-failing in municipal bonds. This will be very bad. Serious conversations on intra-county consolidation will take place, especially as County Police must assume increased patrols when cities lose funds to run their departments. From here, City Reentry will be seen in a new light

4. People begin to warm to Paul McKee and NorthSide Redevelopment when they see actual progress completed, especially when it’s noted how there’s not much other progress underway, and absolutely nothing else at that scale

5. Pea Ridge receives federal assistance towards the establishment of a “rare earth element” mining industry, which will broadly supplant oil in attention as our “national shortage”. Wings Enterprises of StL County takes the lead with a major federal supplement grant

6. The DNC will announce their 2012 Convention is heading to Saint Louis

7. Kiel Auditorium will open on-time and under-budget. Best benefit: more concerts heading to town

8. The “Gephardt District” will be eliminated as part of Federal Redistricting (odds are 3-2 that it’ll deadlock and be settled in court)

9. SLU announces the future of the NE corner of Grand and Lindell, and I really don’t think it has long to be a “sculpture park for dogs”. I smell a considerable development underway…

10. Albert Pujols signs a major new contract and remains a Cardinal

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PostDec 22, 2010#3

1. St. Louis is given DNC 2012
2. St. Louis gets China Trade Hub
3. Paul McKee finally gets Northside off the ground.
4. EW Gateway officially announces future plans/timelines for BRT/LRT routes.
5. Delmar Loop Trolley begins construction.
6. EW Gateway begins work on regional sustainability/livable communities plan funded by federal grant.
7. Plans will be in place for the last of the big warehouses downtown.
8. St. Louis will not be named most dangerous city next year.
9. Final Arch plans will be released.
10. Stronger talks of regional cooperation and potential consolidation.

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PostDec 22, 2010#4

Good Topic Alex, St. Louis is going in the new year with some steam on several fronts. My top eight picks (Left off two that I'm on the fence about - Northside Development progress & DNC convention)

1) BPV will break ground. The surprise will be A twenty story tower with even less retail/entertainment mix. A good outcome in my my mind
2) Tax reform is coming. Downside is cap on Historic tax credit will be $90 to $100 million with single residential taken out. Plus side, Data centers can take advantage of credit leading to at least one expansion or outstate relocation to downtown
3) A Cupples warehouse will secure one of the few historic tax credits and be the only 2011 residential development for downtown; hate to dissappoint, but a lot of units are getting developed and market to soft for another new condo tower until Roberts sells off some units at POP
4)Chinese airlines will tentatively land some planes at Lambert & Southwest will add one or two jetways to unused gates at Terminal 2.
5)Metro will shelve Daniel Boone extension citing uncertainity of matching Federal Funding
6)However, Metro will initiatie and support the following citing existing grants - Grand BRT to coincide with new Grand Ave viaduct, Express Bus servcie using new buses using agreements with South & West county commercial strips for parking, and support for Loop Trolley along with a Forest Park Station TOD.
7) Loop Trolley breaks ground with at least one or two developments breaking ground in the loop/east Delmar
8) MoDOT announcement of land deals in city concerning new MRB, 22nd street land swap for Northside development and New I-64 will be catalyst for I-64/Hwy 40 improvements in the city.
9) Mills properties secures financing for Euclid project and Wash U supported housing project kicks off is FPSE
10) Two studies get pushed, City re-enter the county and Metro advocates that south county connector study to include improvement/metrolink alignment along River Des Peres Road. South county gets more traction.

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PostDec 22, 2010#5

1: Chinese cargo planes land at Lambert. But it's nothing "transformational," more like three flights a week.
2: McKee's Northside TIF continues to drag through court and/or the Board of Aldermen, but a few small projects within it, like the Clemens House, get started.
3: Historic tax credits get whacked by the Legislature, but no one notices, because there really aren't that many big buildings left to do anyway.
4: One sizeable (500+) new employer locates in the city of St. Louis. More importantly, startup incubators like Sprout and St. Louis Co-Working start to gain a foothold.
5: City voters overwhelmingly decide to keep the earnings tax, but businesses that support the e-tax campaign, along with Rex Sinquefield, use the issue as leverage to push for the creation of new revenue streams and steps towards re-entry with the county. In 2016, the vote will be much closer.
6: We get the 2012 DNC, and there is much rejoicing. Then we realize the downsides. Damn, it's expensive. And where will we park that week?
7: Kroenke and the CVC unveil plans for a new Rams stadium, but it's in Fenton, East St. Louis or Collinsville, not downtown. Which, in the long run, is fine.
8: By the end of baseball season, Ballpark Village gets started, but it's an unremarkable office building and a couple of crappy sports bars. Stifel moves up the street, and its building goes empty, creating another dead zone at the foot of Washington Ave.
9: Carnahan and Clay are pitted against each other in what could be a very ugly primary, but some third candidate, a progressive who can play on both sides of Delmar, emerges to beat both of them in 2012. OK, that one's maybe a longshot.
10: Albert Pujols signs with the Yankees.

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PostDec 22, 2010#6

wait, what's next for ubranstl?! exciting! :D

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PostDec 22, 2010#7

1. BPV will begin, but at a much-reduced scope. Its main feature will be a "pedestrian plaza" with benches. The developers' renderings will show children walking on the glossy pavement, carrying balloons.

2. The China trade hub will go to a surprising winner.

3. The Missouri economy will spur action to allow additional casinos, either by increasing the licenses or by granting "off-site" licenses so that, for example, Pinnacle could construct "Pinnacle Annex" on N. Riverview.

4. The bike shop and storage is a great success come the mild spring and summer.

5. Lure will open its newest location....in a St. Charles strip mall.

6. Fair St. Louis will host concerts with some big names including Travis Tritt, and the Beach Boys (with none of the original members).

7. Mayor Slay and Charlie Dooley will hold open houses explaining the options for merging the two entities. Flash mobs will show up to protest.

8. At least two municipalities in the metro area will be faced with debt default and will either merge or be unincorporated back into the county.

9. The smoking ban goes into effect without incident (though some lousy places close anyway and blame it on the ban).

10. STLPD will quietly switch to a new methodology of counting crime, such that any two crimes of the same nature that occur during the same calendar day will "count" only once. St. Louis will rack up 365 murders next year.

11. Most of these predictions will be wrong. (so I'm hedging my bets...)

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PostDec 22, 2010#8

We have to come up with 10? Ugh. I'm gonna do one.

Mr. Pujols signs for less than what he could command elsewhere and continues thrilling fans in St. Louis. And the amount he signs for lets everyone know why Cardinals ownership was/is so concerned about sinking one cent into BPV (though BPV not succeeding or not making money is very hard for me to see).

I hope the north St. Louis predictions come true for so many reasons. So much more can be achieved by our region with a revenue producing northside than a revenue draining one.

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PostDec 22, 2010#9

Nerfdude wrote:wait, what's next for ubranstl?! exciting! :D
I say UrbanSTL gets its own cable channel/show on KMOV.

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PostDec 22, 2010#10

I'll make one prediction:

A major (and I mean very major) Wall Street firm will announce and move its entire IT department somewhere in the STL area.

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PostDec 22, 2010#11

-BPV starts and Cards announce additional phases a done deal.
-City-County combo continues to gain steam. County folks open there minds to the idea.
-Arcade gets serious buyer and development plan finalized
-Arch grounds plan finalized, will include rehab of Chouteau's Landing & Powell Square
-China Hub deal done, flights start by spring
-Rams make playoffs with addition of free agents funded by Stan's big wallet
-AC St. Louis is purchased by a big money investor and MLS promotion and stadium rumors heat up
-Blues find top-notch investor, finally add some big talent to compliment their young stars
-Cards make the NLCS, only to lose to the stacked Phillies, Pujols signs with Cards.
-More microbreweries open in STL

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PostDec 22, 2010#12

Are you folks coming up with 'wish lists' or actual predictions...

Dogtown, if that list came true, I'd never move...the given of Cardinals baseball plus Blues winning big plus MLS plus consistently winning Rams plus visiting Chouteau's Landing plus a brand new Arcade building ALL IN ONE YEAR...lol...add in bringing the Chemical Bldg to life and what else would someone want in a nicely compact cityscape other than a not so cramped grocery store (which I love none the less)...lol

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PostDec 22, 2010#13

My list:
--City Walk on Euclid is officially declared dead
--a fine restaurant will finally open in the long-vacant Forest Park Apartments space
--the Roberts Tower will be 10% occupied
--Powell Square will remain a vacant shell
--restoration of the Metropolitan Building will resume
--the Jefferson Arms will remain vacant
--new plans for the Chemical Building will be announced but nothing will happen in 2011
--Restoration of the Arcade building will begin at the end of 2011
--a new retail building with apartments above will be proposed for the vacant lot in the East Loop
--STyLehouse will move to a larger storefront on the same block of Cherokee Street and will roll out lots of new designs and merch!!!

(There are so many things I could list, but these are the first ones that popped into my head.)

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PostDec 22, 2010#14

RobbyD wrote:Are you folks coming up with 'wish lists' or actual predictions...

Dogtown, if that list came true, I'd never move...the given of Cardinals baseball plus Blues winning big plus MLS plus consistently winning Rams plus visiting Chouteau's Landing plus a brand new Arcade building ALL IN ONE YEAR...lol...add in bringing the Chemical Bldg to life and what else would someone want in a nicely compact cityscape other than a not so cramped grocery store (which I love none the less)...lol
I'm optimistic and so are my predictions! :D

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PostDec 22, 2010#15

^^I think I turned my prediction list into a wish list. While some of that may come to fruition, it is more of a long term wish list. I agree, but my long term wish list would include a few more things. I REALLY want Downtown St. Louis to get a REAL skyscraper, to compliment the rest of the skyline. Just imagine if Downtown had MGW Tower, the original BPV, skyhouse, Bottle District, towers along Chouteau Lake and the aforementioned developments! That is a wish list, that at one time seemed closer to reality than fantasy. Imagine coming into STL from Illinois by car or on a plane seeing all of that, in addition to what we already have. That would be unreal!
Unfortunately, still a fantasy at this point in time.

Predications: (Realistic)

-Economy SLOWLY recovers, but still not fast enough
-Cards will sign Pujols
-BPV scaled down Phase 1 will get started
-AB will hire more college grads to replace the high paid vets they canned
-Arch ground plans will be revealed and many will be disappointed and many happy
-Midtown Alley will get steps closer to becoming one of many great entertainment districts in STL
-The Rams WILL make the playoffs next season and contend for the NFC crown
-Checketts will find an investor for the BLUES, no clue if the investor will allow an increased payroll
-AC St. Louis will fold :(
-STL will lose out to Charlotte for the DNC because their airport makes ours look like Mid-America, thanks to their US Airways hub
-China cargo flights start, but the full effects will not yet be felt

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PostDec 22, 2010#16

^kewl kewl...thats what I thought...

I used to be big on skyscrapers, especially going to school down in Athens, GA and headin to the ATL all the time...The skyline down there would change yearly...

But to be honest, I am much more for neighborhoods and streetscapes...I'd take a revamp of the entire downtown streetscape like Wash Ave., completion of the Gateway Mall, and some solid retail districts over a tower...

Tho those towers do symbolize the strength and vitality of a city...for sure...but I remember really liking St. Louis when I began to discover the many City neighborhoods...I especially like the area now that the downtown has really started coming to life...maybe towers will follow! =D I just know nothing will be taller than that mighty Arch...which is a good thing IMO...

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PostDec 22, 2010#17

Alright, here's two predictions.

-Pujols signs with us just because he's a cool guy
-city/county merger gets media attention, county residents make obscene comments on stl-today, St. Charles residents express concern even though they having nothing to do with it, and we never hear about it again

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PostDec 22, 2010#18

Alex Ihnen wrote:
RobbyD wrote:Are you folks coming up with 'wish lists' or actual predictions...

Dogtown, if that list came true, I'd never move...the given of Cardinals baseball plus Blues winning big plus MLS plus consistently winning Rams plus visiting Chouteau's Landing plus a brand new Arcade building ALL IN ONE YEAR...lol...add in bringing the Chemical Bldg to life and what else would someone want in a nicely compact cityscape other than a not so cramped grocery store (which I love none the less)...lol
I'm optimistic and so are my predictions! :D
Clearly better than the alternative...our old friends pessimism and cynicism...lol...

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PostDec 22, 2010#19

I predict that FTA awards Metro $1 Million Grant to connect N. Riverfront Bike Trail with planned Soulard Bike Extension. Oh wait, that was a real Metro tweet!

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PostDec 22, 2010#20

-County residents see that they are the only one of the 33 most populous counties in the state to lose population during the last decade and become more open to City reentry. At least we plan to make them aware!

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PostDec 22, 2010#21

At least one current or former city or STL City legislator elected official faces criminal charges.
The Admiral is scrapped.
STL Centre Theater opens. Macy's spends the $ bringing their DT store finally up to snuff.
Schmid and Triplett narrowly retain their seats.
Regardless of the China Hub, region spends the $ to begin retrofitting Lambert.
Proposal for mixed use on the Gateway Mall near the Opera House.
Someone graffitis the ugly Park Pacific garage.
Someone maps the number of parking units dowtown, compares per resident, worker, etc.
Someone does a counterplan for depressed lanes removal.
We see at least one historic rennovation in ESTL.

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PostDec 23, 2010#22

It's funny how some of you are so positive and some are so cynical.

But I think that's also just a personality, thing, regardless of the subject.

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PostDec 23, 2010#23


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PostDec 23, 2010#24

2011 Ten Predictions for DT STL

1. STL PD will announce a move to 1915 Olive St.
2. After a long drawn out battle the DT CID will end up getting renewed. :D
3. CVS will announce that they will open a larger pharmacy off of Broadway near the hyatt.
4. A fifth third branch will open on Locust and olive on the first floor of the syndicate.
5. A plan to demolish one of the Cupples station warehouses will be announced.
6. The Arcade will Still remain vacant without a plan for redevelopement.
7. DT STL will win the 2012 DNC.
8. Later in the year there will be rumors swirling around regarding a out of town developer seeking to build a 40 + class A office tower near the proposed BPV.
9. BPV will still be stalled.
10. A very intresting new tenant will be announced for the vacant Gen America building. HOK will be involved in the redevelopment.

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PostDec 24, 2010#25

Prophett wrote:5. A plan demolish one of the Cupples station warehouses will be announced.
That's what I fear. That one building has terrible roof damage and there appears to be no money to fix it. Granted, quite a few Cupples buildings have been renovated and others are still (or at least appear to be) relatively stable, but I would not be surprised to see one lost.

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